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171 Ocean Oval Dr
C Composite 57.63
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

171 Ocean Oval Dr · Ocean Pines, MD 21811
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 576 sqft · Manufactured public records · 49 Days on market
Built 2002 2,156 sqft lot $295/sqft · 7% below area Est $182k · 7% under $173/mo HOA · 9% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 171 Ocean Oval Drive in the White Horse Park community! This park is one of the few communities in the area where you own your land (no ground rent!), making this an incredible opportunity to secure your own slice of the beach lifestyle. This very well maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with a spacious loft offers the perfect setup for extra guests, weekend getaways, or memory-filled summers. Built in 2002 and featuring a new HVAC system and water heater, you can enjoy peace of mind and truly move right in. No projects, no stress, just pure enjoyment. From morning coffee on the front deck to evenings filled with laughter after a day at the beach, this home was made for easy living. Stay close and take advantage of all that White Horse Park has to offer, or hop in the car for a quick drive to Ocean City and West Ocean City, where beaches, restaurants, and family fun are always waiting. Whether you’re searching for a low-maintenance vacation retreat, an investment opportunity, or your own personal escape, this one checks every box. Summer is right around the corner and homes like this, with owned land and this location, don’t last. Make your move before someone else does.

Key facts

  • 2,156 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-150 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (15.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.3% in Ocean Pines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#172 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, cost of living D, amenities F.
  • Worcester County Public Schools (town): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #6 of 24 in MD (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 315 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 354 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Worcester County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $143,440 (15.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.24%
Cash-on-cash
6.96%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$182,078
List price
$170,000
Delta
-6.63%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.4%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-36,807
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
-16.0%
Equity multiple
0.09×
Total profit
$-43,098
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21811

Home prices YoY
-29.0%
Active inventory
315
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,889 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $969/yr
Insurance
$71
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$173
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$397
Net cashflow
$-150

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,079
Max offer price $143,440
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-54 -5% $-102 +0% $-150 +5% $-198 +10% $-247
Rent -10% $-300 -5% $-225 +0% $-150 +5% $-76 +10% $-1
Rate -1.0pp $-65 -0.5pp $-107 base $-150 +0.5pp $-194 +1.0pp $-239

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$173 · $2,076/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $170,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $170,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $170,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $170,000 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $170,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $170,000 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $170,000 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $170,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $170,000 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-05-01
    listed $170,000 Active 1211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1211 chars)

    Welcome to 171 Ocean Oval Drive in the White Horse Park community! This park is one of the few communities in the area where you own your land (no ground rent!), making this an incredible opportunity to secure your own slice of the beach lifestyle. This very well maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with a spacious loft offers the perfect setup for extra guests, weekend getaways, or memory-filled summers. Built in 2002 and featuring a new HVAC system and water heater, you can enjoy peace of mind and truly move right in. No projects, no stress, just pure enjoyment. From morning coffee on the front deck to evenings filled with laughter after a day at the beach, this home was made for easy living. Stay close and take advantage of all that White Horse Park has to offer, or hop in the car for a quick drive to Ocean City and West Ocean City, where beaches, restaurants, and family fun are always waiting. Whether you’re searching for a low-maintenance vacation retreat, an investment opportunity, or your own personal escape, this one checks every box. Summer is right around the corner and homes like this, with owned land and this location, don’t last. Make your move before someone else does.

  16. 2026-04-05
    historical $170,000 1211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1211 chars)

    Welcome to 171 Ocean Oval Drive in the White Horse Park community! This park is one of the few communities in the area where you own your land (no ground rent!), making this an incredible opportunity to secure your own slice of the beach lifestyle. This very well maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with a spacious loft offers the perfect setup for extra guests, weekend getaways, or memory-filled summers. Built in 2002 and featuring a new HVAC system and water heater, you can enjoy peace of mind and truly move right in. No projects, no stress, just pure enjoyment. From morning coffee on the front deck to evenings filled with laughter after a day at the beach, this home was made for easy living. Stay close and take advantage of all that White Horse Park has to offer, or hop in the car for a quick drive to Ocean City and West Ocean City, where beaches, restaurants, and family fun are always waiting. Whether you’re searching for a low-maintenance vacation retreat, an investment opportunity, or your own personal escape, this one checks every box. Summer is right around the corner and homes like this, with owned land and this location, don’t last. Make your move before someone else does.

