3957 S Neece St · Home Gardens, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 19 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic Opportunity on a flat usable land in the city of Corona. ! This 0.21 acre of property-acre lot in the heart of Corona an ideal location for building your custom home. The property had 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms which was removed leaving a clear and ready lot. Property on a sewer. seller is motivated, presenting a great opportunity for buyers looking to capitalize on the area's growth. With ample space for up built up to 3 units. zoning is R1 per County—this lot is perfect for expanding your business or adding to your investment portfolio. Don't miss out on this rare opportunity in a thriving market! * Motivate seller, will carry the loan. Financing available * * * All Utilities at the property
Key facts
- Zoning is r3
- 0.21 acre lot
- 9,148 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $329k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-317 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $273k (17.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $246k (25.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $246k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#833 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A, employment A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Corona-Norco Unified (suburban): math 46% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #312 of 1,400 in CA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 188 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 188 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.13%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $541,544
- List price
- $329,000
- Delta
- -39.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3742 Blair St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 948 (+13%) | 3mo | $500,000 | $527 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-74,046
- Equity at exit
- $49,055
- IRR
- -18.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.01×
- Total profit
- $-92,686
- Equity at exit
- $28,446
Cash invested: $92,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92879
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,458 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,725
- Tax from tax record
- −$397 /mo · $4,760/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$516
- Net cashflow
- $-317
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-131 | -5% $-224 | +0% $-317 | +5% $-410 | +10% $-503 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-511 | -5% $-414 | +0% $-317 | +5% $-220 | +10% $-123 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-151 | -0.5pp $-233 | base $-317 | +0.5pp $-402 | +1.0pp $-489 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,250
- Closing costs
- $9,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3721 N Byron St Unit 3731 Corona, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $2,150 | $2.32 | 6d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 13370 Magnolia Ave Corona, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,450 | $2.72 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 451 Wellesley Dr Corona, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1038 | $3,032 | $2.92 | 0d | 15 | 0.69mi |
| 2225 Collett Ave Corona, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1117 | $2,937 | $2.63 | 0d | 33 | 0.79mi |
| 2178 Stoneridge Dr Corona, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 946 | $2,528 | $2.67 | 0d | 10 | 1.06mi |
| 2215 Lakeside Pl Corona, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1043 | $2,265 | $2.17 | 0d | 25 | 1.17mi |
| 2235 Treehouse Ln Corona, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $2,779 | $3.13 | 0d | 18 | 1.19mi |
| 2365 Promenade Ave Corona, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $2,559 | $2.87 | 0d | 17 | 1.20mi |
| 3741 Harvill Ln Unit 4 Riverside, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,500 | $2.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2341 Mary Helen St Unit 104 Corona, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1000 | $2,550 | $2.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2361 Mary Helen St Unit 102 Corona, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,395 | $2.40 | 2d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 545 Hamilton Dr Corona, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $329,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $329,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $329,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $329,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $329,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $329,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $329,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $329,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $329,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $329,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $329,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $329,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $335,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $335,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2025-12-12$335,000 Active 723-char remark
Show marketing remark (723 chars)
Fantastic Opportunity on a flat usable land in the city of Corona. ! This 0.21 acre of property-acre lot in the heart of Corona an ideal location for building your custom home. The property had 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms which was removed leaving a clear and ready lot. Property on a sewer. seller is motivated, presenting a great opportunity for buyers looking to capitalize on the area's growth. With ample space for up built up to 3 units. zoning is R1 per County—this lot is perfect for expanding your business or adding to your investment portfolio. Don't miss out on this rare opportunity in a thriving market! * Motivate seller, will carry the loan. Financing available * * * All Utilities at the property
-
2025-09-30historical
-
2025-09-23price $344,702
-
2025-09-17price $347,072
-
2025-08-26price $339,072
-
2025-08-25price $341,072
-
2025-08-14price $341,172
-
2025-08-13price $347,172
-
2025-08-07price $347,272
-
2025-08-06price $3,473,272
-
2025-07-26price $347,357
-
2025-07-08price $353,357
-
2025-06-27price $358,353
-
2025-06-17price $358,753
-
2025-06-14price $358,757
-
2025-06-01price $362,877
-
2025-05-23price $367,877
-
2025-04-28price $369,877
-
2025-03-26price $372,000
-
2025-03-21price $377,000
-
2025-03-07$387,000 Active
-
2025-02-24historical
-
2025-01-15price $365,472
-
2024-12-20price $367,000
-
2024-12-16price $375,000
-
2024-12-13price $329,875
-
2024-12-04price $349,875
-
2024-12-03price $355,000
-
2024-10-18price $365,000
-
2024-09-17price $373,000
-
2024-08-13price $379,000
-
2024-07-20price $359,000
-
2024-07-03price $367,000
-
2024-06-28price $369,000
-
2024-06-11price $370,000
-
2024-05-21$375,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,760 · $397/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,760 · $397/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 23 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,498
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,429
- − Property taxes
- −$4,760
- − Insurance
- −$1,645
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,360
- − Management
- −$2,360
- − Depreciation
- −$9,571
- Taxable loss
- −$9,626
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,310
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,495/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Corona-Norco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0609850
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,380
- Composite
- 50.72/100
- National rank
- #3920
- State rank
- #312 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Home Gardens
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #833
- US rank
- #23168
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Home Gardens, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,317
- Household income
- $92,229
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2058.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 21% Two or more races 13% Asian 13% Black 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 50%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 1% Armenian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 43% English-only · Spanish 44% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -395.32%
- Current HPI
- 380.3129
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.77%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-10.7% since first listed36 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-12 Listed $335,000 CRMLS
- 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-09-23 Price Changed $344,702 CRMLS
- 2025-09-17 Price Changed $347,072 CRMLS
- 2025-08-26 Price Changed $339,072 CRMLS
- 2025-08-25 Price Changed $341,072 CRMLS
- 2025-08-14 Price Changed $341,172 CRMLS
- 2025-08-13 Price Changed $347,172 CRMLS
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $347,272 CRMLS
- 2025-08-06 Price Changed $3,473,272 CRMLS
- 2025-07-26 Price Changed $347,357 CRMLS
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $353,357 CRMLS
- 2025-06-27 Price Changed $358,353 CRMLS
- 2025-06-17 Price Changed $358,753 CRMLS
- 2025-06-14 Price Changed $358,757 CRMLS
- 2025-06-01 Price Changed $362,877 CRMLS
- 2025-05-23 Price Changed $367,877 CRMLS
- 2025-04-28 Price Changed $369,877 CRMLS
- 2025-03-26 Price Changed $372,000 CRMLS
- 2025-03-21 Price Changed $377,000 CRMLS
- 2025-03-07 Listed $387,000 CRMLS
- 2025-02-24 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-01-15 Price Changed $365,472 CRMLS
- 2024-12-20 Price Changed $367,000 CRMLS
- 2024-12-16 Price Changed $375,000 CRMLS
- 2024-12-13 Price Changed $329,875 CRMLS
- 2024-12-04 Price Changed $349,875 CRMLS
- 2024-12-03 Price Changed $355,000 CRMLS
- 2024-10-18 Price Changed $365,000 CRMLS
- 2024-09-17 Price Changed $373,000 CRMLS
- 2024-08-13 Price Changed $379,000 CRMLS
- 2024-07-20 Price Changed $359,000 CRMLS
- 2024-07-03 Price Changed $367,000 CRMLS
- 2024-06-28 Price Changed $369,000 CRMLS
- 2024-06-11 Price Changed $370,000 CRMLS
- 2024-05-21 Listed $375,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+12.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,760 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…