530 Grand St Unit 8E · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
$595,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Hurry before its gone. Check out the spacious 1-bedroom apartment on the 8th floor of the Hillman Co-op! This sun-lit home features a windowed eat-in kitchen & windowed bath, a large living room with western exposure, and a large bedroom with double exposures (south and west). The flexible layout offers potential to open the kitchen/living room for a loft-like feel or convert to a 2-bedroom. This unit features 4 large closets, updated moldings, hardwood floors in the entry/hallway, original parquet in the living/bedroom, and classic Hillman beamed ceilings over 8 feet high. Amenities include a 24/7 fitness center and laundry room, children's playroom, private parks/playgrounds (with water features), community garden, bike storage, composting, electronics recycling, on-site maintenance, and parking. Washers are allowed; dogs up to 35 lbs permitted with approval. Subletting allowed after 2 years with some restrictions. Fantastic location across from supermarket, 24-hr convenience store, dry cleaner, and more. Minutes to cafes, restaurants, bakeries, pharmacies, Citibike. Trader Joe’s and Target coming soon. Close to M14D, M21, M22 buses, and J, M, F trains at Delancey/Essex and East Broadway.
Key facts
- Large bedroom
- Flexible layout
- Large closets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association: Hillman Coop; Association fee includes gas, heat, sewer, and water; Community fitness center
Exterior
- Parking: Garage; Waitlist for parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Stock cooperative
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 rooms total
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Radiant heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Pets allowed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $595k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-564 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $513k (13.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $449k (24.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $449k (24.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Mark Twain Is 239 For The Gifted And Talented (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #6 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 1,207 students, 44% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,491/mo this rent would consume 111% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 7758% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $26k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($524k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.06%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $646,496
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 290 East 2nd St Unit 2d | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 721 (+1%) | 8mo | $655,000 | $908 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.62% appreciation · 7.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $76,945
- Equity at exit
- $288,402
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $339,897
- Equity at exit
- $461,413
Cash invested: $166,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10002
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 210
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,491 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,120
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$744 /mo · $8,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$248
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$943
- Net cashflow
- $-564
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-153 | -5% $-358 | +0% $-564 | +5% $-769 | +10% $-975 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-919 | -5% $-741 | +0% $-564 | +5% $-386 | +10% $-209 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-264 | -0.5pp $-413 | base $-564 | +0.5pp $-718 | +1.0pp $-875 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $148,750
- Closing costs
- $17,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180 Broome St #1521 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $7,970 | $9.38 | 3d | 2 | 0.31mi |
| 125 Delancey St #1523 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $7,860 | $9.25 | 3d | 2 | 0.43mi |
| 171 Suffolk St #1265 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $6,950 | $10.69 | 9d | 2 | 0.49mi |
| 68 Gold St New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,610 | $5.16 | 26d | 2 | 0.73mi |
| 229 Chrystie St New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 810 | $6,120 | $7.56 | 6d | 3 | 0.80mi |
| 11 Wharf Way Brooklyn, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $4,870 | $7.98 | 1d | 2 | 0.80mi |
| 478 Kent Ave Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $5,920 | $7.64 | 4d | 3 | 0.81mi |
| 482 Kent Ave Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 750 | $6,555 | $8.74 | 1d | 3 | 0.82mi |
| 93 1/2 E 7th St Unit 1054297P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 495 | $10,000 | $20.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 11 E 1st St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1060 | $8,052 | $7.60 | 0d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 120 Mulberry St Unit 1257050P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $12,372 | $19.18 | 26d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 187 Kent Ave #1730 Brooklyn, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $5,750 | $11.50 | 8d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 209 1st Ave Unit 1370708P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 602 | $12,000 | $19.93 | 26d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 112 E 10th St Unit 1021937P New York, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1296 | $5,772 | $4.45 | 5d | 2 | 1.12mi |
