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15870 W Parkway St
C+ Composite 63.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.0/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$48,000

15870 W Parkway St · Detroit, MI 48223
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 906 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1951 5,227 sqft lot $53/sqft · 10% above area Est $44k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 15870 West Parkway, a charming Detroit home with classic character, meaningful updates, and room to make it your own. This property is a great fit for a first-time homebuyer, investor, or anyone looking for a solid opportunity in an area with continued growth and neighborhood improvements. Features include hardwood floors, a full basement, a complete re-shingled roof in 2025, and a fresh coat of paint in 2025. Conveniently located near parks, shopping, schools, major roads, and nearby redevelopment activity. A wonderful chance to own a home with value, versatility, and future potential. Sale as-is.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1951
  • Listed 48 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual property tax approximately $2,425

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding exterior
  • Construction: Brick/mortar foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot roughly 40 x 125 (0.12 acres)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Full, unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $613 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $48k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.6% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 161 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $38k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $46,560 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.49%
Cap rate
21.63%
Cash-on-cash
54.77%
DSCR
3.44
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$43,672
List price
$48,000
Delta
9.91%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16555 Bramell St 0.26mi 3/1.0 918 (+1%) 3mo $60,000 $65 83
15900 W Parkway St 0.02mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+10%) 9mo $70,000 $70 74
15757 Dacosta St 0.31mi 3/1.0 960 (+6%) 2mo $65,000 $68 74
16165 W Parkway St 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,022 (+13%) 5mo $50,000 $49 67
15835 Burgess St 0.60mi 3/1.0 918 (+1%) 9mo $93,000 $101 62
16804 Dolphin St 0.57mi 3/2.0 943 (+4%) 10mo $75,000 $80 54
16131 Lenore 0.73mi 3/1.0 864 (-5%) 10mo $69,900 $81 50
15893 Lenore Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 960 (+6%) 9mo $120,000 $125 48
15361 Grayfield St 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 815 (-10%) 10mo $30,000 $37 48
24255 Puritan 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 855 (-6%) 10mo $129,999 $152 47
22482 W Mcnichols Rd 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,031 (+14%) 2mo $61,000 $59 45
15411 Lahser Rd 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,025 (+13%) 4mo $42,000 $41 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.0%
Equity multiple
3.33×
Total profit
$31,312
Equity at exit
$7,157
10-year hold
IRR
58.2%
Equity multiple
6.78×
Total profit
$77,650
Equity at exit
$4,150

Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48223

Active inventory
161
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,196 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$252
Tax est. 1.5%
$60 /mo · $720/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$613

Break-even live

Break-even rent $420
Max offer price $48,000
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $647 -5% $630 +0% $613 +5% $597 +10% $580
Rent -10% $519 -5% $566 +0% $613 +5% $661 +10% $708
Rate -1.0pp $638 -0.5pp $626 base $613 +0.5pp $601 +1.0pp $588

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,000
Closing costs
$1,440
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15847 Chatham St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,325 $1.46 6d 1 0.18mi
16131 Dale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 19d 1 0.45mi
16800 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 775 $875 $1.13 45d 1 0.59mi
16207 Woodbine St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,294 $1.29 6d 1 0.60mi
16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 45d 1 0.60mi
16581 Wormer St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,100 $1.53 45d 1 0.70mi
16800 Wormer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,250 $1.37 19d 1 0.72mi
15490 Dixie Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,600 $1.75 6d 1 0.89mi
16717 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1101 $1,250 $1.14 45d 1 0.98mi
17274 Bentler St #46 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 18d 1 1.02mi
17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $838 $1.20 25d 2 1.02mi
17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 45d 2 1.02mi
17270 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 45d 1 1.03mi
22241 Lyndon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,100 $1.15 18d 1 1.04mi
21440 Bennett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1037 $1,394 $1.34 18d 1 1.11mi
14280 Bramell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 18d 1 1.15mi
17324 Salem St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 989 $1,200 $1.21 25d 1 1.15mi
21451 Glenco St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,400 $1.36 18d 1 1.18mi
18025 Bentler St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 728 $1,250 $1.72 25d 1 1.19mi
15340 Braile St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 883 $1,000 $1.13 6d 1 1.20mi
16194 Fielding St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 16d 1 1.25mi
14268 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $850 $0.94 45d 1 1.25mi
14264 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 1.25mi
14260 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 1.25mi
14262 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 1.25mi
14266 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 1.25mi
14224 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 45d 1 1.25mi
14258 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 1.26mi
14292 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 1.26mi
14222 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 45d 1 1.26mi
14244 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 1.26mi
14246 Riverview St Unit RB Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 45d 1 1.26mi
14246 Riverview St Unit A Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $985 $1.09 45d 1 1.26mi
14228 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 45d 1 1.26mi
14234 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 45d 1 1.26mi
14238 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 1.26mi
14226 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 45d 1 1.26mi
14230 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 45d 1 1.26mi
14246 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 1.26mi
14240 Riverview St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 45d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $48,000 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $48,000 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $48,000 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $48,000 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $48,000 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $48,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $48,000 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $48,000 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $48,000 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $48,000 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $48,000 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $48,000 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $48,000 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $48,000 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-05-04
    listed $48,000 Active 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Welcome to 15870 West Parkway, a charming Detroit home with classic character, meaningful updates, and room to make it your own. This property is a great fit for a first-time homebuyer, investor, or anyone looking for a solid opportunity in an area with continued growth and neighborhood improvements. Features include hardwood floors, a full basement, a complete re-shingled roof in 2025, and a fresh coat of paint in 2025. Conveniently located near parks, shopping, schools, major roads, and nearby redevelopment activity. A wonderful chance to own a home with value, versatility, and future potential. Sale as-is.

