Fourplex
270 N 400 W · Provo, UT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$715,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Recent upgrades
- Prime location
- New fascia
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is approximately 0.18 acres
- Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Home design: 3-story building
- Construction: Built/standing construction
- Exterior features: West-facing lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 units (multi-family property)
- Interior features: Residential use; Built and currently standing
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 5-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $715k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $301/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $707k (1.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $707k (1.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#15 in UT, #602 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A.
- Provo District (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #44 of 80 in UT (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Timpanogos School (math 28% / reading 25%, grade F, #463 of 585 statewide, top 80%, 627 students, 61% FRL); Dixon Middle (math 31% / reading 39%, grade F, #95 of 138 statewide, top 69%, 936 students, 46% FRL); Provo High (math 18% / reading 47%, grade F, #109 of 171 statewide, top 64%, 1,988 students, 37% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,326 units permitted in Utah County in 2024 (1,053 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,074/mo this rent would consume 126% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 1332% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Utah County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $200k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $228k; list at $715k implies a 214% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.21%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-18,837
- Equity at exit
- $106,609
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $171,038
- Equity at exit
- $61,820
Cash invested: $200,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84601
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 33.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,074 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,750
- Tax from tax record
- −$338 /mo · $4,056/yr
- Insurance
- −$298
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,486
- Net cashflow
- $1,203
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,608 | -5% $1,405 | +0% $1,203 | +5% $1,001 | +10% $798 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $644 | -5% $924 | +0% $1,203 | +5% $1,482 | +10% $1,762 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,563 | -0.5pp $1,385 | base $1,203 | +0.5pp $1,018 | +1.0pp $829 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 5 | 4 | $7,076 |
| #1 | 5 | 4 | $1,769 |
| #2 | 5 | 4 | $1,769 |
| #3 | 5 | 4 | $1,769 |
| #4 | 5 | 4 | $1,769 |
| Total (4 units) | $7,074 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $178,750
- Closing costs
- $21,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 271 N 200 E Provo, UT | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1926 | $2,400 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $715,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $715,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-16$715,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast UT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,056 · $338/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,719 · $393/mo
- Expected delta
- +$663/yr (+$55/mo · 16.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $84,888
- − Mortgage interest
- −$40,051
- − Property taxes
- −$4,056
- − Insurance
- −$3,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,791
- − Management
- −$6,791
- − Depreciation
- −$20,800
- Taxable income
- $2,824
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$678
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,759/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Provo District
- NCES district ID
- 4900810
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,698
- Composite
- 35.24/100
- National rank
- #4980
- State rank
- #44 of 80 in UT
Livability — Provo
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #602
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Provo, UT
- County
- Utah County · 661,754 people
- City population
- 112,727
- Metro
- Provo-Orem, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,330
- Household income
- $67,207
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1332.0
Population outlook (Utah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 693,420 people
- By 2030
- 757,324 · +9.2%
- By 2040
- 893,178 · +28.8%
- By 2050
- 1,035,842 · +49.4%
- By 2075
- 1,376,733 · +98.5%
- By 2100
- 1,609,388 · +132.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% Asian 2% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Utah
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.8) · D 28.5% · R 68.3% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +19.1pp toward D · 2008: -58.9pp · 2024: -39.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.8 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+37.3 2012: R+78.5 2008: R+58.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -254.42%
- Current HPI
- 315.3963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.82%
- Metro
- Provo-Orem, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+2482.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $715,000 WFRMLS
- 2026-05-09 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $735,000 WFRMLS
- 2025-12-07 Listed $765,000 WFRMLS
- 2001-10-11 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2001-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $227,715 Public Records
- 2001-03-14 Listed $219,900 WFRMLS
- 2000-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $224,812 Public Records
- 2000-07-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-07-07 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2000-03-15 Listed $189,900 WFRMLS
- 1997-11-05 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 1997-05-05 Listed $179,900 WFRMLS
- 1996-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $27,691 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,056 · +27.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…