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3957 S Neece St
D Composite 41.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$329,000

3957 S Neece St · Home Gardens, CA 92879
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 188 Days on market
Built 1936 9,148 sqft lot $392/sqft · 40% below area Est $542k · 39% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fantastic Opportunity on a flat usable land in the city of Corona. ! This 0.21 acre of property-acre lot in the heart of Corona an ideal location for building your custom home. The property had 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms which was removed leaving a clear and ready lot. Property on a sewer. seller is motivated, presenting a great opportunity for buyers looking to capitalize on the area's growth. With ample space for up built up to 3 units. zoning is R1 per County—this lot is perfect for expanding your business or adding to your investment portfolio. Don't miss out on this rare opportunity in a thriving market! * Motivate seller, will carry the loan. Financing available * * * All Utilities at the property

Key facts

  • Zoning is r3
  • 0.21 acre lot
  • 9,148 sq ft lot

Tags

0.21 ACRE LOTZONING IS R3AMPLE SPACE FOR UP TO 3 UNITS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $329k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-317 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $273k (17.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (25.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $246k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#833 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A, employment A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Corona-Norco Unified (suburban): math 46% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #312 of 1,400 in CA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 188 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $245,817 (25.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 188 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.14%
Cash-on-cash
-4.13%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
11.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$541,544
List price
$329,000
Delta
-39.25%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3742 Blair St 0.24mi 2/1.0 948 (+13%) 3mo $500,000 $527 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.77% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.5%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-74,046
Equity at exit
$49,055
10-year hold
IRR
-18.9%
Equity multiple
-0.01×
Total profit
$-92,686
Equity at exit
$28,446

Cash invested: $92,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92879

Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,458 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,725
Tax from tax record
$397 /mo · $4,760/yr
Insurance
$137
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$516
Net cashflow
$-317

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,860
Max offer price $272,987
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-131 -5% $-224 +0% $-317 +5% $-410 +10% $-503
Rent -10% $-511 -5% $-414 +0% $-317 +5% $-220 +10% $-123
Rate -1.0pp $-151 -0.5pp $-233 base $-317 +0.5pp $-402 +1.0pp $-489

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,250
Closing costs
$9,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3721 N Byron St Unit 3731 Corona, CA 2.0 1.0 925 $2,150 $2.32 6d 1 0.35mi
13370 Magnolia Ave Corona, CA 3.0 2.0 900 $2,450 $2.72 44d 1 0.59mi
451 Wellesley Dr Corona, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1038 $3,032 $2.92 0d 15 0.69mi
2225 Collett Ave Corona, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1117 $2,937 $2.63 0d 33 0.79mi
2178 Stoneridge Dr Corona, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 946 $2,528 $2.67 0d 10 1.06mi
2215 Lakeside Pl Corona, CA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1043 $2,265 $2.17 0d 25 1.17mi
2235 Treehouse Ln Corona, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 886 $2,779 $3.13 0d 18 1.19mi
2365 Promenade Ave Corona, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 892 $2,559 $2.87 0d 17 1.20mi
3741 Harvill Ln Unit 4 Riverside, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,500 $2.14 44d 1 1.33mi
2341 Mary Helen St Unit 104 Corona, CA 3.0 2.5 1000 $2,550 $2.55 44d 1 1.35mi
2361 Mary Helen St Unit 102 Corona, CA 2.0 1.5 1000 $2,395 $2.40 2d 1 1.36mi
545 Hamilton Dr Corona, CA 1.0 1.0 900 $1,900 $2.11 25d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $329,000 Active 188 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $329,000 Active 187 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $329,000 Active 186 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $329,000 Active 185 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $329,000 Active 183 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $329,000 Active 182 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $329,000 Active 179 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $329,000 Active 178 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $329,000 Active 177 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $329,000 Active 174 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $329,000 Active 173 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $329,000 Active 172 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $335,000 Active 171 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $335,000 Active 170 DOM
  15. 2025-12-12
    listed $335,000 Active 723-char remark
    Show marketing remark (723 chars)

    Fantastic Opportunity on a flat usable land in the city of Corona. ! This 0.21 acre of property-acre lot in the heart of Corona an ideal location for building your custom home. The property had 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms which was removed leaving a clear and ready lot. Property on a sewer. seller is motivated, presenting a great opportunity for buyers looking to capitalize on the area's growth. With ample space for up built up to 3 units. zoning is R1 per County—this lot is perfect for expanding your business or adding to your investment portfolio. Don't miss out on this rare opportunity in a thriving market! * Motivate seller, will carry the loan. Financing available * * * All Utilities at the property

