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2 Orchard Rd
D Composite 41.84
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,900

2 Orchard Rd · Harbor Island, SC 29920
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,342 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1990 0.46 ac lot $5/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Lowcountry Cottage in desirable Coffin Point Plantation. Enjoy the charm of this 2 bedroom, 2 bath cottage with fireplace & short walk to the beach. Short drive to shopping, bases & Historic Downtown Beaufort. Come & enjoy the Lowcountry Lifestyle.

Key facts

  • Koi pond
  • Fenced back yard
  • Raised bed garden

Tags

PRIVATE BEACH ENTRANCESKOI PONDGURGLING FOUNTAINFIRE PITFENCED BACK YARDRAISED BED GARDEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Tax annual amount listed (not included per instructions)
  • HOA & community: HOA/POA fee: $60 annually

Exterior

  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story (implied by building area and descriptions); Address: 2 Orchard Rd, Saint Helena Island, SC 29920
  • Construction: Composition roof; Crawl foundation; Building area approximately 1,155
  • Exterior features: Approximately 0.46-acre lot; Rural zoning; Directions: Hwy 21 to Coffin Point Rd. Left on Oakland, right on W Cedar, property on the right at the corner of W Cedar and Orchard Rd.

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling; Has heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); One fireplace; Tile flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Unfurnished

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (21.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $236k (21.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 1.0% in Harbor Island — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Beaufort 01 (town): math 42% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #17 of 80 in SC (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: St. Helena Elementary (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #499 of 597 statewide, top 84%, 347 students, 100% FRL); Lady'S Island Middle (math 23% / reading 35%, grade F, #142 of 229 statewide, top 62%, 434 students, 100% FRL); Beaufort High (math 47% / reading 81%, grade B-, #92 of 196 statewide, top 48%, 1,191 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 48% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 330 active listings in the ZIP; 1,824 units permitted in Beaufort County in 2024 (618 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Beaufort County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $129k; list at $300k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $235,742 (21.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.72%
Cash-on-cash
1.53%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$708,576
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
28 W Cedar Rd 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,350 (+1%) 3mo $384,999 $285 90
51 W Cedar Rd 0.17mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,420 (+6%) 13mo $750,000 $528 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-41,945
Equity at exit
$44,716
10-year hold
IRR
-5.2%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-28,403
Equity at exit
$25,930

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29920

Home prices YoY
-14.5%
Active inventory
330
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,357 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$53 /mo · $633/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$5
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$495
Net cashflow
$107

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,222
Max offer price $299,900
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $277 -5% $192 +0% $107 +5% $22 +10% $-422
Rent -10% $-79 -5% $14 +0% $107 +5% $200 +10% $293
Rate -1.0pp $258 -0.5pp $183 base $107 +0.5pp $29 +1.0pp $-50

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,975
Closing costs
$8,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$5 · $60/yr

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $299,900 Pending 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $299,900 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,900 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $299,900 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    status $299,900 Active 1 DOM
  9. 2026-05-21
    listed $299,900 Active
  10. 2013-06-14
    soldstatus $129,000
  11. 2013-06-11
    soldstatus $129,000 266-char remark
    Show marketing remark (266 chars)

    Great Lowcountry Cottage in desirable Coffin Point Plantation. Enjoy the charm of this 2 bedroom, 2 bath cottage with fireplace & short walk to the beach. Short drive to shopping, bases & Historic Downtown Beaufort. Come & enjoy the Lowcountry Lifestyle.

  12. 2013-03-25
    listed $129,900 266-char remark
    Show marketing remark (266 chars)

    Great Lowcountry Cottage in desirable Coffin Point Plantation. Enjoy the charm of this 2 bedroom, 2 bath cottage with fireplace & short walk to the beach. Short drive to shopping, bases & Historic Downtown Beaufort. Come & enjoy the Lowcountry Lifestyle.

  13. 2005-10-10
    soldstatus $155,000
  14. 2000-10-06
    soldstatus $100,000
  15. 1997-10-01
    soldstatus $87,000
  16. 1996-04-26
    soldstatus $74,000
  17. 1994-09-15
    soldstatus $64,000
  18. 1991-02-05
    soldstatus $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$633 · $53/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,709 · $142/mo
Expected delta
+$1,076/yr (+$90/mo · 169.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 54% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,289
− Mortgage interest
−$16,799
− Property taxes
−$633
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,263
− Management
−$2,263
− HOA
−$60
− Depreciation
−$8,724
Taxable loss
−$3,953
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$949
After-tax cash flow
$2,232/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beaufort 01
NCES district ID
4501110
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$57,430
Composite
40.56/100
National rank
#3699
State rank
#17 of 80 in SC

Livability — Harbor Island

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,918

Population outlook (Beaufort County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
211,915 people
By 2030
227,272 · +7.2%
By 2040
253,861 · +19.8%
By 2050
275,126 · +29.8%
By 2075
311,022 · +46.8%
By 2100
321,286 · +51.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 41% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Beaufort

2024 margin
R (+14.5) · D 42.1% · R 56.6% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-3.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.8pp · 2024: -14.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.5 2020: R+10.0 2016: R+14.3 2012: R+17.5 2008: R+10.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.29%
Current HPI
284.2064
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+400.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $299,900 LRMLS
  • 2013-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
  • 2013-06-11 Sold (MLS) $129,000 LRMLS
  • 2013-03-25 Listed $129,900 LRMLS
  • 2005-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 2000-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 1997-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
  • 1996-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
  • 1994-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
  • 1991-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $633 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…