  16. 2026-05-04
    listed $48,000 Active 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Welcome to 15870 West Parkway, a charming Detroit home with classic character, meaningful updates, and room to make it your own. This property is a great fit for a first-time homebuyer, investor, or anyone looking for a solid opportunity in an area with continued growth and neighborhood improvements. Features include hardwood floors, a full basement, a complete re-shingled roof in 2025, and a fresh coat of paint in 2025. Conveniently located near parks, shopping, schools, major roads, and nearby redevelopment activity. A wonderful chance to own a home with value, versatility, and future potential. Sale as-is.

  17. 2026-05-03
    historical $48,000 616-char remark
    Show marketing remark (616 chars)

    Welcome to 15870 West Parkway, a charming Detroit home with classic character, meaningful updates, and room to make it your own. This property is a great fit for a first-time homebuyer, investor, or anyone looking for a solid opportunity in an area with continued growth and neighborhood improvements. Features include hardwood floors, a full basement, a complete re-shingled roof in 2025, and a fresh coat of paint in 2025. Conveniently located near parks, shopping, schools, major roads, and nearby redevelopment activity. A wonderful chance to own a home with value, versatility, and future potential. Sale as-is.

  18. 2026-04-10
    historical
  19. 2026-04-07
    price $50,000
  20. 2026-04-06
    price $50,000
  21. 2026-04-06
    price $50,000
  22. 2026-01-26
    price $65,000
  23. 2026-01-26
    price $65,000
  24. 2026-01-26
    price $65,000
  25. 2026-01-15
    listed $75,000 Active
  26. 2026-01-15
    listed $75,000 Active
  27. 2026-01-15
    historical
  28. 2025-06-02
    status Pending
  29. 2025-06-02
    status Pending
  30. 2025-05-30
    soldstatus $38,050 Closed
  31. 2025-05-30
    soldstatus $38,050 Closed
  32. 2025-05-03
    listed $38,000 Active
  33. 2025-05-03
    listed $38,000 Active
  34. 2025-05-02
    historical $38,000
  35. 2014-06-28
    historical
  36. 2014-06-28
    historical
  37. 2013-11-28
    listed $3,500
  38. 2013-11-28
    listed $3,500
  39. 2007-11-02
    soldstatus $4,500
  40. 2007-06-18
    listed $5,900
  41. 2004-05-18
    soldstatus $76,500
  42. 1997-01-23
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,357
− Mortgage interest
−$2,689
− Property taxes
−$720
− Insurance
−$240
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,149
− Management
−$1,149
− Depreciation
−$1,396
Taxable income
$7,015
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,684
After-tax cash flow
$5,678/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,622
Household income
$44,512
Rent vs Own
43.8% rent · 56.2% own
Severe rent burden
1151.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -303.41%
Current HPI
138.2779
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+92.0% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $48,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $48,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-03 Coming Soon $48,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $50,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $65,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $65,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Coming Soon MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-02 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-02 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-30 Sold (MLS) $38,050 REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-30 Sold (MLS) $38,050 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-03 Listed $38,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-03 Listed $38,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-05-02 Coming Soon $38,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-06-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-06-28 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2013-11-28 Listed $3,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-11-28 Listed $3,500 REALCOMP
  • 2007-11-02 Sold (MLS) $4,500 REALCOMP
  • 2007-06-18 Listed $5,900 REALCOMP
  • 2004-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $76,500 Public Records
  • 1997-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,303 · +37.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…