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319 Lorena Ave S
D+ Composite 48.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.3/5.0

$270,000

319 Lorena Ave S · Lehigh Acres, FL 33974
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,325 sqft · Land · 21 Days on market
Built 2025

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged, AI generated or rendered. Excellent opportunity! Brand-new construction featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms in a central Lehigh Acres location. This property is strategically located near major roads including SR-82, Lee Blvd, and Bell Blvd, providing easy access to different parts of the city. It is also just minutes away from supermarkets, schools, restaurants, and shopping centers such as Walmart and Dollar General. Ideal for those seeking comfort, convenience, and an excellent location.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2025
  • Listed 21 days

Tags

CENTRAL LEHIGH ACRES LOCATIONEASY ACCESS TO MAJOR ROADSMINUTES AWAY FROM SUPERMARKETSMINUTES AWAY FROM SCHOOLSMINUTES AWAY FROM RESTAURANTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned R1; City street frontage; Lot smaller than a quarter acre

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 covered spaces; Driveway; Garage door opener
  • Security: Smoke detector(s); High-impact doors
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-story; New construction; Faces east
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Security/high-impact doors; Smoke detectors

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Garbage disposal; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: At least one bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: First-floor entry; Bedroom on the main level; Split bedroom layout; Pantry; Custom mirrors; Unfurnished; Double-hung, single-hung and sliding windows with impact glass and metal frames; Tile flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area located in the garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1 ($-11/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (0.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (25.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (25.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.7% in Lehigh Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 2460 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $76k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $270k implies a 1829% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $201,918 (25.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
6.29%
Cash-on-cash
-0.01%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$140,939
Equity at exit
$243,237
10-year hold
IRR
20.2%
Equity multiple
6.35×
Total profit
$404,224
Equity at exit
$524,551

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33974

Home prices YoY
5.8%
Rents YoY
-4.7%
Active inventory
2460
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,019 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $812/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$424
Net cashflow
$-1

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,020
Max offer price $269,842
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
350 Limerick Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1199 $1,800 $1.50 3d 1 0.39mi
333 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1114 $1,300 $1.17 3d 1 0.41mi
825 Carbon St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1582 $2,300 $1.45 23d 1 0.42mi
346 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1185 $1,495 $1.26 3d 1 0.46mi
346 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1185 $1,495 $1.26 14d 1 0.46mi
382 McArthur Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1055 $2,200 $2.09 23d 1 0.46mi
388 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,780 $1.48 23d 1 0.50mi
759 Cane St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1169 $1,950 $1.67 3d 1 0.55mi
219 Beckley Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1548 $1,890 $1.22 16d 1 0.60mi
947 Grant Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1650 $2,145 $1.30 23d 1 0.61mi
750 Cane St E Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 3.0 1537 $2,800 $1.82 3d 1 0.61mi
940 Belmont St E Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1838 $2,850 $1.55 23d 1 0.63mi
455 Bell Blvd Unit 1 Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1142 $1,600 $1.40 23d 1 0.64mi
230 E Malden Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1833 $1,875 $1.02 23d 1 0.68mi
459 Lockport Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1650 $2,000 $1.21 23d 1 0.70mi
727 Cane St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1582 $2,000 $1.26 23d 1 0.79mi
912 Anthony St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1548 $1,890 $1.22 16d 1 0.83mi
508 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 23d 1 0.85mi
718 Sunrise Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,610 $1.46 23d 1 0.89mi
713 Cardinal St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,635 $1.49 3d 1 0.92mi
232 Fowler Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1582 $2,664 $1.68 23d 1 0.97mi
940 Sterling St E Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1389 $1,750 $1.26 3d 1 1.01mi
970 Lakeside Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1325 $1,800 $1.36 19d 1 1.05mi
720 Chavers St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1547 $2,200 $1.42 23d 1 1.08mi
573 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1218 $1,900 $1.56 14d 1 1.11mi
444 Genoa Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1389 $1,750 $1.26 21d 1 1.13mi
129 Wanatah Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1798 $1,911 $1.06 3d 1 1.14mi
404 Chalet Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 23d 1 1.16mi
406 Chalet Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 23d 1 1.16mi
541 Hawthorne Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1634 $1,921 $1.18 3d 1 1.18mi
1440 Graham Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1767 $2,300 $1.30 23d 1 1.21mi
270 Silent Lake Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1800 $1,895 $1.05 11d 1 1.22mi
1018 Kent St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,000 $1.25 16d 1 1.23mi
815 Porter St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1659 $1,800 $1.08 23d 1 1.25mi
719 Center Lake St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1616 $1,750 $1.08 23d 1 1.26mi
442 Genoa Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1365 $1,750 $1.28 3d 1 1.26mi
1122 Randolph St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1550 $2,100 $1.35 23d 1 1.29mi
1125 Chipley St Unit 1 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,350 $1.42 3d 1 1.29mi
538 Flamingo Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1272 $1,791 $1.41 3d 1 1.32mi
201 Fireside Ct Unit N/A Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1370 $1,675 $1.22 2d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $270,000 Pending 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $270,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $270,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $270,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $270,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-04-23
    listed $270,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (544 chars)

