🌊 Lakefront
549 Demarett Dr · Point Venture, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 73.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Game room, golf cart storage, and fully updated systems—this is one of the most functional and ready-to-use properties in Point Venture at this price point. Set up for immediate enjoyment or short-term rental use, this home offers flexibility, storage, and major improvements already completed so you’re not stepping into a project. Unlike many units in the area, the heavy lifting has already been done. Updates include a new roof, full plumbing replacement, HVAC system with Trane heat pump, spray foam insulation, electrical work, foundation repair, new windows and sliding doors, and a complete interior refresh with flooring, paint, and renovated bathrooms. A brand new water heater was installed in March 2026. The layout supports both everyday living and guest use, with defined spaces and added functionality that make it easy to host, relax, or generate income. The game room adds a clear advantage for both personal enjoyment and rental appeal, while outdoor spaces extend how the home lives. Golf cart storage and under-deck storage provide practical features that are hard to find in similar properties and add to the overall usability of the home. Furniture and game tables can convey, making this a true turnkey opportunity for buyers looking to step into lake living or rental use without delay. Located in Point Venture with access to the golf course, marina, lakefront park, and community amenities, this property offers a straightforward path into Lake Travis living.
Key facts
- $225 HOA
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-296 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $207k (17.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (16.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $207k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.3% in Point Venture — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#509 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Lago Vista ISD (rural): math 33% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #269 of 826 in TX (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lago Vista El (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 502 students, 34% FRL); Lago Vista Middle (math 28% / reading 47%, grade F, #736 of 1,662 statewide, top 45%, 433 students, 25% FRL); Lago Vista H S (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #509 of 1,632 statewide, top 34%, 636 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 27% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 1256 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 48d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 17,121 units permitted in Travis County in 2024 (11,963 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Travis County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.07%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $391,139
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- -36.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 559 Demarett Dr | 0.02mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,809 (+4%) | 0mo | $169,000 | $93 | 83 |
| 563 Demarett Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,630 (-6%) | 1mo | $307,500 | $189 | 80 |
| 317 Venture Blvd S | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 1,761 (+1%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $139 | 72 |
| 531 Demarett Dr #25 | 0.03mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,809 (+4%) | 14mo | $199,900 | $111 | 71 |
| 519 Demarett Dr #19 | 0.04mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,809 (+4%) | 17mo | $214,500 | $119 | 69 |
| 157 Comanche Pt | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 | 1,741 (0%) | 3mo | $325,000 | $187 | 64 |
| 325 Venture Blvd S | 0.53mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,741 (0%) | 3mo | $274,999 | $158 | 64 |
| 203 S Venture Blvd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,730 (-1%) | 7mo | $274,900 | $159 | 57 |
| 305 Venture Blvd S | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,626 (-7%) | 4mo | $380,000 | $234 | 54 |
| 105 Comanche Pt | 0.75mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,809 (+4%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $152 | 49 |
| 161 Comanche Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,805 (+4%) | 10mo | $359,500 | $199 | 48 |
| 171 Comanche Pt | 0.68mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,809 (+4%) | 6mo | $310,000 | $171 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-59,209
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -20.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.08×
- Total profit
- $-75,282
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 14 active · 6 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.3 mo (11%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $324,500 ($193/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 116 d
- This list price
- 7% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +16.2% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78645
- Home prices YoY
- -31.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 1256
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,098 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$312 /mo · $3,750/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$225
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$440
- Net cashflow
- $-296
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-123 | -5% $-209 | +0% $-296 | +5% $-382 | +10% $-468 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-461 | -5% $-378 | +0% $-296 | +5% $-213 | +10% $-130 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-170 | -0.5pp $-232 | base $-296 | +0.5pp $-360 | +1.0pp $-426 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 537 Demarett Dr Lago Vista, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1646 | $1,999 | $1.21 | 42d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 537 Demarett Dr Unit Na Lago Vista, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1646 | $1,989 | $1.21 | 93d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 206 Fairway Dr Lago Vista, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1535 | $2,175 | $1.42 | 67d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 539 Venture Blvd S Lago Vista, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1512 | $2,900 | $1.92 | 12d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 115 Comanche Pt Point Venture, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1809 | $2,150 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 414 Summit Ridge Dr N Lago Vista, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $1,825 | $1.47 | 93d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 430 Summit Ridge Dr N Lago Vista, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $2,300 | $1.46 | 73d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 430 Summit Ridge Dr N Lago Vista, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,895 | $1.49 | 48d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 325 Southwind Rd Lago Vista, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1640 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1 Madrone Estates CV Lakeway, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1117 | $1,778 | $1.59 | 9d | 1 | 1.20mi |
HOA detail $225/mo · $2,700/yr
- Likely covers
- waterelectric
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $250,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $250,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $250,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $250,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $250,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $250,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $250,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $250,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $250,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $250,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $250,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $250,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $250,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $250,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $250,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $250,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $250,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $250,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $250,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $250,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $250,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $250,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $250,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $250,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-10price $250,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $260,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $260,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $260,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $260,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $260,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $260,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $260,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $260,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $260,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $260,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $260,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $260,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $260,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $260,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $260,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $260,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $260,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $260,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $260,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $260,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $260,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $260,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $260,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $260,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $260,000 Active 65 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,171
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$3,750
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,014
- − Management
- −$2,014
- − HOA
- −$2,700
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$7,833
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,880
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,667/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This fully updated townhouse is move-in ready with modern amenities and a great location. It offers a perfect balance of functionality and style, making it ideal for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both furniture — improves living space and adds value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lago Vista ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4826400
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,671
- Composite
- 38.35/100
- National rank
- #4216
- State rank
- #269 of 826 in TX
Livability — Point Venture
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #509
- US rank
- #10087
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Point Venture, TX
- County
- Travis County · 1,545,133 people
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,256
- Household income
- $113,008
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 24% of renters
Population outlook (Travis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,545,133 people
- By 2030
- 1,729,269 · +11.9%
- By 2040
- 2,097,596 · +35.8%
- By 2050
- 2,463,890 · +59.5%
- By 2075
- 3,249,374 · +110.3%
- By 2100
- 3,801,868 · +146.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Travis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.3) · D 68.8% · R 29.4% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 39.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.3 2020: D+45.0 2016: D+38.9 2012: D+23.9 2008: D+29.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.02%
- Current HPI
- 211.9678
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.98%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+301.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $275,000 Unlock MLS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $295,000 Unlock MLS
- 2003-09-23 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2003-08-18 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 2002-05-02 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2001-11-01 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 2001-09-15 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2001-03-14 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 2000-10-31 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 2000-08-11 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 1999-03-02 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
- 1999-02-04 Delisted — Unlock MLS
- 1998-09-06 Listed $68,500 Unlock MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…