Multi-family
112 Hazelwood Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTORS! THIS ONE WON'T LAST LONG! WONDERFUL TENANTS WISH TO STAY. TENANTS KEEP UNITS IN GOOD CONDITION! ROOF 5 YEARS. SEPARATE UTILITIES.
Key facts
- Buffalo neighborhood
- Close to schools
- Upper-lower home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.5% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 237 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,337/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2873% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.14%
- DSCR
- 3.41
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $148,302
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Hazelwood Ave | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,498 (0%) | 1mo | $87,000 | $58 | 99 |
| 213 Hagen St | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 | 1,509 (+1%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $99 | 86 |
| 78 Freund St | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 1,426 (-5%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $91 | 77 |
| 124 Roma Ave | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 1,520 (+2%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $155 | 76 |
| 160 Courtland Ave | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 1,620 (+8%) | 13mo | $160,000 | $99 | 68 |
| 265 Hagen St | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-10%) | 8mo | $172,000 | $128 | 68 |
| 20 Ericson Ave | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 | 1,563 (+4%) | 15mo | $123,000 | $79 | 61 |
| 376 Norfolk Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,536 (+2%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $104 | 59 |
| 121 Domedion Ave | 0.43mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,419 (-5%) | 11mo | $80,000 | $56 | 57 |
| 99 Sattler Ave | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,390 (-7%) | 8mo | $82,500 | $59 | 50 |
| 73 Oakmont Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 1,616 (+8%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $133 | 48 |
| 9 Alma Ave | 0.69mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,630 (+9%) | 9mo | $82,000 | $50 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.10×
- Total profit
- $58,873
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 54.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.78×
- Total profit
- $133,779
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14215
- Home prices YoY
- -30.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,337 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $202/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$491
- Net cashflow
- $1,263
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,336 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,168 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,168 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,337 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 Blake St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,000 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 65 Domedion Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $1,500 | $0.92 | 1d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 67 Moeller St Unit UPPER Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 67 Moeller St Unit LOWER Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 24 Euclid Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 97 Davidson Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 1d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1793 | $2,000 | $1.12 | 1d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 517 Goodyear Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1559 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 19d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 143 Reo Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1143 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 11d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1202 Walden Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 17d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 189 Westminster Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1065 | $1,595 | $1.50 | 10d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 140 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-03-27price $99,999
-
2026-03-20$133,000 Active
-
2026-03-20historical
-
2025-12-12price $136,900
-
2025-09-17$144,900 Active
-
2015-06-24soldstatus $107,000
-
2013-08-22soldstatus $21,000 143-char remark
Show marketing remark (143 chars)
INVESTORS! THIS ONE WON'T LAST LONG! WONDERFUL TENANTS WISH TO STAY. TENANTS KEEP UNITS IN GOOD CONDITION! ROOF 5 YEARS. SEPARATE UTILITIES.
-
2013-08-22soldstatus $21,000
Show marketing remark (143 chars)
INVESTORS! THIS ONE WON'T LAST LONG! WONDERFUL TENANTS WISH TO STAY. TENANTS KEEP UNITS IN GOOD CONDITION! ROOF 5 YEARS. SEPARATE UTILITIES.
-
2013-06-10$24,900 143-char remark
Show marketing remark (143 chars)
INVESTORS! THIS ONE WON'T LAST LONG! WONDERFUL TENANTS WISH TO STAY. TENANTS KEEP UNITS IN GOOD CONDITION! ROOF 5 YEARS. SEPARATE UTILITIES.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $202 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $946 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- +$744/yr (+$62/mo · 368.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,044
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,601
- − Property taxes
- −$202
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,244
- − Management
- −$2,244
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $14,345
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,443
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,717/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,524
- Household income
- $44,955
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2873.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 67% White 15% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -126.29%
- Current HPI
- 295.2966
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.67%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+301.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $99,999 WNYREIS
- 2026-03-20 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $133,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-12-12 Price Changed $136,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-09-17 Listed $144,900 WNYREIS
- 2015-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records
- 2013-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
- 2013-08-22 Sold (MLS) $21,000 WNYREIS
- 2013-06-10 Listed $24,900 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $202 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…