    One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged, AI generated or rendered. Excellent opportunity! Brand-new construction featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms in a central Lehigh Acres location. This property is strategically located near major roads including SR-82, Lee Blvd, and Bell Blvd, providing easy access to different parts of the city. It is also just minutes away from supermarkets, schools, restaurants, and shopping centers such as Walmart and Dollar General. Ideal for those seeking comfort, convenience, and an excellent location.

  7. 2026-04-23
    listed $270,000 Active 544-char remark
    Show marketing remark (544 chars)

    One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged, AI generated or rendered. Excellent opportunity! Brand-new construction featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms in a central Lehigh Acres location. This property is strategically located near major roads including SR-82, Lee Blvd, and Bell Blvd, providing easy access to different parts of the city. It is also just minutes away from supermarkets, schools, restaurants, and shopping centers such as Walmart and Dollar General. Ideal for those seeking comfort, convenience, and an excellent location.

  8. 2025-12-31
    historical
  9. 2025-11-17
    price $299,900
  10. 2025-11-07
    price $309,900
  11. 2025-07-17
    listed $315,000 Active
  12. 2025-05-29
    historical
  13. 2025-05-29
    historical
  14. 2025-04-29
    listed $300,000 Active
  15. 2025-04-22
    price $300,000
  16. 2025-03-14
    price $335,000
  17. 2025-02-10
    price $345,997
  18. 2025-01-23
    listed $349,997 Active
  19. 2025-01-21
    historical
  20. 2024-12-12
    price $349,997
  21. 2024-11-15
    listed $364,000 Active
  22. 2024-01-29
    soldstatus $14,000
  23. 2017-10-11
    soldstatus $86,600
  24. 2005-03-07
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$812 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,241 · $187/mo
Expected delta
+$1,429/yr (+$119/mo · 176.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 5 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,230
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$812
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,938
− Management
−$1,938
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable loss
−$4,787
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,149
After-tax cash flow
$1,138/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,927
Household income
$72,192
Rent vs Own
27.3% rent · 72.7% own
Severe rent burden
434.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 52% Two or more races 31% White 26% Black 18%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 20% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 7% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.53%
Current HPI
303.3399
Rent YoY
▼ -4.68%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+980.0% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $270,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $270,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2025-11-17 Price Changed $299,900 FORTMLS
  • 2025-11-07 Price Changed $309,900 FORTMLS
  • 2025-07-17 Listed $315,000 FORTMLS
  • 2025-05-29 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2025-05-29 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-04-29 Listed $300,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-04-22 Price Changed $300,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-03-14 Price Changed $335,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-02-10 Price Changed $345,997 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-01-23 Listed $349,997 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-01-21 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2024-12-12 Price Changed $349,997 FORTMLS
  • 2024-11-15 Listed $364,000 FORTMLS
  • 2024-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
  • 2017-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $86,600 Public Records
  • 2005-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+59.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $812 · +130.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…