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2140 San Bernardo Ave
D Composite 43.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.1/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$222,000

2140 San Bernardo Ave · Hemet, CA 92545
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 827 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 402 Days on market
Built 1975 4,356 sqft lot $268/sqft · 6% below area Est $235k · 6% under $3/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is a very charming home in a senior community!!! You won't want to overlook this one. this home has had many upgrades paint flooring kitchen UPGRADED FROM HEAD TO TOE, new water heater and many more. There is a large back yard if you enjoy gardening or just enjoying set and relaxing on your patio area. Also, the home is located on a cui-dr-sac street so very little car traffic. Come take a look for yourself.

Key facts

  • Patio area
  • Cul-de-sac street
  • Large back yard

Tags

LARGE BACK YARDPATIO AREACUL-DE-SAC STREET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $222k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($733/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (20.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $178k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.8% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Fruitvale Elementary (805 students, 88% FRL); Rancho Viejo Middle (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #277 of 498 statewide, top 73%, 975 students, 88% FRL); Tahquitz High (math 14% / reading 42%, grade F, #777 of 1,170 statewide, top 67%, 1,727 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 66% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 292 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 402 days — a 12% lower offer ($195k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $56k; list at $222k implies a 296% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $177,697 (20.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 402 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.62%
Cash-on-cash
1.18%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$235,473
List price
$222,000
Delta
-5.72%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2221 San Bernardo 0.07mi 2/1.0 827 (0%) 2mo $200,000 $242 95
2046 Calle Diablo 0.12mi 2/1.0 820 (-1%) 1mo $229,000 $279 92
2321 San Helice Ct 0.17mi 2/1.0 827 (0%) 0mo $215,000 $260 92
2372 Antigua Ct 0.20mi 2/1.0 820 (-1%) 2mo $258,000 $315 88
1931 Calle Arboleda 0.24mi 2/1.0 827 (0%) 2mo $215,000 $260 87
2124 San Padre 0.25mi 2/1.0 827 (0%) 1mo $245,000 $296 87
1991 Nuevo St 0.25mi 2/1.0 827 (0%) 3mo $240,000 $290 86
1933 Nuevo 0.26mi 2/1.0 827 (0%) 2mo $235,000 $284 86
1871 Calle Pasito 0.30mi 2/1.0 827 (0%) 3mo $232,500 $281 83
601 Corona St 0.16mi 2/2.0 882 (+7%) 1mo $250,000 $283 77
640 Corona 0.22mi 2/2.0 875 (+6%) 1mo $232,500 $266 75
2024 Ortega Ct 0.14mi 2/2.0 922 (+12%) 2mo $270,000 $293 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-30,841
Equity at exit
$33,101
10-year hold
IRR
-3.9%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-16,663
Equity at exit
$19,195

Cash invested: $62,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92545

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
292
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,777 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,164
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $996/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$3
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$373
Net cashflow
$61

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,700
Max offer price $222,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $187 -5% $124 +0% $61 +5% $-2 +10% $-65
Rent -10% $-79 -5% $-9 +0% $61 +5% $131 +10% $201
Rate -1.0pp $173 -0.5pp $118 base $61 +0.5pp $4 +1.0pp $-55

