🏗️ New Construction
Clayton 204 Sunny Acres Plan · Somerset, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you've been looking for a move-in ready home with modern farmhouse charm and tons of upgrades — this is it! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers 1,568 sq. ft. of open-concept living with thoughtful details throughout. Features include a luxurious master bath with a walk-in shower, double-vanity sinks, and a garden tub as well as a kitchen with an island, a pantry, and appliances and so much more! Call today to schedule a tour!
Key facts
- Walk-in shower
- Double-vanity sinks
- Kitchen with island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($634/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($925 rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.3% in Somerset — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,031 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Somerset Area SD (town): math 40% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #185 of 539 in PA (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 78 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $679 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Somerset County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.31%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,090
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -8.25%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 163 Mancini Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (0%) | 22mo | $85,000 | $54 | 74 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-12,513
- Equity at exit
- $14,626
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-6,504
- Equity at exit
- $8,481
Cash invested: $27,465 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15501
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $925 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$514
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$123 /mo · $1,471/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$194
- Net cashflow
- $53
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $121 | -5% $87 | +0% $53 | +5% $19 | +10% $-15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-20 | -5% $16 | +0% $53 | +5% $89 | +10% $126 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $102 | -0.5pp $78 | base $53 | +0.5pp $27 | +1.0pp $2 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,523
- Closing costs
- $2,943
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 272 Nicole Ln Somerset, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 922 | $925 | $1.00 | 2d | 1 | 0.03mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $90,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $90,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $90,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-02-13$90,000 Active 450-char remark
Show marketing remark (450 chars)
If you've been looking for a move-in ready home with modern farmhouse charm and tons of upgrades — this is it! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers 1,568 sq. ft. of open-concept living with thoughtful details throughout. Features include a luxurious master bath with a walk-in shower, double-vanity sinks, and a garden tub as well as a kitchen with an island, a pantry, and appliances and so much more! Call today to schedule a tour!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,100
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,495
- − Property taxes
- −$1,471
- − Insurance
- −$490
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$888
- − Management
- −$888
- − Depreciation
- −$2,854
- Taxable loss
- −$986
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$237
- After-tax cash flow
- $871/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This move-in ready home offers modern farmhouse charm with upgrades throughout, including a luxurious master bath and a spacious kitchen. It's in good condition with minor cosmetic improvements needed for optimal resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping and snow removal — A well-maintained yard and clear walkways can improve curb appeal and safety
- Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Energy-efficient fans can reduce energy costs and improve comfort
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping and snow removal — A well-maintained yard and clear walkways can improve curb appeal and safety ↑
- Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Energy-efficient fans can reduce energy costs and improve comfort ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Somerset Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221840
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,226
- Composite
- 42.47/100
- National rank
- #3216
- State rank
- #185 of 539 in PA
Livability — Somerset
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1031
- US rank
- #11472
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,447
Population outlook (Somerset County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,318 people
- By 2030
- 68,555 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 62,447 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 56,437 · -20.9%
- By 2075
- 44,453 · -37.7%
- By 2100
- 32,408 · -54.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Black 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Somerset
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -57.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.2 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+55.9 2012: R+42.9 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.42%
- Current HPI
- 160.9752
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-13 Listed $90,000 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…