197 Woodbine Ave SE · Warren, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming brick home full of character and opportunity. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, this property offers solid bones and timeless details, including beautiful hardwood floors and classic built-in cabinetry throughout. The spacious primary bedroom includes walk-in closets, adding functionality to the home’s traditional appeal. Two additional spacious bedrooms upstairs as well as additional space for office. Outside, you’ll find a welcoming front porch—perfect for relaxing—as well as a detached 2-car garage for added convenience. This property does need a new roof and some repair work, making it an ideal investment opportunity for those looking to add value. Whether you’re an investor or a buyer ready to put your personal touch on a home, this one has great potential. Don’t miss the chance to transform this property into something special.
Key facts
- Built-in cabinetry
- Front porch
- Walk-in closets
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $376 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 6.0% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#312 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime D-, commute F, employment F.
- Warren City (urban): math 22% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #599 of 656 in OH (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 129 units permitted in Trumbull County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Trumbull County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $80k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.16%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $154,907
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -48.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165 Oak Knoll Ave NE | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+1%) | 3mo | $185,000 | $103 | 87 |
| 210 Fairmount Ave NE | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,768 (-1%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $96 | 78 |
| 146 Bonnie Brae Ave NE | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,850 (+3%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $84 | 72 |
| 221 Kenmore Ave SE | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,696 (-5%) | 5mo | $155,420 | $92 | 65 |
| 222 Central Parkway Ave SE | 0.55mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,830 (+2%) | 1mo | $69,900 | $38 | 64 |
| 852 Kenilworth Ave SE | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,654 (-8%) | 2mo | $144,000 | $87 | 63 |
| 1528 Sunset | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,844 (+3%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $106 | 61 |
| 431 Roselawn Ave NE | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 1,595 (-11%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $150 | 59 |
| 664 Perkinswood Blvd NE | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,619 (-10%) | 1mo | $184,500 | $114 | 52 |
| 630 Adelaide Ave NE | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-11%) | 5mo | $158,000 | $99 | 49 |
| 231 Trumbull Ave NE | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,533 (-14%) | 2mo | $165,850 | $108 | 44 |
| 703 Melwood Dr NE | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,524 (-15%) | 2mo | $193,000 | $127 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $11,034
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 21.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $40,591
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44483
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Active inventory
- 107
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,422/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $376
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 341 Charles AVE Warren, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,100 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 407 Washington St NE Niles, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1388 | $1,250 | $0.90 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $80,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $80,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $89,000 909-char remark
Show marketing remark (909 chars)
Welcome to this charming brick home full of character and opportunity. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, this property offers solid bones and timeless details, including beautiful hardwood floors and classic built-in cabinetry throughout. The spacious primary bedroom includes walk-in closets, adding functionality to the home’s traditional appeal. Two additional spacious bedrooms upstairs as well as additional space for office. Outside, you’ll find a welcoming front porch—perfect for relaxing—as well as a detached 2-car garage for added convenience. This property does need a new roof and some repair work, making it an ideal investment opportunity for those looking to add value. Whether you’re an investor or a buyer ready to put your personal touch on a home, this one has great potential. Don’t miss the chance to transform this property into something special.
-
2026-04-21$99,900 Active 909-char remark
Show marketing remark (909 chars)
Welcome to this charming brick home full of character and opportunity. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, this property offers solid bones and timeless details, including beautiful hardwood floors and classic built-in cabinetry throughout. The spacious primary bedroom includes walk-in closets, adding functionality to the home’s traditional appeal. Two additional spacious bedrooms upstairs as well as additional space for office. Outside, you’ll find a welcoming front porch—perfect for relaxing—as well as a detached 2-car garage for added convenience. This property does need a new roof and some repair work, making it an ideal investment opportunity for those looking to add value. Whether you’re an investor or a buyer ready to put your personal touch on a home, this one has great potential. Don’t miss the chance to transform this property into something special.
-
2016-06-01soldstatus $51,100
-
2016-05-24soldstatus $51,000 Sold 510-char remark
Show marketing remark (510 chars)
Don't miss out on this wonderful brick home featuring a large front porch w/ awnings to enjoy your summers evenings. Spacious rooms with lots of character. Hardwood floors under carpet. Formal dining room, Eat-in kitchen. Master bedroom has 2 large walk-in closets, Full bath up with updated shower. Lots of closet space and built-ins for storage. Full basement with hi-eff furnace and a/c (10 yr). Enclosed back porch to overlook your back yard. AND a 2 car detached garage. Home Warranty included. Call today
-
2016-04-08status Pending 510-char remark
Show marketing remark (510 chars)
Don't miss out on this wonderful brick home featuring a large front porch w/ awnings to enjoy your summers evenings. Spacious rooms with lots of character. Hardwood floors under carpet. Formal dining room, Eat-in kitchen. Master bedroom has 2 large walk-in closets, Full bath up with updated shower. Lots of closet space and built-ins for storage. Full basement with hi-eff furnace and a/c (10 yr). Enclosed back porch to overlook your back yard. AND a 2 car detached garage. Home Warranty included. Call today
-
2016-03-24historical Contingent 510-char remark
Show marketing remark (510 chars)
Don't miss out on this wonderful brick home featuring a large front porch w/ awnings to enjoy your summers evenings. Spacious rooms with lots of character. Hardwood floors under carpet. Formal dining room, Eat-in kitchen. Master bedroom has 2 large walk-in closets, Full bath up with updated shower. Lots of closet space and built-ins for storage. Full basement with hi-eff furnace and a/c (10 yr). Enclosed back porch to overlook your back yard. AND a 2 car detached garage. Home Warranty included. Call today
-
2016-02-06$55,000 Active 510-char remark
Show marketing remark (510 chars)
Don't miss out on this wonderful brick home featuring a large front porch w/ awnings to enjoy your summers evenings. Spacious rooms with lots of character. Hardwood floors under carpet. Formal dining room, Eat-in kitchen. Master bedroom has 2 large walk-in closets, Full bath up with updated shower. Lots of closet space and built-ins for storage. Full basement with hi-eff furnace and a/c (10 yr). Enclosed back porch to overlook your back yard. AND a 2 car detached garage. Home Warranty included. Call today
-
2016-02-05historical
-
2015-08-07$64,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,422 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,422 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,395
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,422
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,152
- − Management
- −$1,152
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $3,461
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$831
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,685/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Warren City
- NCES district ID
- 3904499
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,222
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8299
- State rank
- #599 of 656 in OH
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #312
- US rank
- #5068
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, OH
- County
- Trumbull County · 61,158 people
- City population
- 25,805
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,805
- Household income
- $49,017
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 989.0
Population outlook (Trumbull County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 191,696 people
- By 2030
- 184,015 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 166,810 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 149,857 · -21.8%
- By 2075
- 115,769 · -39.6%
- By 2100
- 83,617 · -56.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Trumbull
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.2% · R 58.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+6.4 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.50%
- Current HPI
- 218.3455
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+37.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $89,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-04-21 Listed $99,900 MLSNOW
- 2016-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $51,100 Public Records
- 2016-05-24 Sold (MLS) $51,000 MLSNOW
- 2016-04-08 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2016-03-24 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2016-02-06 Listed $55,000 MLSNOW
- 2016-02-05 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2015-08-07 Listed $64,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,422 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…