1645 S 272nd St #13 · Federal Way, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautifully updated single-wide manufactured home in the heart of Federal Way! This move-in-ready 2-bedroom home features a brand-new kitchen with updated cabinets, fresh interior and exterior paint, new siding, and modern flooring throughout. Major improvements include a 4-year-old roof, new electrical and plumbing, giving you peace of mind for years to come. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and freeway access. Affordable, stylish, and low-maintenance living at its best!
Key facts
- Modern flooring
- 4-year-old roof
- New plumbing
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $408 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.7% in Federal Way — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#221 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Federal Way School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #207 of 291 in WA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 231 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 219 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 219 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.65%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $70,025
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- 114.21%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1645 S 272nd St #132 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,028 (+8%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $68 | 71 |
| 1645 S 272nd St #11 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,088 (+14%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $230 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $460
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $28,989
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98003
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 231
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,828 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $408
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $511 | -5% $459 | +0% $408 | +5% $356 | +10% $304 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $263 | -5% $335 | +0% $408 | +5% $480 | +10% $552 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $483 | -0.5pp $446 | base $408 | +0.5pp $369 | +1.0pp $329 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2211 S Star Lake Rd Federal Way, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $1,840 | $2.04 | 2d | 45 | 0.26mi |
| 2609 S 272nd St #33 Kent, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 557 | $1,500 | $2.69 | 15d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2601 S 272nd St Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 825 | $1,700 | $2.06 | 13d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2613 S 272nd St #21 Kent, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,795 | $2.47 | 5d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2613 S 272nd St Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,795 | $2.47 | 5d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2617 S 272nd St Unit Apt Kent, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 825 | $1,895 | $2.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 28120 18th Ave S Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 986 | $1,949 | $1.98 | 3d | 8 | 0.60mi |
| 28425 18th Ave S Federal Way, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 787 | $1,919 | $2.44 | 2d | 4 | 0.75mi |
| 28606 Pacific Hwy S Federal Way, WA | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1138 | $1,675 | $1.47 | 5d | 3 | 0.79mi |
| 1839 S 286th Ln Apt S202 Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 926 | $1,795 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1839 S 286th Ln Apt S101 Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 953 | $2,200 | $2.31 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 28620 Pacific Hwy S Federal Way, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 650 | $1,956 | $3.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2500 S 286th Pl Unit C Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1002 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2500 S 286th Pl Unit A Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1002 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 28623 Military Rd S Unit A10 Federal Way, WA | 1.0 | 1.5 | 680 | $1,425 | $2.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2516 S 286th Pl Unit C Federal Way, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1002 | $2,100 | $2.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2701 S 257th Pl Unit A Kent, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2709 S 256th Pl Unit C Kent, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 679 | $1,850 | $2.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2705 S 256th St Unit B Kent, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,550 | $2.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 28700 34th Ave S Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $2,475 | $2.43 | 3d | 13 | 1.28mi |
| 29225 Military Rd S Federal Way, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 811 | $1,850 | $2.28 | 3d | 5 | 1.30mi |
| 29421 Pacific Hwy S Federal Way, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,645 | $1.94 | 3d | 6 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-05-09status Active
-
2026-05-01historical
-
2026-04-09price $150,000
-
2025-12-09price $175,000
-
2025-11-04$190,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,938
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,755
- − Management
- −$1,755
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $2,662
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$639
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,253/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in-ready single-wide manufactured home features updated interiors, a new roof, and modern flooring, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both painting exterior — fresh paint improves curb appeal and value
- Both upgrading appliances — modern appliances improve functionality and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both painting exterior — fresh paint improves curb appeal and value ↑
- Both upgrading appliances — modern appliances improve functionality and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Federal Way School District
- NCES district ID
- 5302820
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,594
- Composite
- 38.79/100
- National rank
- #8361
- State rank
- #207 of 291 in WA
Livability — Federal Way
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #221
- US rank
- #6403
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Federal Way, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 102,067
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,619
- Household income
- $75,319
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2895.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 32% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 19% Two or more races 16% Asian 13% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Swedish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -623.87%
- Current HPI
- 327.5371
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.33%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
-21.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $150,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $175,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-04 Listed $190,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…