2337 E 86th Ct · Anchorage, AK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Small home on large lot. It actually has two lots totaling 17,100 s. f. Property has lots of potential. Fix the house up or build a multifamily home on the lot.
Key facts
- Two lots
- Large lot
- Multifamily home
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No carport
- Utilities: Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Not attached (detached); Built in 1956
- Construction: Wood frame construction
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Private yard; DSL/Cable available; In city limits; Shingle/Asphalt roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Smoke detector(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $809 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 3.8% in Anchorage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Kasuun Elementary (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #83 of 156 statewide, top 59%, 289 students, 42% FRL); Hanshew Middle School (math 24% / reading 37%, grade F, #27 of 36 statewide, top 74%, 691 students, 42% FRL); Service High School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #21 of 61 statewide, top 33%, 1,544 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools at 37% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.75%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $370,461
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8530 Gordon Cir | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,264 (+2%) | 7mo | $385,000 | $305 | 60 |
| 7730 Little Bend Cir | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,166 (-6%) | 3mo | $367,900 | $316 | 52 |
| 8020 Sabrina St | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,360 (+10%) | 2mo | $335,000 | $246 | 49 |
| 8031 Clear Haven Cir | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,082 (-13%) | 0mo | $342,360 | $316 | 47 |
| 7880 Moose Run Cir | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,148 (-7%) | 15mo | $309,900 | $270 | 42 |
| 7809 Moose Run Cir | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,336 (+8%) | 12mo | $349,900 | $262 | 39 |
| 7446 Zurich St | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,324 (+7%) | 15mo | $599,000 | $452 | 38 |
| 7437 Basel St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,152 (-7%) | 13mo | $395,000 | $343 | 36 |
| 8281 Stratton Cir | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,084 (-12%) | 10mo | $245,000 | $226 | 35 |
| 9700 Reliance Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,389 (+12%) | 1mo | $415,000 | $299 | 35 |
| 7661 Delridge Cir | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,342 (+8%) | 15mo | $375,000 | $279 | 31 |
| 9660 Reliance Dr | 0.73mi | 2/2.5 | 1,416 (+14%) | 10mo | $349,000 | $246 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $39,694
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 36.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.94×
- Total profit
- $137,816
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alaska
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99507
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,366 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$352 /mo · $4,225/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$497
- Net cashflow
- $809
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $880 | -5% $845 | +0% $809 | +5% $774 | +10% $739 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $622 | -5% $716 | +0% $809 | +5% $903 | +10% $996 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $872 | -0.5pp $841 | base $809 | +0.5pp $777 | +1.0pp $744 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2721 E 84th Ave Unit A Anchorage, AK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1376 | $2,900 | $2.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 8124 Marsha Loop Anchorage, AK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $2,700 | $1.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2400 Sentry Dr Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $1,700 | $1.87 | 22d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 7330 Meadow St Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $2,399 | $2.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7310 Chugach Meadows Loop Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $2,399 | $2.33 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 7308 Chugach Meadows Loop Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1240 | $2,550 | $2.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 9905 William Jones Cir Anchorage, AK | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1171 | $2,145 | $1.83 | 15d | 10 | 1.13mi |
| 701 E 78th Ave Unit 705 Anchorage, AK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,450 | $2.40 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $125,000 Pending 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27$125,000 Active
-
2019-06-21soldstatus
-
2013-02-11$160,000
-
2011-11-01$160,000
-
2005-05-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AK · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,225 · $352/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,225 · $352/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,392
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$4,225
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,271
- − Management
- −$2,271
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $8,360
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,006
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,706/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anchorage School District
- NCES district ID
- 0200180
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $76,447
- Composite
- 37.0/100
- National rank
- #4523
- State rank
- #6 of 21 in AK
Livability — Anchorage
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2553
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Anchorage, AK
- County
- Anchorage Borough · 246,594 people
- City population
- 218,117
- Metro
- Anchorage, AK
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,301
- Household income
- $107,992
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 775.0
Population outlook (Anchorage County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,993 people
- By 2030
- 321,771 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 335,493 · +6.5%
- By 2050
- 352,799 · +12.0%
- By 2075
- 414,771 · +31.7%
- By 2100
- 474,485 · +50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Asian 16% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 6% Black 4% Pacific Islander 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 8% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Anchorage
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.7) · D 56.3% · R 43.7%
- 2016→2024 swing
- +27.9pp toward D · 2016: -15.2pp · 2024: 12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.7 2016: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -216.29%
- Current HPI
- 273.1227
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.35%
- Metro
- Anchorage, AK
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-21.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $125,000 AKMLS
- 2019-06-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-02-11 Listed $160,000 AKMLS
- 2011-11-01 Listed $160,000 AKMLS
- 2005-05-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,225 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…