  17. 2024-06-21
    soldstatus $367,000 Closed 1575-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1575 chars)

    Welcome to 171 Ocean Parkway…the most adorable beach cottage in the Pines! This house has everything you need and is move-in ready. New Roof (1.5 years old), High-efficiency 16-seer Heat Pump with low utility bills (4.5 years old), a tankless water heater & many other recent upgrades. Enjoy your coffee on the front porch or sit around a fire pit in the expansive front yard and driveway space. Inside, a bright open living space offers a Living/Dining room with built-in shelving, crown molding and wood floors throughout. The Kitchen is complete with stainless steel appliances, granite counter tops, beautiful wood cabinetry, 2 pantries and space for a table. This room leads to the enormous Screen porch where you can enjoy entertaining and lots of additional space. The Primary Bedroom has an ensuite Full Bath and comes complete with beautiful furniture. Two more Bedrooms, another Full Bath and full-size Laundry complete this amazing property. Tons of closets and a full-size floored attic offers plenty of storage. In the back of the house, there is an additional separate shed to store all your beach toys and garden tools, plus a large flat yard. The Ocean Pines community has everything all within a few minutes…enjoy tennis, golf, swimming, boating, restaurants and more or drive to the beach just 15 minutes away in Ocean City where you have a private Ocean Club. Assateague Island, shopping, and many other attractions are close by. If you’re looking for that move-in ready beach cottage close to everything, you’ve found it!

  18. 2024-06-14
    status Pending 1575-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1575 chars)

    Welcome to 171 Ocean Parkway…the most adorable beach cottage in the Pines! This house has everything you need and is move-in ready. New Roof (1.5 years old), High-efficiency 16-seer Heat Pump with low utility bills (4.5 years old), a tankless water heater & many other recent upgrades. Enjoy your coffee on the front porch or sit around a fire pit in the expansive front yard and driveway space. Inside, a bright open living space offers a Living/Dining room with built-in shelving, crown molding and wood floors throughout. The Kitchen is complete with stainless steel appliances, granite counter tops, beautiful wood cabinetry, 2 pantries and space for a table. This room leads to the enormous Screen porch where you can enjoy entertaining and lots of additional space. The Primary Bedroom has an ensuite Full Bath and comes complete with beautiful furniture. Two more Bedrooms, another Full Bath and full-size Laundry complete this amazing property. Tons of closets and a full-size floored attic offers plenty of storage. In the back of the house, there is an additional separate shed to store all your beach toys and garden tools, plus a large flat yard. The Ocean Pines community has everything all within a few minutes…enjoy tennis, golf, swimming, boating, restaurants and more or drive to the beach just 15 minutes away in Ocean City where you have a private Ocean Club. Assateague Island, shopping, and many other attractions are close by. If you’re looking for that move-in ready beach cottage close to everything, you’ve found it!

  19. 2024-05-21
    historical Active Under Contract 1575-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1575 chars)

    Welcome to 171 Ocean Parkway…the most adorable beach cottage in the Pines! This house has everything you need and is move-in ready. New Roof (1.5 years old), High-efficiency 16-seer Heat Pump with low utility bills (4.5 years old), a tankless water heater & many other recent upgrades. Enjoy your coffee on the front porch or sit around a fire pit in the expansive front yard and driveway space. Inside, a bright open living space offers a Living/Dining room with built-in shelving, crown molding and wood floors throughout. The Kitchen is complete with stainless steel appliances, granite counter tops, beautiful wood cabinetry, 2 pantries and space for a table. This room leads to the enormous Screen porch where you can enjoy entertaining and lots of additional space. The Primary Bedroom has an ensuite Full Bath and comes complete with beautiful furniture. Two more Bedrooms, another Full Bath and full-size Laundry complete this amazing property. Tons of closets and a full-size floored attic offers plenty of storage. In the back of the house, there is an additional separate shed to store all your beach toys and garden tools, plus a large flat yard. The Ocean Pines community has everything all within a few minutes…enjoy tennis, golf, swimming, boating, restaurants and more or drive to the beach just 15 minutes away in Ocean City where you have a private Ocean Club. Assateague Island, shopping, and many other attractions are close by. If you’re looking for that move-in ready beach cottage close to everything, you’ve found it!

