1520 Parmele St · Rockford, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +8.4/15.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Recently updated, all brick bungalow offering 2592 SF of living space. Enjoy the welcoming, covered front porch and a spacious interior featuring a living room that flows seamlessly into the dining room, both showcasing hardwood floors and natural woodwork. The main level includes three bedrooms and a full bath, while the finished upper level provides an additional bedroom and versatile living space. Recent updates to the kitchen include new countertops and new LVP flooring. Hardwood floors have been refinished on the main level. House interior has been recently painted. New epoxy flooring in the basement. Full basement adds storage and an additional bathroom. Outside, you'll find off street parking, a garden shed, and a fully fenced yard - perfect for outdoor enjoyment.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Natural woodwork
- Brick bungalow
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $517 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,569/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1406% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 314 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask is 35% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $115k implies a 619% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 314 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.25%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $117,317
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -1.98%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1310 5th Ave | 0.71mi | 4/1.5 | 2,553 (-2%) | 13mo | $192,000 | $75 | 52 |
| 1008 16th St | 0.60mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,684 (+4%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $60 | 51 |
| 1217 9th Ave | 0.44mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,464 (-5%) | 22mo | $106,000 | $43 | 48 |
| 2004 17th Ave | 0.47mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,352 (-9%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $57 | 47 |
| 2310 Broadway | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 2,303 (-11%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $76 | 44 |
| 1331 19th St | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,235 (-14%) | 14mo | $196,000 | $88 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $22,531
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.09×
- Total profit
- $99,626
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61104
- Home prices YoY
- -21.4%
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,569 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $861/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$329
- Net cashflow
- $517
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
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2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 314 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 313 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 312 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 311 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 310 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 308 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 307 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 305 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 304 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 303 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 302 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 298 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 297 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 296 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 295 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $115,000 Active 294 DOM
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2025-12-01price $115,000 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Recently updated, all brick bungalow offering 2592 SF of living space. Enjoy the welcoming, covered front porch and a spacious interior featuring a living room that flows seamlessly into the dining room, both showcasing hardwood floors and natural woodwork. The main level includes three bedrooms and a full bath, while the finished upper level provides an additional bedroom and versatile living space. Recent updates to the kitchen include new countertops and new LVP flooring. Hardwood floors have been refinished on the main level. House interior has been recently painted. New epoxy flooring in the basement. Full basement adds storage and an additional bathroom. Outside, you'll find off street parking, a garden shed, and a fully fenced yard - perfect for outdoor enjoyment.
-
2025-10-30status Active 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Recently updated, all brick bungalow offering 2592 SF of living space. Enjoy the welcoming, covered front porch and a spacious interior featuring a living room that flows seamlessly into the dining room, both showcasing hardwood floors and natural woodwork. The main level includes three bedrooms and a full bath, while the finished upper level provides an additional bedroom and versatile living space. Recent updates to the kitchen include new countertops and new LVP flooring. Hardwood floors have been refinished on the main level. House interior has been recently painted. New epoxy flooring in the basement. Full basement adds storage and an additional bathroom. Outside, you'll find off street parking, a garden shed, and a fully fenced yard - perfect for outdoor enjoyment.
-
2025-10-30price $120,000 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Recently updated, all brick bungalow offering 2592 SF of living space. Enjoy the welcoming, covered front porch and a spacious interior featuring a living room that flows seamlessly into the dining room, both showcasing hardwood floors and natural woodwork. The main level includes three bedrooms and a full bath, while the finished upper level provides an additional bedroom and versatile living space. Recent updates to the kitchen include new countertops and new LVP flooring. Hardwood floors have been refinished on the main level. House interior has been recently painted. New epoxy flooring in the basement. Full basement adds storage and an additional bathroom. Outside, you'll find off street parking, a garden shed, and a fully fenced yard - perfect for outdoor enjoyment.
-
2025-09-24historical 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Recently updated, all brick bungalow offering 2592 SF of living space. Enjoy the welcoming, covered front porch and a spacious interior featuring a living room that flows seamlessly into the dining room, both showcasing hardwood floors and natural woodwork. The main level includes three bedrooms and a full bath, while the finished upper level provides an additional bedroom and versatile living space. Recent updates to the kitchen include new countertops and new LVP flooring. Hardwood floors have been refinished on the main level. House interior has been recently painted. New epoxy flooring in the basement. Full basement adds storage and an additional bathroom. Outside, you'll find off street parking, a garden shed, and a fully fenced yard - perfect for outdoor enjoyment.