  16. 2025-09-30
    historical
  17. 2025-09-23
    price $344,702
  18. 2025-09-17
    price $347,072
  19. 2025-08-26
    price $339,072
  20. 2025-08-25
    price $341,072
  21. 2025-08-14
    price $341,172
  22. 2025-08-13
    price $347,172
  23. 2025-08-07
    price $347,272
  24. 2025-08-06
    price $3,473,272
  25. 2025-07-26
    price $347,357
  26. 2025-07-08
    price $353,357
  27. 2025-06-27
    price $358,353
  28. 2025-06-17
    price $358,753
  29. 2025-06-14
    price $358,757
  30. 2025-06-01
    price $362,877
  31. 2025-05-23
    price $367,877
  32. 2025-04-28
    price $369,877
  33. 2025-03-26
    price $372,000
  34. 2025-03-21
    price $377,000
  35. 2025-03-07
    listed $387,000 Active
  36. 2025-02-24
    historical
  37. 2025-01-15
    price $365,472
  38. 2024-12-20
    price $367,000
  39. 2024-12-16
    price $375,000
  40. 2024-12-13
    price $329,875
  41. 2024-12-04
    price $349,875
  42. 2024-12-03
    price $355,000
  43. 2024-10-18
    price $365,000
  44. 2024-09-17
    price $373,000
  45. 2024-08-13
    price $379,000
  46. 2024-07-20
    price $359,000
  47. 2024-07-03
    price $367,000
  48. 2024-06-28
    price $369,000
  49. 2024-06-11
    price $370,000
  50. 2024-05-21
    listed $375,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,760 · $397/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,760 · $397/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 23 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,498
− Mortgage interest
−$18,429
− Property taxes
−$4,760
− Insurance
−$1,645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,360
− Management
−$2,360
− Depreciation
−$9,571
Taxable loss
−$9,626
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,310
After-tax cash flow
$-1,495/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corona-Norco Unified
NCES district ID
0609850
Math proficiency
46% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$83,380
Composite
50.72/100
National rank
#3920
State rank
#312 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Home Gardens

Score
55/100
State rank
#833
US rank
#23168

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Home Gardens, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
49,317
Household income
$92,229
Rent vs Own
43.4% rent · 56.6% own
Severe rent burden
2058.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 59% White 21% Two or more races 13% Asian 13% Black 5% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 50%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 1% Armenian 1%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
43% English-only · Spanish 44% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -395.32%
Current HPI
380.3129
Rent YoY
▲ 2.77%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.7% since first listed
36 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-12 Listed $335,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-09-30 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Price Changed $344,702 CRMLS
  • 2025-09-17 Price Changed $347,072 CRMLS
  • 2025-08-26 Price Changed $339,072 CRMLS
  • 2025-08-25 Price Changed $341,072 CRMLS
  • 2025-08-14 Price Changed $341,172 CRMLS
  • 2025-08-13 Price Changed $347,172 CRMLS
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $347,272 CRMLS
  • 2025-08-06 Price Changed $3,473,272 CRMLS
  • 2025-07-26 Price Changed $347,357 CRMLS
  • 2025-07-08 Price Changed $353,357 CRMLS
  • 2025-06-27 Price Changed $358,353 CRMLS
  • 2025-06-17 Price Changed $358,753 CRMLS
  • 2025-06-14 Price Changed $358,757 CRMLS
  • 2025-06-01 Price Changed $362,877 CRMLS
  • 2025-05-23 Price Changed $367,877 CRMLS
  • 2025-04-28 Price Changed $369,877 CRMLS
  • 2025-03-26 Price Changed $372,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-03-21 Price Changed $377,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-03-07 Listed $387,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-02-24 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-01-15 Price Changed $365,472 CRMLS
  • 2024-12-20 Price Changed $367,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-12-16 Price Changed $375,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-12-13 Price Changed $329,875 CRMLS
  • 2024-12-04 Price Changed $349,875 CRMLS
  • 2024-12-03 Price Changed $355,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-10-18 Price Changed $365,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-09-17 Price Changed $373,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-08-13 Price Changed $379,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-07-20 Price Changed $359,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-07-03 Price Changed $367,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-06-28 Price Changed $369,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-06-11 Price Changed $370,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-05-21 Listed $375,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+12.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,760 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…