10904 Ross St · Mango, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Perfect investment opportunity or an affordable place to call home! This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers 1,516 square feet of living space and features a large covered side porch, perfect for relaxing outdoors. A new well pump and tank, schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 6,300 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: RSC-9
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Well water source; Public sewer; Electricity connected; One well on property
- Home design: Manufactured double wide home; Single-story; Faces south; Homestead exempt
- Construction: Block, metal siding, and wood siding construction; Shingle roof; Crawlspace and slab foundation; Built as a manufactured home
- Exterior features: Above-ground private pool; Chain link fencing; Exterior lighting; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (one level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Concrete; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/window cooling units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Covered, screened side porch
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $636 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#265 in FL, #4,263 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: amenities F, employment F.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Armwood High School (math 28% / reading 38%, grade F, #406 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 2,400 students, 66% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 278 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $139k implies a 1224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.62%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $12,218
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.04×
- Total profit
- $40,447
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33610
- Home prices YoY
- -27.0%
- Rents YoY
- -4.7%
- Active inventory
- 278
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,980 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$141 /mo · $1,694/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $636
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $715 | -5% $676 | +0% $636 | +5% $597 | +10% $558 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $480 | -5% $558 | +0% $636 | +5% $715 | +10% $793 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $706 | -0.5pp $672 | base $636 | +0.5pp $600 | +1.0pp $564 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4718 Spatter Dock St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1758 | $2,250 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4713 Trout Lily St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1694 | $2,050 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4610 Claymore Dr Tampa, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $1,454 | $1.28 | 3d | 11 | 0.51mi |
| 5206 Colfax Pl Seffner, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1181 | $2,100 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4514 Limerick Dr Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1716 | $2,495 | $1.45 | 18d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 10881 Caladesi Ave Tampa, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 935 | $2,476 | $2.65 | 0d | 19 | 0.80mi |
| 11511 Grove Ln Seffner, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,575 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4201 Gunnison St Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $2,059 | $1.95 | 0d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 6121 N Falkenburg Rd Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $2,200 | $1.38 | 5d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 6121 N Falkenburg Rd Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $2,200 | $1.38 | 0d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 10246 Douglas Oaks Cir Tampa, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1070 | $1,543 | $1.44 | 0d | 36 | 1.06mi |
| 10207 Hawk Storm Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1514 | $1,949 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 11805 Prickly Pear Way Seffner, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1287 | $2,285 | $1.78 | 0d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 11716 U.S. 92 Seffner, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,350 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5221 Mango Fruit St Seffner, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $2,500 | $1.93 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 11813 Mango Groves Blvd Seffner, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1897 | $2,360 | $1.24 | 18d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5338 Orange Ave Unit B Seffner, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1716 | $1,500 | $0.87 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 11902 Mango Groves Blvd Seffner, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1160 | $2,320 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 11022 Black Swan Ct Seffner, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1252 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 5d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 11033 Black Swan Ct Seffner, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1140 | $1,595 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 11037 Black Swan Ct Seffner, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1154 | $1,650 | $1.43 | 18d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 9917 Ashburn Lake Dr Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1764 | $1,995 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4630 Ashburn Square Dr Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1670 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3521 High Hampton Cir Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1696 | $1,850 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5320 Pine St Seffner, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1134 | $1,200 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2130 Redleaf Dr Brandon, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $2,700 | $1.80 | 5d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3430 High Hampton Cir Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1696 | $2,150 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1690 Palm Leaf Dr Brandon, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1512 | $2,095 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 6500 Motor Enclave Way #1303 Tampa, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $9,994 | $7.24 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3419 High Hampton Cir Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1696 | $1,825 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 4532 Ashburn Square Dr Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1670 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 2120 Redleaf Dr Brandon, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $2,255 | $1.38 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3566 High Hampton Cir Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1696 | $2,100 | $1.24 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18price $139,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$149,000 Active
-
1994-08-11soldstatus $10,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,694 · $141/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,694 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,763
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$1,694
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,901
- − Management
- −$1,901
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $5,743
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,378
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,259/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Mango
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #265
- US rank
- #4263
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mango, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 27,172
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,587
- Household income
- $54,209
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2431.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 22% White 17% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 6%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 18% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.81%
- Current HPI
- 428.9741
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -4.72%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1319.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $149,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,694 · +14.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…