  20. 2024-04-25
    listed $377,000 Active 1575-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1575 chars)

    Welcome to 171 Ocean Parkway…the most adorable beach cottage in the Pines! This house has everything you need and is move-in ready. New Roof (1.5 years old), High-efficiency 16-seer Heat Pump with low utility bills (4.5 years old), a tankless water heater & many other recent upgrades. Enjoy your coffee on the front porch or sit around a fire pit in the expansive front yard and driveway space. Inside, a bright open living space offers a Living/Dining room with built-in shelving, crown molding and wood floors throughout. The Kitchen is complete with stainless steel appliances, granite counter tops, beautiful wood cabinetry, 2 pantries and space for a table. This room leads to the enormous Screen porch where you can enjoy entertaining and lots of additional space. The Primary Bedroom has an ensuite Full Bath and comes complete with beautiful furniture. Two more Bedrooms, another Full Bath and full-size Laundry complete this amazing property. Tons of closets and a full-size floored attic offers plenty of storage. In the back of the house, there is an additional separate shed to store all your beach toys and garden tools, plus a large flat yard. The Ocean Pines community has everything all within a few minutes…enjoy tennis, golf, swimming, boating, restaurants and more or drive to the beach just 15 minutes away in Ocean City where you have a private Ocean Club. Assateague Island, shopping, and many other attractions are close by. If you’re looking for that move-in ready beach cottage close to everything, you’ve found it!

  21. 2020-04-23
    soldstatus $82,000
  22. 2020-04-20
    soldstatus $82,000 Closed
  23. 2020-04-19
    status Pending
  24. 2020-04-06
    historical Active Under Contract
  25. 2019-12-30
    status Active
  26. 2019-12-18
    status Pending
  27. 2019-10-02
    listed $94,900 Active
  28. 2019-08-30
    historical
  29. 2019-08-30
    soldstatus $197,900 Closed
  30. 2019-07-11
    status Pending
  31. 2019-07-09
    listed $199,900 Active
  32. 1986-06-30
    soldstatus $15,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$969 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,411 · $118/mo
Expected delta
+$442/yr (+$37/mo · 45.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,668
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$969
− Insurance
−$5,968
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,813
− Management
−$1,813
− HOA
−$2,076
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable loss
−$4,441
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,066
After-tax cash flow
$-738/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Worcester County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400720
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$56,748
Composite
32.6/100
National rank
#5672
State rank
#6 of 24 in MD

Livability — Ocean Pines

Score
70/100
State rank
#172
US rank
#7691

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocean Pines, MD
County
Worcester County · 35,603 people
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
Population (ZIP)
24,377
Household income
$90,082
Rent vs Own
16.7% rent · 83.3% own
Severe rent burden
551.0

Population outlook (Worcester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
51,363 people
By 2030
51,191 · -0.3%
By 2040
50,459 · -1.8%
By 2050
49,451 · -3.7%
By 2075
48,533 · -5.5%
By 2100
44,223 · -13.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Worcester

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.0) · D 38.0% · R 60.0% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: -15.5pp · 2024: -22.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+27.9 2012: R+18.3 2008: R+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.52%
Current HPI
292.9004
Rent YoY
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+996.8% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-05 Coming Soon $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-06-21 Sold (MLS) $367,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-06-14 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-05-21 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-04-25 Listed $377,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
  • 2020-04-20 Sold (MLS) $82,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-04-19 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-04-06 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-12-30 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-12-18 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-10-02 Listed $94,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-08-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-08-30 Sold (MLS) $197,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-07-11 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-07-09 Listed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1986-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $15,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $969 · +16.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…