1145 SW Cypress St #1 · McMinnville, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- ARV discount +3.4/15.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-maintained 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home on a desirable corner lot offering added privacy. This property features a spacious 2-car garage equipped with auto exhaust ventilation—ideal for car enthusiasts—plus a flat driveway and beautifully pruned, mature landscaping. Major updates include a newer roof (8 years) and a heat pump and furnace installed just 8 months ago. The home boasts an inviting layout with both living and family rooms, filled with abundant natural light and enhanced by all-new blinds throughout.The primary suite includes a soaking tub, walk-in shower, dual sinks, and updated lighting. Enjoy the convenience of an oversized laundry room complete with a utility sink, countertops, and ample cabinetry. Outdoor living is a highlight with both a covered deck and covered patio, along with a charming detached shed and an additional workshop/storage shed. A fully covered walkway connects the garage to the home—perfect for staying dry year-round. A rare combination of comfort, functionality, and thoughtful upgrades—this home is a must-see!
Key facts
- Heat pump
- Flat driveway
- Newer roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $988 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 3.2% in McMinnville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#79 in OR, #3,556 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: commute D+.
- Mcminnville SD 40 (town): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #20 of 183 in OR (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 390 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 282 units permitted in Yamhill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yamhill County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $150k implies a 279% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.24%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $137,268
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- 23.77%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1230 SW Emma Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+1%) | 1mo | $172,800 | $114 | 90 |
| 1168 SW Emma Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+1%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $93 | 83 |
| 1679 SW Richard Ct | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+1%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $106 | 81 |
| 1177 SW Emma Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+1%) | 13mo | $170,000 | $112 | 80 |
| 1154 SW Emma Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+4%) | 8mo | $173,000 | $111 | 79 |
| 1145 SW Cypress St #63 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,556 (+4%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $106 | 79 |
| 1156 SW Westvale St #197 | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,620 (+8%) | 0mo | $168,800 | $104 | 72 |
| 1156 SW Westvale St | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,620 (+8%) | 0mo | $168,800 | $104 | 72 |
| 1377 SW Louise Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-14%) | 2mo | $169,900 | $131 | 63 |
| 1501 SW Baker St #38 | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,368 (-9%) | 8mo | $74,000 | $54 | 42 |
| 1535 NW 2nd St | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-10%) | 10mo | $50,000 | $37 | 35 |
| 1501 SW Baker St #25 | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,276 (-15%) | 14mo | $160,000 | $125 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $33,320
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $89,205
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97128
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 390
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,423 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $934/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$509
- Net cashflow
- $988
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 982 SW Hawthorne St McMinnville, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $2,375 | $1.63 | 21d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 939 SW Fellows Ct McMinnville, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1729 | $2,375 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1302 SW Wright St McMinnville, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1763 | $2,400 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 417 SW Pemberly Loop McMinnville, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 136 SW Sharon Jane Pl McMinnville, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1477 | $2,150 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1795 NW 2nd St McMinnville, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $2,250 | $1.80 | 1d | 2 | 0.65mi |
| 467 NW Meadows Dr McMinnville, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $2,100 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1149 SW Brockwood Ave McMinnville, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $3,600 | $2.51 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 140 SW Daniels St McMinnville, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1524 | $1,995 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 624 SW Drumwood Ave McMinnville, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 878 | $2,400 | $2.73 | 1d | 4 | 0.92mi |
| 1701 NW Wallace Rd Unit 1550269P McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $6,009 | $3.85 | 7d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1116 SE Millright Ave McMinnville, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1652 | $2,300 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1126 SE Rummel St Unit 1128 McMinnville, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,795 | $1.68 | 16d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19price $149,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $169,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,770 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,770 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,770 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricestatusdays on market $175,770 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-18status Pending 1092-char remark
Show marketing remark (1092 chars)
Well-maintained 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home on a desirable corner lot offering added privacy. This property features a spacious 2-car garage equipped with auto exhaust ventilation—ideal for car enthusiasts—plus a flat driveway and beautifully pruned, mature landscaping. Major updates include a newer roof (8 years) and a heat pump and furnace installed just 8 months ago. The home boasts an inviting layout with both living and family rooms, filled with abundant natural light and enhanced by all-new blinds throughout.The primary suite includes a soaking tub, walk-in shower, dual sinks, and updated lighting. Enjoy the convenience of an oversized laundry room complete with a utility sink, countertops, and ample cabinetry. Outdoor living is a highlight with both a covered deck and covered patio, along with a charming detached shed and an additional workshop/storage shed. A fully covered walkway connects the garage to the home—perfect for staying dry year-round. A rare combination of comfort, functionality, and thoughtful upgrades—this home is a must-see!