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,500
Closing costs
$6,660
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 35 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2120 San Bernardo Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $2,100 $2.54 45d 1 0.02mi
2054 Avenida Olivos Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 820 $1,500 $1.83 45d 1 0.07mi
2269 San Bernardo Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,650 $2.00 45d 1 0.08mi
528 San Marino St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,900 $2.30 45d 1 0.13mi
1964 W Oakland Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,695 $1.73 19d 1 0.14mi
341 Calle Nogales Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,395 $1.69 45d 1 0.17mi
1862 Pueblo Dr Unit 1862 Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,750 $1.79 26d 1 0.17mi
1862 Pueblo Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,900 $1.94 45d 1 0.17mi
601 Corona St Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 882 $1,700 $1.93 0d 1 0.18mi
1887 Calle Amargosa Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,545 $1.87 26d 1 0.21mi
627 Solano Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 882 $1,800 $2.04 20d 1 0.23mi
682 San Marino St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,600 $1.93 45d 1 0.25mi
1933 Nuevo St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,700 $2.06 26d 1 0.28mi
1931 Nuevo St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 820 $1,600 $1.95 45d 1 0.29mi
2488 San Padre Ct Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,599 $1.93 1d 1 0.30mi
2488 San Padre Ct Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,599 $1.93 15d 1 0.30mi
2422 San Padre Ct Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,800 $2.18 26d 1 0.33mi
2770 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 707 $1,945 $2.75 0d 10 0.38mi
446 N Elk St Unit D Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 980 $1,675 $1.71 26d 1 0.54mi
1270 Rosalia Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,800 $2.00 45d 1 0.56mi
250 N Elk St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,625 $1.81 15d 1 0.61mi
201 N Valley View Dr Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 552 $1,500 $2.72 45d 1 0.66mi
2098 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 895 $2,035 $2.27 0d 1 0.68mi
165 N Hamilton Ave Unit 4 Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 768 $1,525 $1.99 23d 1 0.72mi
165 N Hamilton Ave Unit 3 Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 768 $1,450 $1.89 7d 1 0.72mi
2403 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 910 $1,995 $2.19 9d 1 0.74mi
2469 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 910 $1,750 $1.92 26d 1 0.75mi
3030 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 807 $1,780 $2.20 0d 8 0.84mi
471 Whitney Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1085 $1,800 $1.66 7d 1 0.97mi
3800 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA 3.0 1.0–2.0 816 $2,172 $2.66 0d 7 1.04mi
1461 W Mayberry Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1044 $1,750 $1.68 45d 1 1.05mi
233 N Alessandro St Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 690 $1,400 $2.03 45d 1 1.17mi
471 S Simpson Ave Unit D Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $1,750 $1.94 45d 1 1.24mi
199 N Inez St Apt D Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 650 $1,300 $2.00 1d 1 1.25mi
199 N Inez St Apt D Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 650 $1,300 $2.00 9d 1 1.25mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$3 · $36/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $222,000 Active 402 DOM
  2. 2026-02-04
    price $222,000 416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    This is a very charming home in a senior community!!! You won't want to overlook this one. this home has had many upgrades paint flooring kitchen UPGRADED FROM HEAD TO TOE, new water heater and many more. There is a large back yard if you enjoy gardening or just enjoying set and relaxing on your patio area. Also, the home is located on a cui-dr-sac street so very little car traffic. Come take a look for yourself.

  3. 2025-05-16
    price $239,900 416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    This is a very charming home in a senior community!!! You won't want to overlook this one. this home has had many upgrades paint flooring kitchen UPGRADED FROM HEAD TO TOE, new water heater and many more. There is a large back yard if you enjoy gardening or just enjoying set and relaxing on your patio area. Also, the home is located on a cui-dr-sac street so very little car traffic. Come take a look for yourself.

  4. 2025-04-24
    listed $249,900 Active 416-char remark
    Show marketing remark (416 chars)

    This is a very charming home in a senior community!!! You won't want to overlook this one. this home has had many upgrades paint flooring kitchen UPGRADED FROM HEAD TO TOE, new water heater and many more. There is a large back yard if you enjoy gardening or just enjoying set and relaxing on your patio area. Also, the home is located on a cui-dr-sac street so very little car traffic. Come take a look for yourself.

  5. 2007-12-21
    historical
  6. 2007-06-23
    listed $158,000
  7. 2007-06-07
    historical
  8. 2007-01-08
    listed $160,500
  9. 2001-10-12
    soldstatus $56,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$996 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,687 · $141/mo
Expected delta
+$691/yr (+$58/mo · 69.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,324
− Mortgage interest
−$12,435
− Property taxes
−$996
− Insurance
−$1,110
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,706
− Management
−$1,706
− HOA
−$36
− Depreciation
−$6,458
Taxable loss
−$3,124
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$750
After-tax cash flow
$1,483/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hemet Unified
NCES district ID
0616920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$39,962
Composite
25.16/100
National rank
#7517
State rank
#360 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hemet

Score
51/100
State rank
#1056
US rank
#25208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemet, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
137,670
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
45,982
Household income
$63,770
Rent vs Own
28.8% rent · 71.2% own
Severe rent burden
1813.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 35% Two or more races 17% Black 8% Asian 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 27% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.25%
Current HPI
356.9414
Rent YoY
▲ 3.74%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+296.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $222,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-05-16 Price Changed $239,900 CRMLS
  • 2025-04-24 Listed $249,900 CRMLS
  • 2007-12-21 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2007-06-23 Listed $158,000 CRMLS
  • 2007-06-07 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2007-01-08 Listed $160,500 CRMLS
  • 2001-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $996 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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