4050 Carefree Way · Wesley Chapel, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- ARV discount +13.4/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$160,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Zephyrhills is just 30 minutes northeast of Tampa. Centrally located to Gulf Beaches and Orlando. This large 2 bedroom, 2 bath double wide mobile home located in South Hill Mobile Home Park, a quiet 55+ community where you own your own land and have minimal HOA fees. The park amenities include a club house and a screened heated pool so you too can enjoy a winter swim with family and friends visiting from the north, that think the Florida weather is always warm enough to go swimming! This home is spacious with 1,438 heated square feet. Enter through the sliding glass doors into the large living/dining room combo with a built-in display cabinet for your treasures. Kitchen has an island with built-in cook top store, built-in oven and plenty of cupboards and separate eating area that will lead you to the sliding glass doors and into an enclosed porch area. In the hallway off the living/dining room area is the 2nd bedroom and guest bath. The hallway has built-in cupboards, counter top and intercom. The large master bedroom has a double mirrored door walk-in closed, French doors that lead to what is now being used for a sewing room, but could be used as a den. The home has a large storage area, small screened porch off the three-car carport and a covered back porch area. Newer roof over and newer A/C unit.
Key facts
- Enclosed sunroom
- Membrane roof
- Rear patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead exempt; Zoned RMH
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $75; total annual fees $900; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly fee $75) — fee includes pool; Association approval required; Clubhouse and shuffleboard court; Senior community; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Has carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Propane available; Sewer connected; Underground utilities; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One story; Faces west
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Membrane roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as single-level (one)
- Exterior features: Awning(s); Sliding doors; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in oven; Cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Water softener
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside in a laundry closet; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $445 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.7% in Wesley Chapel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#143 in FL, #2,137 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 856 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 232 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $67k; list at $160k implies a 139% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 232 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.70%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $184,064
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35020 Colony Hills Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,430 (-1%) | 9mo | $175,000 | $122 | 83 |
| 4100 Carefree Way | 0.01mi | 2/2.0 | 1,302 (-10%) | 1mo | $139,500 | $107 | 83 |
| 35021 Mcculloughs Leap | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,352 (-6%) | 4mo | $167,000 | $124 | 79 |
| 34911 Buck Rd | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,496 (+4%) | 12mo | $120,000 | $80 | 71 |
| 35139 Wagner Way | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,320 (-8%) | 8mo | $169,900 | $129 | 71 |
| 3838 Chah Dr | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-13%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $128 | 63 |
| 35042 Colony Hills Dr | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-13%) | 13mo | $170,000 | $136 | 62 |
| 34620 Dustin Ct | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (+5%) | 15mo | $278,000 | $184 | 58 |
| 4618 Newcomb Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (-5%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $84 | 56 |
| 3912 Damian Dr | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-13%) | 14mo | $160,000 | $128 | 54 |
| 35043 Chancey Rd | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-13%) | 7mo | $196,000 | $157 | 40 |
| 35429 Chambers Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (-12%) | 15mo | $253,000 | $201 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-3,332
- Equity at exit
- $23,857
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $11,407
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33541
- Home prices YoY
- -15.2%
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 856
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,970 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $771/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$75
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$414
- Net cashflow
- $445
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36232 Lanier Oaks Pt , FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 34916 Mulrion Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $2,100 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 34652 Blue Starling St Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4410 Sailplane Ct Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1574 | $2,100 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 34214 Rogallo Ln Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1574 | $2,050 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 34214 Cinder Way Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $2,200 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5019 Coopers Hawk Pl Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,699 | $1.17 | 10d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 34873 Robins Song Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $1,749 | $1.11 | 2d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 34796 Robins Song Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $1,799 | $1.14 | 19d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 34747 Double Eagle Ct Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1308 | $1,650 | $1.26 | 18d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 34325 Smart Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1505 | $2,065 | $1.37 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 33976 Lusitano Dr Wesley Chapel, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1251 | $2,284 | $1.82 | 12d | 71 | 1.14mi |
| 33780 Charleston Club Cir Wesley Chapel, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 977 | $2,135 | $2.19 | 2d | 11 | 1.19mi |
| 34002 Painthorse Way Wesley Chapel, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $2,208 | $2.16 | 3d | 46 | 1.41mi |
| 3346 Lapis Lake Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1760 | $2,199 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 34350 Redwood Dawn Ln Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,350 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2883 Peony Prairie Ln Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,099 | $1.25 | 11d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3328 Lapis Lake Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1597 | $1,999 | $1.25 | 10d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 34276 Redwood Dawn Ln Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1673 | $2,500 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 35940 Inspiration Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1034 | $1,694 | $1.64 | 2d | 21 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $75 · $900/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $160,000 Pending 232 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $160,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $160,000
-
2026-03-24price $162,000
-
2026-03-03price $164,000
-
2026-01-05price $167,000
-
2025-10-17$172,000 Active
-
2016-07-26soldstatus $67,000
-
2016-07-18soldstatus $67,000 Sold 1321-char remark
Show marketing remark (1321 chars)
Zephyrhills is just 30 minutes northeast of Tampa. Centrally located to Gulf Beaches and Orlando. This large 2 bedroom, 2 bath double wide mobile home located in South Hill Mobile Home Park, a quiet 55+ community where you own your own land and have minimal HOA fees. The park amenities include a club house and a screened heated pool so you too can enjoy a winter swim with family and friends visiting from the north, that think the Florida weather is always warm enough to go swimming! This home is spacious with 1,438 heated square feet. Enter through the sliding glass doors into the large living/dining room combo with a built-in display cabinet for your treasures. Kitchen has an island with built-in cook top store, built-in oven and plenty of cupboards and separate eating area that will lead you to the sliding glass doors and into an enclosed porch area. In the hallway off the living/dining room area is the 2nd bedroom and guest bath. The hallway has built-in cupboards, counter top and intercom. The large master bedroom has a double mirrored door walk-in closed, French doors that lead to what is now being used for a sewing room, but could be used as a den. The home has a large storage area, small screened porch off the three-car carport and a covered back porch area. Newer roof over and newer A/C unit.