| 101 E 10th St #1153 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 575 | $6,630 | $11.53 | 1d | 2 | 1.16mi |
| 111 Worth St New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 747 | $6,077 | $8.14 | 9d | 7 | 1.18mi |
| 88 Leonard St New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 598 | $7,966 | $13.32 | 9d | 13 | 1.26mi |
| 275 S 5th St #1698 Brooklyn, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $4,860 | $10.80 | 26d | 2 | 1.28mi |
| 346 E 18th St Unit 1254596P New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 699 | $12,979 | $18.57 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 105 Duane St #183 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 821 | $8,935 | $10.88 | 1d | 3 | 1.31mi |
| 107 Columbia Hts #1757 Brooklyn, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 708 | $5,650 | $7.98 | 1d | 2 | 1.32mi |
| 815 Broadway #204 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 522 | $8,250 | $15.80 | 9d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 180 Water St #537 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 728 | $8,040 | $11.04 | 4d | 2 | 1.40mi |
| 1 Union Sq S #1174 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 775 | $10,120 | $13.06 | 12d | 3 | 1.40mi |
| 104 MacDougal St Unit 1056263P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 441 | $9,375 | $21.26 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 343 Gold St Brooklyn, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 903 | $5,053 | $5.59 | 6d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 250 E 21st St Unit 8D New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $9,525 | $13.84 | 4d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $595,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $595,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $595,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $595,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2025-11-20$595,000 Active
-
2025-10-01$595,000 Active 1219-char remark
Show marketing remark (1223 chars)
Hurry before its gone. Check out the spacious 1-bedroom apartment on the 8th floor of the Hillman Co-op! This sun-lit home features a windowed eat-in kitchen & windowed bath, a large living room with western exposure, and a large bedroom with double exposures (south and west). The flexible layout offers potential to open the kitchen/living room for a loft-like feel or convert to a 2-bedroom. This unit features 4 large closets, updated moldings, hardwood floors in the entry/hallway, original parquet in the living/bedroom, and classic Hillman beamed ceilings over 8 feet high. Amenities include a 24/7 fitness center and laundry room, children's playroom, private parks/playgrounds (with water features), community garden, bike storage, composting, electronics recycling, on-site maintenance, and parking. Washers are allowed; dogs up to 35 lbs permitted with approval. Subletting allowed after 2 years with some restrictions. Fantastic location across from supermarket, 24-hr convenience store, dry cleaner, and more. One block to cafes, restaurants, bakeries, pharmacies, Citibike. Trader Joe’s and Target coming soon. Close to M14D, M21, M22 buses, and J, M, F trains at Delancey/Essex and East Broadway.
-
2025-10-01$595,000 Active 1223-char remark
Show marketing remark (1223 chars)
Hurry before its gone. Check out the spacious 1-bedroom apartment on the 8th floor of the Hillman Co-op! This sun-lit home features a windowed eat-in kitchen & windowed bath, a large living room with western exposure, and a large bedroom with double exposures (south and west). The flexible layout offers potential to open the kitchen/living room for a loft-like feel or convert to a 2-bedroom. This unit features 4 large closets, updated moldings, hardwood floors in the entry/hallway, original parquet in the living/bedroom, and classic Hillman beamed ceilings over 8 feet high. Amenities include a 24/7 fitness center and laundry room, children's playroom, private parks/playgrounds (with water features), community garden, bike storage, composting, electronics recycling, on-site maintenance, and parking. Washers are allowed; dogs up to 35 lbs permitted with approval. Subletting allowed after 2 years with some restrictions. Fantastic location across from supermarket, 24-hr convenience store, dry cleaner, and more. One block to cafes, restaurants, bakeries, pharmacies, Citibike. Trader Joe’s and Target coming soon. Close to M14D, M21, M22 buses, and J, M, F trains at Delancey/Essex and East Broadway.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $53,894
- − Mortgage interest
- −$33,329
- − Property taxes
- −$8,925
- − Insurance
- −$2,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,312
- − Management
- −$4,312
- − Depreciation
- −$17,309
- Taxable loss
- −$17,267
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,144
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,623/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 76,873
- Household income
- $48,386
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7758.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 37% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 10% Black 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 15% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 38% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Chinese 29% Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.62%
- Current HPI
- 302.3293
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.55%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-20 Listed $595,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-01 Listed $595,000 BNYMLS
- 2025-10-01 Listed $595,000 RLS at REBNY
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…