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D+ Composite 46.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0

$595,000

530 Grand St Unit 8E · New York, NY 10002
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 712 sqft · SingleFamily · 195 Days on market
Built 1949 Est $646k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Hurry before its gone. Check out the spacious 1-bedroom apartment on the 8th floor of the Hillman Co-op! This sun-lit home features a windowed eat-in kitchen & windowed bath, a large living room with western exposure, and a large bedroom with double exposures (south and west). The flexible layout offers potential to open the kitchen/living room for a loft-like feel or convert to a 2-bedroom. This unit features 4 large closets, updated moldings, hardwood floors in the entry/hallway, original parquet in the living/bedroom, and classic Hillman beamed ceilings over 8 feet high. Amenities include a 24/7 fitness center and laundry room, children's playroom, private parks/playgrounds (with water features), community garden, bike storage, composting, electronics recycling, on-site maintenance, and parking. Washers are allowed; dogs up to 35 lbs permitted with approval. Subletting allowed after 2 years with some restrictions. Fantastic location across from supermarket, 24-hr convenience store, dry cleaner, and more. Minutes to cafes, restaurants, bakeries, pharmacies, Citibike. Trader Joe’s and Target coming soon. Close to M14D, M21, M22 buses, and J, M, F trains at Delancey/Essex and East Broadway.

Key facts

  • Large bedroom
  • Flexible layout
  • Large closets

Tags

WINDOWED EAT-IN KITCHENWINDOWED BATHLARGE LIVING ROOMLARGE BEDROOMFLEXIBLE LAYOUTLARGE CLOSETS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association: Hillman Coop; Association fee includes gas, heat, sewer, and water; Community fitness center

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage; Waitlist for parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Stock cooperative
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 rooms total
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Radiant heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Pets allowed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $595k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-564 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $513k (13.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $449k (24.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $449k (24.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Mark Twain Is 239 For The Gifted And Talented (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #6 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 1,207 students, 44% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,491/mo this rent would consume 111% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 7758% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $26k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
  • New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($524k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $449,116 (24.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.16%
Cash-on-cash
-4.06%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$646,496
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
290 East 2nd St Unit 2d 0.40mi 2/1.0 (+1) 721 (+1%) 8mo $655,000 $908 68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.62% appreciation · 7.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$76,945
Equity at exit
$288,402
10-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
3.04×
Total profit
$339,897
Equity at exit
$461,413

Cash invested: $166,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10002

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
210
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,491 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,120
Tax est. 1.5%
$744 /mo · $8,925/yr
Insurance
$248
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$943
Net cashflow
$-564

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,205
Max offer price $513,404
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-153 -5% $-358 +0% $-564 +5% $-769 +10% $-975
Rent -10% $-919 -5% $-741 +0% $-564 +5% $-386 +10% $-209
Rate -1.0pp $-264 -0.5pp $-413 base $-564 +0.5pp $-718 +1.0pp $-875

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$148,750
Closing costs
$17,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
180 Broome St #1521 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $7,970 $9.38 3d 2 0.31mi
125 Delancey St #1523 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $7,860 $9.25 3d 2 0.43mi
171 Suffolk St #1265 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 650 $6,950 $10.69 9d 2 0.49mi
68 Gold St New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $3,610 $5.16 26d 2 0.73mi
229 Chrystie St New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 810 $6,120 $7.56 6d 3 0.80mi
11 Wharf Way Brooklyn, NY 1.0 1.0 610 $4,870 $7.98 1d 2 0.80mi
478 Kent Ave Brooklyn, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $5,920 $7.64 4d 3 0.81mi
482 Kent Ave Brooklyn, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 750 $6,555 $8.74 1d 3 0.82mi
93 1/2 E 7th St Unit 1054297P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 495 $10,000 $20.20 23d 1 0.85mi
11 E 1st St New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 1060 $8,052 $7.60 0d 1 0.86mi
120 Mulberry St Unit 1257050P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 645 $12,372 $19.18 26d 1 0.91mi
187 Kent Ave #1730 Brooklyn, NY 1.0 1.0 500 $5,750 $11.50 8d 1 0.91mi
209 1st Ave Unit 1370708P New York, NY 1.0 1.0 602 $12,000 $19.93 26d 1 1.08mi
112 E 10th St Unit 1021937P New York, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1296 $5,772 $4.45 5d 2 1.12mi
101 E 10th St #1153 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 575 $6,630 $11.53 1d 2 1.16mi
111 Worth St New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 747 $6,077 $8.14 9d 7 1.18mi
88 Leonard St New York, NY 1.0 1.0 598 $7,966 $13.32 9d 13 1.26mi
275 S 5th St #1698 Brooklyn, NY 1.0 1.0 450 $4,860 $10.80 26d 2 1.28mi
346 E 18th St Unit 1254596P New York, NY 2.0 2.0 699 $12,979 $18.57 23d 1 1.30mi
105 Duane St #183 New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 821 $8,935 $10.88 1d 3 1.31mi
107 Columbia Hts #1757 Brooklyn, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 708 $5,650 $7.98 1d 2 1.32mi
815 Broadway #204 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 522 $8,250 $15.80 9d 1 1.36mi
180 Water St #537 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 728 $8,040 $11.04 4d 2 1.40mi
1 Union Sq S #1174 New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $10,120 $13.06 12d 3 1.40mi
104 MacDougal St Unit 1056263P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 441 $9,375 $21.26 23d 1 1.43mi
343 Gold St Brooklyn, NY 3.0 1.0–2.0 903 $5,053 $5.59 6d 1 1.45mi
250 E 21st St Unit 8D New York, NY 1.0 1.0 688 $9,525 $13.84 4d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $595,000 Active 195 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $595,000 Active 194 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $595,000 Active 193 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $595,000 Active 192 DOM
  5. 2025-11-20
    listed $595,000 Active
  6. 2025-10-01
    listed $595,000 Active 1219-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1223 chars)

