🏷️ Likely Rental
7269 Hwy 405 · Yelvington, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$2,800
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
$2,800 per month rent. $2,800 Security deposit and 12 month lease minimum. Applicant must be approved by owner. House is also listed for sale for $369,900. Remarkable county views off your covered front porch on this all brick home in Maceo. Situated on a small hilltop down a long circular driveway on 2.16 acres, you will find this walk-out basement home that has just been remodeled. The main floor features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, open kitchen and dining area, living room with fireplace, and laundry room with a spacious deck off the back. The spiral staircase leading down to the basement offers a den/rec room, storage, and an attached 2 car garage. In addition, there is another detac
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Den rec room
- Walk-out basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Asphalt driveway; Circular driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Fenced yard; Storage building
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric heating; Exhaust fan; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Partially finished basement
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $3k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $3k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Daviess County (suburban): math 33% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #43 of 165 in KY (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: East View Elementary School (math 25% / reading 30%, grade F, #431 of 676 statewide, top 64%, 462 students, 68% FRL); Daviess County Middle School (math 38% / reading 53%, grade D+, #32 of 217 statewide, top 15%, 813 students, 55% FRL); Daviess County High School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #37 of 254 statewide, top 15%, 1,740 students, 42% FRL).
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 226 units permitted in Daviess County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $34 of equity ($19 loan paydown + $15 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Daviess County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $784 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $367k (99%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 47.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 446.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1572.20%
- DSCR
- 70.95
- GRM
- 0.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.53% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 84.46×
- Total profit
- $65,429
- Equity at exit
- $888
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 181.80×
- Total profit
- $141,744
- Equity at exit
- $1,128
Cash invested: $784 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42355
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 0.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,325 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$15
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$4 /mo · $42/yr
- Insurance
- −$1
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $1,027
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,029 | -5% $1,028 | +0% $1,027 | +5% $1,026 | +10% $1,025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $923 | -5% $975 | +0% $1,027 | +5% $1,079 | +10% $1,132 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,029 | -0.5pp $1,028 | base $1,027 | +0.5pp $1,026 | +1.0pp $1,026 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $700
- Closing costs
- $84
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $2,800 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-18pricedays on market $2,800 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $369,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $369,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $369,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $369,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $369,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $369,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $369,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $369,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $369,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $369,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $369,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $369,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $369,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $369,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $369,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-01-14$369,900 Active
-
2025-06-12$289,900 Active
-
2025-06-12soldstatus $227,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,897
- − Mortgage interest
- −$157
- − Property taxes
- −$42
- − Insurance
- −$14
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,272
- − Management
- −$1,272
- − Depreciation
- −$81
- Taxable income
- $13,059
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,134
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,192/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Daviess County
- NCES district ID
- 2101470
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,303
- Composite
- 32.2/100
- National rank
- #5778
- State rank
- #43 of 165 in KY
Livability — Yelvington
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,514
Population outlook (Daviess County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 103,810 people
- By 2030
- 105,722 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 108,731 · +4.7%
- By 2050
- 110,295 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 113,056 · +8.9%
- By 2100
- 106,257 · +2.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Lithuanian 3% Scottish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Daviess
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.3% · R 65.2% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -31.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.9 2020: R+27.9 2016: R+32.2 2012: R+21.1 2008: R+10.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Current HPI
- 226.9217
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+63.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-14 Listed $369,900 GORAMLS
- 2025-06-12 Listed $289,900 GORAMLS
- 2025-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $227,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,242 · -4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…