-
2026-04-10$169,900 Active 1092-char remark
Show marketing remark (1092 chars)
Well-maintained 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home on a desirable corner lot offering added privacy. This property features a spacious 2-car garage equipped with auto exhaust ventilation—ideal for car enthusiasts—plus a flat driveway and beautifully pruned, mature landscaping. Major updates include a newer roof (8 years) and a heat pump and furnace installed just 8 months ago. The home boasts an inviting layout with both living and family rooms, filled with abundant natural light and enhanced by all-new blinds throughout.The primary suite includes a soaking tub, walk-in shower, dual sinks, and updated lighting. Enjoy the convenience of an oversized laundry room complete with a utility sink, countertops, and ample cabinetry. Outdoor living is a highlight with both a covered deck and covered patio, along with a charming detached shed and an additional workshop/storage shed. A fully covered walkway connects the garage to the home—perfect for staying dry year-round. A rare combination of comfort, functionality, and thoughtful upgrades—this home is a must-see!
-
2014-09-04soldstatus $39,500 Sold 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
This is a spacious home, lots of improvements have been made inside and out. Has its own 2 car garage!!! on large Corner Lot, new roof, immaculate landscaping, cyclone fenced with a separate fenced area. All appliances included. A must to see inside!! Needs park approval!
-
2014-08-25status Pending 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
This is a spacious home, lots of improvements have been made inside and out. Has its own 2 car garage!!! on large Corner Lot, new roof, immaculate landscaping, cyclone fenced with a separate fenced area. All appliances included. A must to see inside!! Needs park approval!
-
2014-08-22price $41,500 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
This is a spacious home, lots of improvements have been made inside and out. Has its own 2 car garage!!! on large Corner Lot, new roof, immaculate landscaping, cyclone fenced with a separate fenced area. All appliances included. A must to see inside!! Needs park approval!
-
2014-07-15$44,900 Active 274-char remark
Show marketing remark (274 chars)
This is a spacious home, lots of improvements have been made inside and out. Has its own 2 car garage!!! on large Corner Lot, new roof, immaculate landscaping, cyclone fenced with a separate fenced area. All appliances included. A must to see inside!! Needs park approval!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $934 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,454 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- +$520/yr (+$43/mo · 55.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,076
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$934
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,326
- − Management
- −$2,326
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $9,983
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,396
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,458/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcminnville SD 40
- NCES district ID
- 4108010
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,382
- Composite
- 47.69/100
- National rank
- #4919
- State rank
- #20 of 183 in OR
Livability — McMinnville
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #79
- US rank
- #3556
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McMinnville, OR
- County
- Yamhill County · 71,150 people
- City population
- 38,664
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,664
- Household income
- $75,896
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1508.0
Population outlook (Yamhill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 109,295 people
- By 2030
- 112,060 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 115,975 · +6.1%
- By 2050
- 118,155 · +8.1%
- By 2075
- 120,968 · +10.7%
- By 2100
- 116,163 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 6% Portuguese 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 13% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yamhill
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.1) · D 45.3% · R 51.4% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.4pp · 2024: -6.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.1 2020: R+4.0 2016: R+8.8 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+1.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.59%
- Current HPI
- 320.373
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.79%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+278.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $169,900 RMLS
- 2014-09-04 Sold (MLS) $39,500 RMLS
- 2014-08-25 Pending — RMLS
- 2014-08-22 Price Changed $41,500 RMLS
- 2014-07-15 Listed $44,900 RMLS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $934 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…