-
2025-07-03$85,000 Active 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Recently updated, all brick bungalow offering 2592 SF of living space. Enjoy the welcoming, covered front porch and a spacious interior featuring a living room that flows seamlessly into the dining room, both showcasing hardwood floors and natural woodwork. The main level includes three bedrooms and a full bath, while the finished upper level provides an additional bedroom and versatile living space. Recent updates to the kitchen include new countertops and new LVP flooring. Hardwood floors have been refinished on the main level. House interior has been recently painted. New epoxy flooring in the basement. Full basement adds storage and an additional bathroom. Outside, you'll find off street parking, a garden shed, and a fully fenced yard - perfect for outdoor enjoyment.
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2017-03-03soldstatus $16,000 Closed Sale 350-char remark
Show marketing remark (350 chars)
All brick bungalow with 1728 sq ft of living space. Large, covered front porch; living room opens to the dining room, both with hardwood floors and natural woodwork. Three bedrooms and one full bath on the main floor; fully finished upper level. Full basement; off-street parking; garden shed in the fully fenced yard; central air. Cheaper than rent!
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2017-03-03soldstatus $16,000
Show marketing remark (350 chars)
All brick bungalow with 1728 sq ft of living space. Large, covered front porch; living room opens to the dining room, both with hardwood floors and natural woodwork. Three bedrooms and one full bath on the main floor; fully finished upper level. Full basement; off-street parking; garden shed in the fully fenced yard; central air. Cheaper than rent!
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2017-02-13status Pending 350-char remark
Show marketing remark (350 chars)
All brick bungalow with 1728 sq ft of living space. Large, covered front porch; living room opens to the dining room, both with hardwood floors and natural woodwork. Three bedrooms and one full bath on the main floor; fully finished upper level. Full basement; off-street parking; garden shed in the fully fenced yard; central air. Cheaper than rent!
-
2017-01-25$19,900 New 350-char remark
Show marketing remark (350 chars)
All brick bungalow with 1728 sq ft of living space. Large, covered front porch; living room opens to the dining room, both with hardwood floors and natural woodwork. Three bedrooms and one full bath on the main floor; fully finished upper level. Full basement; off-street parking; garden shed in the fully fenced yard; central air. Cheaper than rent!
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2017-01-25$19,900
Show marketing remark (350 chars)
All brick bungalow with 1728 sq ft of living space. Large, covered front porch; living room opens to the dining room, both with hardwood floors and natural woodwork. Three bedrooms and one full bath on the main floor; fully finished upper level. Full basement; off-street parking; garden shed in the fully fenced yard; central air. Cheaper than rent!
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1999-11-04soldstatus $60,166
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1997-10-28soldstatus $49,000
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1997-10-28soldstatus $49,000
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1992-06-05soldstatus $36,000
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1992-06-05soldstatus $36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $861 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,736 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- +$875/yr (+$73/mo · 101.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,824
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$861
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,506
- − Management
- −$1,506
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $4,589
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,101
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,097/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rockford SD 205
- NCES district ID
- 1734510
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,533
- Composite
- 12.21/100
- National rank
- #9649
- State rank
- #533 of 620 in IL
Livability — Rockford
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #876
- US rank
- #17035
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rockford, IL
- County
- Winnebago County · 147,297 people
- City population
- 147,297
- Metro
- Rockford, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,222
- Household income
- $33,772
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1406.0
Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 271,080 people
- By 2030
- 260,684 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 238,405 · -12.1%
- By 2050
- 216,129 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 172,882 · -36.2%
- By 2100
- 135,336 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 41% Hispanic / Latino 26% Black 25% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, South Korea, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.40%
- Current HPI
- 233.0219
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.67%
- Metro
- Rockford, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+219.4% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $115,000 NWIAR
- 2025-10-30 Relisted — NWIAR
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $120,000 NWIAR
- 2025-09-24 Delisted — NWIAR
- 2025-07-03 Listed $85,000 NWIAR
- 2017-03-03 Sold (MLS) $16,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-03 Sold (MLS) $16,000 NWIAR
- 2017-02-13 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-25 Listed $19,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-25 Listed $19,900 NWIAR
- 1999-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $60,166 Public Records
- 1997-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
- 1997-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
- 1992-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
- 1992-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.3%/yrLatest (2024): $861 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…