7883 Paula St · Sneads, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.3/30.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.7/15.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CURRENTLY UNDER CONTRACT, SELLER ACCEPTING BACKUP OFFERS - This perfectly sized & manicured yard will lure you into this cozy home. The property has been meticulously maintained & offers 3 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms. The roof & A/C are only 3 years old & the A/C offers an oversized heat pump. This lovely home is only 2 miles away from Three Rivers State Park, a short drive to Seminole Lake, about a 20-minute drive to the Marianna Wal-Mart, and i-10 is only about 10 min away. You can experience quiet country living while still being conveniently close to everything you need. The homes covered porch is a wonderful area to sit & drink your morning coffee & the neighborhood is quiet & beautiful. As you enter the home you will find a large living area with a wood burning fireplace along with a spacious kitchen & dining area. On the left side of the home are 2 generous size bedrooms with walk in closets & a bathroom. The master bedroom is conveniently located close to the living area & has 2 doors for easy entrance to the living room or laundry area. The master has a large bathroom w/ double vanity, garden tub, shower, & a huge walk-in closet. In the backyard you will find a back deck with a wheel chair accessible ramp & a large shed with a ramp. The shed includes electrical. Part of the backyard is fenced in -- perfect for the pets or for the children to play! There is a double carport on the side of the home for parking vehicles. The countertops in the kitchen & bathrooms have been resurfaced & updated. This home has been exceptionally well kept & maintained & will make a wonderful home for the next family.
Key facts
- Nearly 1 acre
- 0.96 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Short-term rentals allowed
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces
- Home design: Double wide mobile home
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Deck; Shed(s); Fenced yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor (approximately 12 x 12 each); Primary bedroom on the first floor (approximately 16 x 14)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: 3 total rooms; Electric oven
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-110 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $180k (9.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (32.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $134k (32.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#682 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Jackson (rural): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #39 of 73 in FL (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Grand Ridge School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 326 students, 50% FRL).
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 153 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $399 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
- Jackson County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $139k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.36%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 12.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $173,824
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7968 Pope St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,904 (+6%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $97 | 58 |
| 2090 Section Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-12%) | 17mo | $130,000 | $83 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-11,069
- Equity at exit
- $60,049
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $9,284
- Equity at exit
- $73,801
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32460
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,345 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $490/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $-110
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3 | -5% $-53 | +0% $-110 | +5% $-166 | +10% $-223 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-216 | -5% $-163 | +0% $-110 | +5% $-57 | +10% $-4 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-9 | -0.5pp $-59 | base $-110 | +0.5pp $-162 | +1.0pp $-214 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2057 Gay Ave Sneads, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1736 | $1,345 | $0.77 | 46d | 1 | 0.50mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-03status Pending
-
2026-04-15$199,900 Active
-
2022-02-02soldstatus $139,000
-
2022-02-01soldstatus $139,000 1727-char remark
Show marketing remark (1727 chars)
CURRENTLY UNDER CONTRACT, SELLER ACCEPTING BACKUP OFFERS - This perfectly sized & manicured yard will lure you into this cozy home. The property has been meticulously maintained & offers 3 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms. The roof & A/C are only 3 years old & the A/C offers an oversized heat pump. This lovely home is only 2 miles away from Three Rivers State Park, a short drive to Seminole Lake, about a 20-minute drive to the Marianna Wal-Mart, and i-10 is only about 10 min away. You can experience quiet country living while still being conveniently close to everything you need. The homes covered porch is a wonderful area to sit & drink your morning coffee & the neighborhood is quiet & beautiful. As you enter the home you will find a large living area with a wood burning fireplace along with a spacious kitchen & dining area. On the left side of the home are 2 generous size bedrooms with walk in closets & a bathroom. The master bedroom is conveniently located close to the living area & has 2 doors for easy entrance to the living room or laundry area. The master has a large bathroom w/ double vanity, garden tub, shower, & a huge walk-in closet. In the backyard you will find a back deck with a wheel chair accessible ramp & a large shed with a ramp. The shed includes electrical. Part of the backyard is fenced in -- perfect for the pets or for the children to play! There is a double carport on the side of the home for parking vehicles. The countertops in the kitchen & bathrooms have been resurfaced & updated. This home has been exceptionally well kept & maintained & will make a wonderful home for the next family.
-
2021-11-04$139,000 1727-char remark
Show marketing remark (1727 chars)
CURRENTLY UNDER CONTRACT, SELLER ACCEPTING BACKUP OFFERS - This perfectly sized & manicured yard will lure you into this cozy home. The property has been meticulously maintained & offers 3 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms. The roof & A/C are only 3 years old & the A/C offers an oversized heat pump. This lovely home is only 2 miles away from Three Rivers State Park, a short drive to Seminole Lake, about a 20-minute drive to the Marianna Wal-Mart, and i-10 is only about 10 min away. You can experience quiet country living while still being conveniently close to everything you need. The homes covered porch is a wonderful area to sit & drink your morning coffee & the neighborhood is quiet & beautiful. As you enter the home you will find a large living area with a wood burning fireplace along with a spacious kitchen & dining area. On the left side of the home are 2 generous size bedrooms with walk in closets & a bathroom. The master bedroom is conveniently located close to the living area & has 2 doors for easy entrance to the living room or laundry area. The master has a large bathroom w/ double vanity, garden tub, shower, & a huge walk-in closet. In the backyard you will find a back deck with a wheel chair accessible ramp & a large shed with a ramp. The shed includes electrical. Part of the backyard is fenced in -- perfect for the pets or for the children to play! There is a double carport on the side of the home for parking vehicles. The countertops in the kitchen & bathrooms have been resurfaced & updated. This home has been exceptionally well kept & maintained & will make a wonderful home for the next family.
-
2008-02-20soldstatus $88,000
-
2007-07-25soldstatus $60,000
-
2006-03-01soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $490 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,659 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,169/yr (+$97/mo · 238.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,140
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$490
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,291
- − Management
- −$1,291
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$4,944
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,187
- After-tax cash flow
- $-132/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson
- NCES district ID
- 1200960
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,824
- Composite
- 41.92/100
- National rank
- #3358
- State rank
- #39 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sneads
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #682
- US rank
- #14148
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sneads, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,303
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,095 people
- By 2030
- 44,432 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 41,077 · -10.9%
- By 2050
- 37,587 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 28,921 · -37.3%
- By 2100
- 19,332 · -58.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.1) · D 26.7% · R 72.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.1 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+29.0 2008: R+28.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.20%
- Current HPI
- 154.5563
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+699.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Pending — CPARMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $199,900 CPARMLS
- 2022-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $139,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-01 Sold (MLS) $139,000 CPARMLS
- 2021-11-04 Listed $139,000 CPARMLS
- 2008-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 2007-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2006-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $490 · -80.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…