    Hurry before its gone. Check out the spacious 1-bedroom apartment on the 8th floor of the Hillman Co-op! This sun-lit home features a windowed eat-in kitchen & windowed bath, a large living room with western exposure, and a large bedroom with double exposures (south and west). The flexible layout offers potential to open the kitchen/living room for a loft-like feel or convert to a 2-bedroom. This unit features 4 large closets, updated moldings, hardwood floors in the entry/hallway, original parquet in the living/bedroom, and classic Hillman beamed ceilings over 8 feet high. Amenities include a 24/7 fitness center and laundry room, children's playroom, private parks/playgrounds (with water features), community garden, bike storage, composting, electronics recycling, on-site maintenance, and parking. Washers are allowed; dogs up to 35 lbs permitted with approval. Subletting allowed after 2 years with some restrictions. Fantastic location across from supermarket, 24-hr convenience store, dry cleaner, and more. One block to cafes, restaurants, bakeries, pharmacies, Citibike. Trader Joe’s and Target coming soon. Close to M14D, M21, M22 buses, and J, M, F trains at Delancey/Essex and East Broadway.

  7. 2025-10-01
    listed $595,000 Active 1223-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1223 chars)

    Hurry before its gone. Check out the spacious 1-bedroom apartment on the 8th floor of the Hillman Co-op! This sun-lit home features a windowed eat-in kitchen & windowed bath, a large living room with western exposure, and a large bedroom with double exposures (south and west). The flexible layout offers potential to open the kitchen/living room for a loft-like feel or convert to a 2-bedroom. This unit features 4 large closets, updated moldings, hardwood floors in the entry/hallway, original parquet in the living/bedroom, and classic Hillman beamed ceilings over 8 feet high. Amenities include a 24/7 fitness center and laundry room, children's playroom, private parks/playgrounds (with water features), community garden, bike storage, composting, electronics recycling, on-site maintenance, and parking. Washers are allowed; dogs up to 35 lbs permitted with approval. Subletting allowed after 2 years with some restrictions. Fantastic location across from supermarket, 24-hr convenience store, dry cleaner, and more. One block to cafes, restaurants, bakeries, pharmacies, Citibike. Trader Joe’s and Target coming soon. Close to M14D, M21, M22 buses, and J, M, F trains at Delancey/Essex and East Broadway.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$53,894
− Mortgage interest
−$33,329
− Property taxes
−$8,925
− Insurance
−$2,975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,312
− Management
−$4,312
− Depreciation
−$17,309
Taxable loss
−$17,267
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,144
After-tax cash flow
$-2,623/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
New York County · 1,599,927 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
76,873
Household income
$48,386
Rent vs Own
81.3% rent · 18.7% own
Severe rent burden
7758.0

Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,825,725 people
By 2030
1,904,611 · +4.3%
By 2040
2,052,719 · +12.4%
By 2050
2,206,601 · +20.9%
By 2075
2,509,427 · +37.4%
By 2100
2,702,933 · +48.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 37% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 10% Black 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 15% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
38% · China, Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
48% English-only · Chinese 29% Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · New York

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.62%
Current HPI
302.3293
Rent YoY
▲ 7.55%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-20 Listed $595,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $595,000 BNYMLS
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $595,000 RLS at REBNY

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…