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7269 Hwy 405 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 48.48
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$2,800

7269 Hwy 405 · Yelvington, KY 42355
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,342 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1986 2.16 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

$2,800 per month rent. $2,800 Security deposit and 12 month lease minimum. Applicant must be approved by owner. House is also listed for sale for $369,900. Remarkable county views off your covered front porch on this all brick home in Maceo. Situated on a small hilltop down a long circular driveway on 2.16 acres, you will find this walk-out basement home that has just been remodeled. The main floor features 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, open kitchen and dining area, living room with fireplace, and laundry room with a spacious deck off the back. The spiral staircase leading down to the basement offers a den/rec room, storage, and an attached 2 car garage. In addition, there is another detac

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Den rec room
  • Walk-out basement

Tags

COUNTY VIEWSCOVERED FRONT PORCHWALK-OUT BASEMENTSPIRAL STAIRCASEDEN REC ROOMDETACHED METAL GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Asphalt driveway; Circular driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Fenced yard; Storage building

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric heating; Exhaust fan; Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Partially finished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $2,800 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $3k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $3k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Daviess County (suburban): math 33% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #43 of 165 in KY (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: East View Elementary School (math 25% / reading 30%, grade F, #431 of 676 statewide, top 64%, 462 students, 68% FRL); Daviess County Middle School (math 38% / reading 53%, grade D+, #32 of 217 statewide, top 15%, 813 students, 55% FRL); Daviess County High School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #37 of 254 statewide, top 15%, 1,740 students, 42% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 226 units permitted in Daviess County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $34 of equity ($19 loan paydown + $15 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Daviess County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $784 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $367k (99%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $2,800

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
47.31%
Cap rate
446.51%
Cash-on-cash
1572.20%
DSCR
70.95
GRM
0.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.53% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
84.46×
Total profit
$65,429
Equity at exit
$888
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
181.80×
Total profit
$141,744
Equity at exit
$1,128

Cash invested: $784 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42355

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
0.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,325 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$15
Tax est. 1.5%
$4 /mo · $42/yr
Insurance
$1
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$1,027

Break-even live

Break-even rent $24
Max offer price $2,800
Occupancy floor 17%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,029 -5% $1,028 +0% $1,027 +5% $1,026 +10% $1,025
Rent -10% $923 -5% $975 +0% $1,027 +5% $1,079 +10% $1,132
Rate -1.0pp $1,029 -0.5pp $1,028 base $1,027 +0.5pp $1,026 +1.0pp $1,026

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$700
Closing costs
$84
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $2,800 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    pricedays on marketlisting id $2,800 Active 1 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $369,900 Active 154 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $369,900 Active 153 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $369,900 Active 152 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $369,900 Active 150 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $369,900 Active 149 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $369,900 Active 147 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $369,900 Active 146 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $369,900 Active 145 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $369,900 Active 144 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $369,900 Active 141 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $369,900 Active 140 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $369,900 Active 139 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $369,900 Active 138 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $369,900 Active 137 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $369,900 Active 136 DOM
  18. 2026-01-14
    listed $369,900 Active
  19. 2025-06-12
    listed $289,900 Active
  20. 2025-06-12
    soldstatus $227,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,897
− Mortgage interest
−$157
− Property taxes
−$42
− Insurance
−$14
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,272
− Management
−$1,272
− Depreciation
−$81
Taxable income
$13,059
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,134
After-tax cash flow
$9,192/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Daviess County
NCES district ID
2101470
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$52,303
Composite
32.2/100
National rank
#5778
State rank
#43 of 165 in KY

Livability — Yelvington

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,514

Population outlook (Daviess County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
103,810 people
By 2030
105,722 · +1.8%
By 2040
108,731 · +4.7%
By 2050
110,295 · +6.2%
By 2075
113,056 · +8.9%
By 2100
106,257 · +2.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% Lithuanian 3% Scottish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Daviess

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.3% · R 65.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-21.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -31.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.9 2020: R+27.9 2016: R+32.2 2012: R+21.1 2008: R+10.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.53%
Current HPI
226.9217
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+63.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $369,900 GORAMLS
  • 2025-06-12 Listed $289,900 GORAMLS
  • 2025-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $227,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,242 · -4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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