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933 Harbor St #12 15-Plex
B+ Composite 77.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$1,199,900

933 Harbor St #12 · Houston, TX 77020
315 bd · None ba · 5,546 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 134 Days on market
Built 1920 Poor condition 0.34 ac lot ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 15 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

15 unit multifamily property where each unit has its own private full bathroom, giving residents privacy and flexibility. The layout supports several use options, including workforce housing, furnished rentals, or rent by room, and the property offers on site parking for tenants and visitors. The asset does need rehab and a full turnaround, creating a strong opportunity for a new owner to improve the units, raise rents, and bring the property back to stable operations.Listing may incorporate floorplan and virtual furnishings to help visualize its potential. Property is being sold in “as-is condition”, dimensions and information are approximate and buyer/representation responsibility to verify.

Key facts

  • On site parking
  • Rehab opportunity
  • 0.34 acre lot

Tags

PRIVATE FULL BATHROOMON SITE PARKINGREHAB OPPORTUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 15 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $1.20M. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($60k/yr) — positive. Per door: $335/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($17k rent vs $1.20M).
  • Recommended offer: $1.06M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Martinez R El (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 428 students, 96% FRL); Mcreynolds Middle (math 10% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,602 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 398 students, 98% FRL); Wheatley H S (math 17% / reading 19%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 643 students, 95% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 71% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 339 active listings in the ZIP; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $17,263/mo this rent would consume 413% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 969% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $128k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $120k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $336k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$206k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.06M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $1,055,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
11.31%
Cash-on-cash
17.92%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.3%
Equity multiple
3.96×
Total profit
$995,920
Equity at exit
$1,080,965
10-year hold
IRR
33.5%
Equity multiple
9.13×
Total profit
$2,730,125
Equity at exit
$2,331,142

Cash invested: $335,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77020

Home prices YoY
29.1%
Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
339
Price-to-rent
86.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$17,263 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,292
Tax from tax record
$1,827 /mo · $21,924/yr
Insurance
$500
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,625
Net cashflow
$5,018

Break-even live

Break-even rent $10,911
Max offer price $1,199,900
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $5,698 -5% $5,358 +0% $5,018 +5% $4,679 +10% $4,339
Rent -10% $3,655 -5% $4,337 +0% $5,018 +5% $5,700 +10% $6,382
Rate -1.0pp $5,623 -0.5pp $5,324 base $5,018 +0.5pp $4,707 +1.0pp $4,391

15-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (15 units) $17,263

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$299,975
Closing costs
$35,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,199,900 Active 134 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,199,900 Active 133 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,199,900 Active 131 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $1,199,900 Active 127 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,199,900 Active 126 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,199,900 Active 125 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,199,900 Active 122 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,199,900 Active 119 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,199,900 Active 118 DOM
  10. 2026-04-13
    price $1,199,900 714-char remark
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    15 unit multifamily property where each unit has its own private full bathroom, giving residents privacy and flexibility. The layout supports several use options, including workforce housing, furnished rentals, or rent by room, and the property offers on site parking for tenants and visitors. The asset does need rehab and a full turnaround, creating a strong opportunity for a new owner to improve the units, raise rents, and bring the property back to stable operations.Listing may incorporate floorplan and virtual furnishings to help visualize its potential. Property is being sold in “as-is condition”, dimensions and information are approximate and buyer/representation responsibility to verify.

  11. 2026-03-21
    price $1,249,900 714-char remark
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    15 unit multifamily property where each unit has its own private full bathroom, giving residents privacy and flexibility. The layout supports several use options, including workforce housing, furnished rentals, or rent by room, and the property offers on site parking for tenants and visitors. The asset does need rehab and a full turnaround, creating a strong opportunity for a new owner to improve the units, raise rents, and bring the property back to stable operations.Listing may incorporate floorplan and virtual furnishings to help visualize its potential. Property is being sold in “as-is condition”, dimensions and information are approximate and buyer/representation responsibility to verify.

  12. 2026-02-02
    listed $1,349,900 Active 714-char remark
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    15 unit multifamily property where each unit has its own private full bathroom, giving residents privacy and flexibility. The layout supports several use options, including workforce housing, furnished rentals, or rent by room, and the property offers on site parking for tenants and visitors. The asset does need rehab and a full turnaround, creating a strong opportunity for a new owner to improve the units, raise rents, and bring the property back to stable operations.Listing may incorporate floorplan and virtual furnishings to help visualize its potential. Property is being sold in “as-is condition”, dimensions and information are approximate and buyer/representation responsibility to verify.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$21,924 · $1,827/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$21,958 · $1,830/mo
Expected delta
+$34/yr (+$3/mo · 0.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$207,156
− Mortgage interest
−$67,213
− Property taxes
−$21,924
− Insurance
−$6,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$16,572
− Management
−$16,572
− Depreciation
−$34,906
Taxable income
$43,968
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$10,552
After-tax cash flow
$49,668/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This 15-unit multifamily property is in poor condition with boarded-up windows and overgrown vegetation. Significant repairs and maintenance are needed to bring it up to a livable standard.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Boarded-up windows — Indicates potential structural issues and lack of security
  • Major Overgrown vegetation — Aesthetically unappealing and could indicate neglect

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and fencing — Improves curb appeal and security, attracting potential tenants or buyers
  • Both Boarded-up windows — Fixing the boarded-up windows will improve the property's appearance and security

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Boarded-up windows · Indicates potential structural issues and lack of security Major $15,000–50,000
Overgrown vegetation · Aesthetically unappealing and could indicate neglect Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and fencing — Improves curb appeal and security, attracting potential tenants or buyers
  • Both Boarded-up windows — Fixing the boarded-up windows will improve the property's appearance and security

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
23,686
Household income
$50,119
Rent vs Own
46.2% rent · 53.8% own
Severe rent burden
969.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 69% Black 24% Two or more races 22% White 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 60%
Common ancestry
Swiss 1%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada
Languages at home
39% English-only · Spanish 59% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 55.64%
Current HPI
246.5578
Rent YoY
▲ 4.27%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $1,199,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-21 Price Changed $1,249,900 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $1,349,900 HARMLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $21,924 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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