🏷️ Likely Rental
630 Walnut Rd SW · Massillon, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This affordable two bedroom SW Massillon home is ready for new ownership! You will appreciate updates including metal roof, new deck and lvt flooring. Currently rented on a month to month basis with the same tenant over 20 years! With a living room and large family room (currently being used as the primary bedroom), as well as full bathroom on the main level, along with two large bedrooms and attic space upstairs, this property would make a fantastic addition to your investment portfolio or first time home! Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Large family room
- Attic space
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story home; Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Above-grade finished living area approximately 1,296
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Driveway
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (gas)
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $327 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.9% in Massillon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#306 in OH, #4,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Massillon City (urban): math 43% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #487 of 656 in OH (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $37k; list at $90k implies a 143% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.56%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $146,448
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404 Pike Ave SW | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,310 (+1%) | 0mo | $62,000 | $47 | 84 |
| 1290 Patriot Pl SW | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,312 (+1%) | 1mo | $259,900 | $198 | 74 |
| 431 5th St SW | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,396 (+8%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $97 | 73 |
| 809 12th St SW | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-4%) | 1mo | $117,000 | $94 | 69 |
| 1521 Tremont Ave SW | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 1,224 (-6%) | 1mo | $138,000 | $113 | 58 |
| 104 12th St NW | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,236 (-5%) | 0mo | $152,000 | $123 | 57 |
| 1120 Borden Ave SW | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,456 (+12%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $103 | 54 |
| 621 Geiger Ave SW | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,144 (-12%) | 2mo | $157,000 | $137 | 54 |
| 604 Griffith Ave SW | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,456 (+12%) | 3mo | $143,000 | $98 | 51 |
| 43 14th St NW | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,221 (-6%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $123 | 51 |
| 741 1st St SE | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,144 (-12%) | 0mo | $43,050 | $38 | 47 |
| 804 15th St SW | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,148 (-11%) | 0mo | $169,680 | $148 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $6,249
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $32,317
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44647
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,201 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$112 /mo · $1,346/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $327
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $378 | -5% $352 | +0% $327 | +5% $301 | +10% $276 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $232 | -5% $279 | +0% $327 | +5% $374 | +10% $422 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $372 | -0.5pp $350 | base $327 | +0.5pp $303 | +1.0pp $280 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 Maple Ave SE Massillon, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 717 15th St SW Massillon, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 450 South Ave SE Massillon, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1270 | $1,236 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1704 13th St SE Massillon, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1512 Forest Ave SE Massillon, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1013 | $1,050 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1715 Connecticut Ave SE Massillon, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $90,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 541-char remark
-
2026-05-31$90,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,346 · $112/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,375 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$29/yr (+$2/mo · 2.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,407
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,346
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,153
- − Management
- −$1,153
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $2,646
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$635
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,287/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Massillon City
- NCES district ID
- 3904435
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,094
- Composite
- 39.54/100
- National rank
- #3941
- State rank
- #487 of 656 in OH
Livability — Massillon
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #306
- US rank
- #4928
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Massillon, OH
- County
- Stark County · 272,865 people
- City population
- 65,858
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,117
- Household income
- $67,140
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 231.0
Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 373,708 people
- By 2030
- 371,245 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 361,331 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 345,290 · -7.6%
- By 2075
- 302,669 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 238,870 · -36.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -163.61%
- Current HPI
- 207.6115
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+201.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $90,000 MLSNOW
- 1996-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
- 1994-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $12,450 Public Records
- 1987-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2024): $1,346 · +28.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…