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2337 E 86th Ct
B Composite 71.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

2337 E 86th Ct · Anchorage, AK 99507
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,239 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1956 0.39 ac lot ↓ 22% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Small home on large lot. It actually has two lots totaling 17,100 s. f. Property has lots of potential. Fix the house up or build a multifamily home on the lot.

Key facts

  • Two lots
  • Large lot
  • Multifamily home

Tags

LARGE LOTTWO LOTSMULTIFAMILY HOME

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; No carport
  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Not attached (detached); Built in 1956
  • Construction: Wood frame construction
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Private yard; DSL/Cable available; In city limits; Shingle/Asphalt roof

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Smoke detector(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $809 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 3.8% in Anchorage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Kasuun Elementary (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #83 of 156 statewide, top 59%, 289 students, 42% FRL); Hanshew Middle School (math 24% / reading 37%, grade F, #27 of 36 statewide, top 74%, 691 students, 42% FRL); Service High School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #21 of 61 statewide, top 33%, 1,544 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools at 37% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $125,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
14.06%
Cash-on-cash
27.75%
DSCR
2.23
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$370,461
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8530 Gordon Cir 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,264 (+2%) 7mo $385,000 $305 60
7730 Little Bend Cir 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,166 (-6%) 3mo $367,900 $316 52
8020 Sabrina St 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,360 (+10%) 2mo $335,000 $246 49
8031 Clear Haven Cir 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,082 (-13%) 0mo $342,360 $316 47
7880 Moose Run Cir 0.57mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,148 (-7%) 15mo $309,900 $270 42
7809 Moose Run Cir 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,336 (+8%) 12mo $349,900 $262 39
7446 Zurich St 0.71mi 2/2.0 1,324 (+7%) 15mo $599,000 $452 38
7437 Basel St 0.73mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,152 (-7%) 13mo $395,000 $343 36
8281 Stratton Cir 0.62mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,084 (-12%) 10mo $245,000 $226 35
9700 Reliance Dr 0.72mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,389 (+12%) 1mo $415,000 $299 35
7661 Delridge Cir 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,342 (+8%) 15mo $375,000 $279 31
9660 Reliance Dr 0.73mi 2/2.5 1,416 (+14%) 10mo $349,000 $246 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$39,694
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
36.0%
Equity multiple
4.94×
Total profit
$137,816
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alaska
80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; security deposits capped; courts moderate-paced.

ZIP-level market 99507

Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,366 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$352 /mo · $4,225/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$497
Net cashflow
$809

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,341
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $880 -5% $845 +0% $809 +5% $774 +10% $739
Rent -10% $622 -5% $716 +0% $809 +5% $903 +10% $996
Rate -1.0pp $872 -0.5pp $841 base $809 +0.5pp $777 +1.0pp $744

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2721 E 84th Ave Unit A Anchorage, AK 3.0 2.0 1376 $2,900 $2.11 25d 1 0.27mi
8124 Marsha Loop Anchorage, AK 3.0 2.5 1480 $2,700 $1.82 45d 1 0.40mi
2400 Sentry Dr Anchorage, AK 2.0 2.0 910 $1,700 $1.87 22d 1 0.60mi
7330 Meadow St Anchorage, AK 2.0 2.0 1028 $2,399 $2.33 25d 1 0.86mi
7310 Chugach Meadows Loop Anchorage, AK 2.0 2.0 1028 $2,399 $2.33 22d 1 0.88mi
7308 Chugach Meadows Loop Anchorage, AK 2.0 2.5 1240 $2,550 $2.06 15d 1 0.89mi
9905 William Jones Cir Anchorage, AK 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1171 $2,145 $1.83 15d 10 1.13mi
701 E 78th Ave Unit 705 Anchorage, AK 2.0 2.0 1020 $2,450 $2.40 15d 1 1.15mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $125,000 Pending 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-05-27
    listed $125,000 Active
  8. 2019-06-21
    soldstatus
  9. 2013-02-11
    listed $160,000
  10. 2011-11-01
    listed $160,000
  11. 2005-05-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AK · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,225 · $352/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,225 · $352/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,392
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$4,225
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,271
− Management
−$2,271
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$8,360
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,006
After-tax cash flow
$7,706/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anchorage School District
NCES district ID
0200180
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$76,447
Composite
37.0/100
National rank
#4523
State rank
#6 of 21 in AK

Livability — Anchorage

Score
78/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#2553

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Anchorage, AK
County
Anchorage Borough · 246,594 people
City population
218,117
Metro
Anchorage, AK
Population (ZIP)
37,301
Household income
$107,992
Rent vs Own
28.0% rent · 72.0% own
Severe rent burden
775.0

Population outlook (Anchorage County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
314,993 people
By 2030
321,771 · +2.2%
By 2040
335,493 · +6.5%
By 2050
352,799 · +12.0%
By 2075
414,771 · +31.7%
By 2100
474,485 · +50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Asian 16% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 6% Black 4% Pacific Islander 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
78% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 8% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Anchorage

2024 margin
D (+12.7) · D 56.3% · R 43.7%
2016→2024 swing
+27.9pp toward D · 2016: -15.2pp · 2024: 12.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.7 2016: R+15.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -216.29%
Current HPI
273.1227
Rent YoY
▲ 6.35%
Metro
Anchorage, AK
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-21.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $125,000 AKMLS
  • 2019-06-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-02-11 Listed $160,000 AKMLS
  • 2011-11-01 Listed $160,000 AKMLS
  • 2005-05-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,225 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…