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383 S Prospect St
B Composite 74.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$90,000

383 S Prospect St · Tonopah, NV 89049
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,055 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 141 Days on market
Built 1944 7,057 sqft lot $44/sqft · 62% below area ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the center of old historic Tonopah! Perched on a hillside with block retaining walls and fence, 3 BR 2 Bth home has an enclosed entry porch and attached garage with workshop. Corner lot is surounded on 3 sides by streets: Prospect, McCulloch and University. Over 2000 sq. ft home has spacious living area and lots of potential. Great opportunity to build some sweat equity. No zoning or building department so you can have a business there too.

Key facts

  • Historic tonopah
  • Attached garage
  • Enclosed entry porch

Tags

HISTORIC TONOPAHENCLOSED ENTRY PORCHATTACHED GARAGECORNER LOTBLOCK RETAINING WALLSFENCE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $612 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#60 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Nye County School District (rural): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #16 of 17 in NV (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
  • Nye County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.67%
Cap rate
14.46%
Cash-on-cash
29.15%
DSCR
2.30
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$239,263
List price
$90,000
Delta
-62.38%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19 Crescent Dr 0.58mi 3/2.5 2,008 (-2%) 16mo $300,000 $149 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.88% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.5%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$54,088
Equity at exit
$45,004
10-year hold
IRR
35.8%
Equity multiple
6.27×
Total profit
$132,833
Equity at exit
$73,111

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
71 Landlord-Friendly
State Nevada
71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; Clark County (Vegas) had pandemic backlogs; generally landlord-friendly but courts slow.

ZIP-level market 89049

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,502 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $777/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$612

Break-even live

Break-even rent $727
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $663 -5% $638 +0% $612 +5% $587 +10% $561
Rent -10% $494 -5% $553 +0% $612 +5% $671 +10% $731
Rate -1.0pp $657 -0.5pp $635 base $612 +0.5pp $589 +1.0pp $565

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $90,000 Active 141 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 140 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 139 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 138 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 137 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $90,000 Active 135 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $90,000 Active 134 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Active 131 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 130 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Active 129 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $90,000 Active 125 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $90,000 Active 124 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 123 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 122 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $90,000 Active 121 DOM
  16. 2026-01-29
    listed $90,000 Active 455-char remark
    Show marketing remark (455 chars)

    Located in the center of old historic Tonopah! Perched on a hillside with block retaining walls and fence, 3 BR 2 Bth home has an enclosed entry porch and attached garage with workshop. Corner lot is surounded on 3 sides by streets: Prospect, McCulloch and University. Over 2000 sq. ft home has spacious living area and lots of potential. Great opportunity to build some sweat equity. No zoning or building department so you can have a business there too.

  17. 2023-08-30
    soldstatus $74,900 Closed 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    Located in the center of old historic Tonopah! Perched on a hillside with block retaining walls and fence, 3 BR 2 Bth home has an enclosed entry porch and attached garage with workshop. Corner lot is surounded on 3 sides by streets: Prospect, McCulloch and University. Over 2000 sq. ft home has spacious living area and lots of potential. Great opportunity to build some sweat equity. No zoning or building department so you can have business there too.

  18. 2023-07-25
    historical Active Under Contract 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    Located in the center of old historic Tonopah! Perched on a hillside with block retaining walls and fence, 3 BR 2 Bth home has an enclosed entry porch and attached garage with workshop. Corner lot is surounded on 3 sides by streets: Prospect, McCulloch and University. Over 2000 sq. ft home has spacious living area and lots of potential. Great opportunity to build some sweat equity. No zoning or building department so you can have business there too.

  19. 2023-07-17
    price $74,900 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    Located in the center of old historic Tonopah! Perched on a hillside with block retaining walls and fence, 3 BR 2 Bth home has an enclosed entry porch and attached garage with workshop. Corner lot is surounded on 3 sides by streets: Prospect, McCulloch and University. Over 2000 sq. ft home has spacious living area and lots of potential. Great opportunity to build some sweat equity. No zoning or building department so you can have business there too.

  20. 2023-04-18
    listed $97,900 Active 453-char remark
    Show marketing remark (453 chars)

    Located in the center of old historic Tonopah! Perched on a hillside with block retaining walls and fence, 3 BR 2 Bth home has an enclosed entry porch and attached garage with workshop. Corner lot is surounded on 3 sides by streets: Prospect, McCulloch and University. Over 2000 sq. ft home has spacious living area and lots of potential. Great opportunity to build some sweat equity. No zoning or building department so you can have business there too.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$777 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$777 · $65/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,021
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$777
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,442
− Management
−$1,442
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$6,251
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,500
After-tax cash flow
$5,846/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nye County School District
NCES district ID
3200360
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,447
Composite
22.43/100
National rank
#8110
State rank
#16 of 17 in NV

Livability — Tonopah

Score
63/100
State rank
#60
US rank
#16080

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tonopah, NV
Population (ZIP)
2,711

Population outlook (Nye County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,727 people
By 2030
38,812 · -4.7%
By 2040
33,952 · -16.6%
By 2050
29,393 · -27.8%
By 2075
21,122 · -48.1%
By 2100
14,400 · -64.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nye

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.0% · R 70.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.4pp · 2024: -42.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.2 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+13.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.88%
Current HPI
124.5675
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.08%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $90,000 GLVAR
  • 2023-08-30 Sold (MLS) $74,900 GLVAR
  • 2023-07-25 Contingent GLVAR
  • 2023-07-17 Price Changed $74,900 GLVAR
  • 2023-04-18 Listed $97,900 GLVAR

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $777 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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