3407 S Harrison St · Amarillo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2/1/1 near Amarillo College. PRAD is 60k. Needs very little to be rent ready. New electrical service and inside panel. To be sold as-is. No FHA or VA financing. Cash or Conventional only. Owner/Broker
Key facts
- Roof
- Sewer line replaced
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces west
- Construction: Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air
- Interior features: Central air conditioning
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
- Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 157 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.97%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-5,247
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $17,946
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79109
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 157
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,064 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,194/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $146
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $206 | -5% $176 | +0% $146 | +5% $117 | +10% $87 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $62 | -5% $104 | +0% $146 | +5% $188 | +10% $230 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $199 | -0.5pp $173 | base $146 | +0.5pp $119 | +1.0pp $91 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3703 S Monroe St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3813 S Washington St Unit B Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,050 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4108 S Washington St Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $850 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2400 S Polk St #204 Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 549 | $1,300 | $2.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4205 S Tyler St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $925 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2216 S Polk St Apt D Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 544 | $575 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2030 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $650 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4620 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $1,475 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1616 1 S Polk St Unit 1 Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 530 | $525 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 612 SW 17th Ave Amarillo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $650 | $0.64 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3001 Curtis Dr Unit A Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 713 | $1,100 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 4623 Crockett St Amarillo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,100 | $1.53 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending
-
2026-04-24historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-15status Active
-
2026-04-06historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-17$105,000 Active
-
2026-03-03price $105,000
-
2026-01-31price $90,000
-
2025-11-29price $100,000
-
2015-09-21soldstatus
-
2015-09-16soldstatus 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
2/1/1 near Amarillo College. PRAD is 60k. Needs very little to be rent ready. New electrical service and inside panel. To be sold as-is. No FHA or VA financing. Cash or Conventional only. Owner/Broker
-
2015-08-10$45,000 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
2/1/1 near Amarillo College. PRAD is 60k. Needs very little to be rent ready. New electrical service and inside panel. To be sold as-is. No FHA or VA financing. Cash or Conventional only. Owner/Broker
-
2015-07-13soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,194 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,922 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- +$728/yr (+$61/mo · 61.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,762
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,194
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,021
- − Management
- −$1,021
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $66
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$16
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,740/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amarillo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808130
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,478
- Composite
- 35.96/100
- National rank
- #4798
- State rank
- #336 of 826 in TX
Livability — Amarillo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #624
- US rank
- #11876
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Amarillo, TX
- County
- Randall County · 137,351 people
- City population
- 185,802
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,578
- Household income
- $70,435
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1640.0
Population outlook (Randall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,140 people
- By 2030
- 163,107 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 184,999 · +21.6%
- By 2050
- 206,948 · +36.0%
- By 2075
- 260,204 · +71.0%
- By 2100
- 294,980 · +93.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Randall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.4% · R 79.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.3pp toward D · 2008: -62.7pp · 2024: -60.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+65.1 2012: R+68.2 2008: R+62.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.95%
- Current HPI
- 171.6795
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.24%
- Metro
- Amarillo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+133.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — AARMLS
- 2026-04-24 Contingent — AARMLS
- 2026-04-15 Relisted — AARMLS
- 2026-04-06 Contingent — AARMLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $105,000 AARMLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $105,000 AARMLS
- 2026-01-31 Price Changed $90,000 AARMLS
- 2025-11-29 Price Changed $100,000 AARMLS
- 2015-09-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-09-16 Sold (MLS) — AARMLS
- 2015-08-10 Listed $45,000 AARMLS
- 2015-07-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,194 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…