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3407 S Harrison St
C- Composite 53.41
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

3407 S Harrison St · Amarillo, TX 79109
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 992 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1926

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2/1/1 near Amarillo College. PRAD is 60k. Needs very little to be rent ready. New electrical service and inside panel. To be sold as-is. No FHA or VA financing. Cash or Conventional only. Owner/Broker

Key facts

  • Roof
  • Sewer line replaced
  • Garage

Tags

SEWER LINE REPLACEDROOF

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces west
  • Construction: Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, crime F.
  • Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 157 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 45 units permitted in Randall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Randall County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $101,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.97%
Cash-on-cash
5.97%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-5,247
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$17,946
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79109

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
157
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,064 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,194/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$146

Break-even live

Break-even rent $878
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $206 -5% $176 +0% $146 +5% $117 +10% $87
Rent -10% $62 -5% $104 +0% $146 +5% $188 +10% $230
Rate -1.0pp $199 -0.5pp $173 base $146 +0.5pp $119 +1.0pp $91

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3703 S Monroe St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 21d 1 0.30mi
3813 S Washington St Unit B Amarillo, TX 2.0 2.0 954 $1,050 $1.10 44d 1 0.44mi
4108 S Washington St Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 624 $850 $1.36 14d 1 0.62mi
2400 S Polk St #204 Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 549 $1,300 $2.37 44d 1 0.63mi
4205 S Tyler St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 852 $925 $1.09 44d 1 0.65mi
2216 S Polk St Apt D Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 544 $575 $1.06 44d 1 0.70mi
2030 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 630 $650 $1.03 14d 1 1.09mi
4620 S Hayden St Amarillo, TX 3.0 1.0 1036 $1,475 $1.42 21d 1 1.22mi
1616 1 S Polk St Unit 1 Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 530 $525 $0.99 44d 1 1.26mi
612 SW 17th Ave Amarillo, TX 1.0 1.0 1008 $650 $0.64 21d 1 1.30mi
3001 Curtis Dr Unit A Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 713 $1,100 $1.54 21d 1 1.48mi
4623 Crockett St Amarillo, TX 2.0 1.0 720 $1,100 $1.53 21d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-24
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-15
    status Active
  4. 2026-04-06
    historical Active Under Contract
  5. 2026-03-17
    listed $105,000 Active
  6. 2026-03-03
    price $105,000
  7. 2026-01-31
    price $90,000
  8. 2025-11-29
    price $100,000
  9. 2015-09-21
    soldstatus
  10. 2015-09-16
    soldstatus 200-char remark
    Show marketing remark (200 chars)

    2/1/1 near Amarillo College. PRAD is 60k. Needs very little to be rent ready. New electrical service and inside panel. To be sold as-is. No FHA or VA financing. Cash or Conventional only. Owner/Broker

  11. 2015-08-10
    listed $45,000 200-char remark
    Show marketing remark (200 chars)

    2/1/1 near Amarillo College. PRAD is 60k. Needs very little to be rent ready. New electrical service and inside panel. To be sold as-is. No FHA or VA financing. Cash or Conventional only. Owner/Broker

  12. 2015-07-13
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,194 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,922 · $160/mo
Expected delta
+$728/yr (+$61/mo · 61.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,762
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,194
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,021
− Management
−$1,021
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$66
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$16
After-tax cash flow
$1,740/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amarillo ISD
NCES district ID
4808130
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,478
Composite
35.96/100
National rank
#4798
State rank
#336 of 826 in TX

Livability — Amarillo

Score
66/100
State rank
#624
US rank
#11876

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Amarillo, TX
County
Randall County · 137,351 people
City population
185,802
Metro
Amarillo, TX
Population (ZIP)
43,578
Household income
$70,435
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
1640.0

Population outlook (Randall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,140 people
By 2030
163,107 · +7.2%
By 2040
184,999 · +21.6%
By 2050
206,948 · +36.0%
By 2075
260,204 · +71.0%
By 2100
294,980 · +93.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Randall

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.4% · R 79.8%
2008→2024 swing
+2.3pp toward D · 2008: -62.7pp · 2024: -60.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+65.1 2012: R+68.2 2008: R+62.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -227.95%
Current HPI
171.6795
Rent YoY
▲ 5.24%
Metro
Amarillo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+133.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending AARMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Contingent AARMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Relisted AARMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Contingent AARMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $105,000 AARMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $105,000 AARMLS
  • 2026-01-31 Price Changed $90,000 AARMLS
  • 2025-11-29 Price Changed $100,000 AARMLS
  • 2015-09-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2015-09-16 Sold (MLS) AARMLS
  • 2015-08-10 Listed $45,000 AARMLS
  • 2015-07-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,194 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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