-
2016-06-03status Pending 1321-char remark
Show marketing remark (1321 chars)
Zephyrhills is just 30 minutes northeast of Tampa. Centrally located to Gulf Beaches and Orlando. This large 2 bedroom, 2 bath double wide mobile home located in South Hill Mobile Home Park, a quiet 55+ community where you own your own land and have minimal HOA fees. The park amenities include a club house and a screened heated pool so you too can enjoy a winter swim with family and friends visiting from the north, that think the Florida weather is always warm enough to go swimming! This home is spacious with 1,438 heated square feet. Enter through the sliding glass doors into the large living/dining room combo with a built-in display cabinet for your treasures. Kitchen has an island with built-in cook top store, built-in oven and plenty of cupboards and separate eating area that will lead you to the sliding glass doors and into an enclosed porch area. In the hallway off the living/dining room area is the 2nd bedroom and guest bath. The hallway has built-in cupboards, counter top and intercom. The large master bedroom has a double mirrored door walk-in closed, French doors that lead to what is now being used for a sewing room, but could be used as a den. The home has a large storage area, small screened porch off the three-car carport and a covered back porch area. Newer roof over and newer A/C unit.
-
2016-05-23status Active 1321-char remark
Show marketing remark (1321 chars)
Zephyrhills is just 30 minutes northeast of Tampa. Centrally located to Gulf Beaches and Orlando. This large 2 bedroom, 2 bath double wide mobile home located in South Hill Mobile Home Park, a quiet 55+ community where you own your own land and have minimal HOA fees. The park amenities include a club house and a screened heated pool so you too can enjoy a winter swim with family and friends visiting from the north, that think the Florida weather is always warm enough to go swimming! This home is spacious with 1,438 heated square feet. Enter through the sliding glass doors into the large living/dining room combo with a built-in display cabinet for your treasures. Kitchen has an island with built-in cook top store, built-in oven and plenty of cupboards and separate eating area that will lead you to the sliding glass doors and into an enclosed porch area. In the hallway off the living/dining room area is the 2nd bedroom and guest bath. The hallway has built-in cupboards, counter top and intercom. The large master bedroom has a double mirrored door walk-in closed, French doors that lead to what is now being used for a sewing room, but could be used as a den. The home has a large storage area, small screened porch off the three-car carport and a covered back porch area. Newer roof over and newer A/C unit.
-
2016-05-23price $69,000 1321-char remark
Show marketing remark (1321 chars)
Zephyrhills is just 30 minutes northeast of Tampa. Centrally located to Gulf Beaches and Orlando. This large 2 bedroom, 2 bath double wide mobile home located in South Hill Mobile Home Park, a quiet 55+ community where you own your own land and have minimal HOA fees. The park amenities include a club house and a screened heated pool so you too can enjoy a winter swim with family and friends visiting from the north, that think the Florida weather is always warm enough to go swimming! This home is spacious with 1,438 heated square feet. Enter through the sliding glass doors into the large living/dining room combo with a built-in display cabinet for your treasures. Kitchen has an island with built-in cook top store, built-in oven and plenty of cupboards and separate eating area that will lead you to the sliding glass doors and into an enclosed porch area. In the hallway off the living/dining room area is the 2nd bedroom and guest bath. The hallway has built-in cupboards, counter top and intercom. The large master bedroom has a double mirrored door walk-in closed, French doors that lead to what is now being used for a sewing room, but could be used as a den. The home has a large storage area, small screened porch off the three-car carport and a covered back porch area. Newer roof over and newer A/C unit.
-
2016-05-20historical 1321-char remark
Show marketing remark (1321 chars)
Zephyrhills is just 30 minutes northeast of Tampa. Centrally located to Gulf Beaches and Orlando. This large 2 bedroom, 2 bath double wide mobile home located in South Hill Mobile Home Park, a quiet 55+ community where you own your own land and have minimal HOA fees. The park amenities include a club house and a screened heated pool so you too can enjoy a winter swim with family and friends visiting from the north, that think the Florida weather is always warm enough to go swimming! This home is spacious with 1,438 heated square feet. Enter through the sliding glass doors into the large living/dining room combo with a built-in display cabinet for your treasures. Kitchen has an island with built-in cook top store, built-in oven and plenty of cupboards and separate eating area that will lead you to the sliding glass doors and into an enclosed porch area. In the hallway off the living/dining room area is the 2nd bedroom and guest bath. The hallway has built-in cupboards, counter top and intercom. The large master bedroom has a double mirrored door walk-in closed, French doors that lead to what is now being used for a sewing room, but could be used as a den. The home has a large storage area, small screened porch off the three-car carport and a covered back porch area. Newer roof over and newer A/C unit.
-
2015-12-10$72,000 Active 1321-char remark
Show marketing remark (1321 chars)
Zephyrhills is just 30 minutes northeast of Tampa. Centrally located to Gulf Beaches and Orlando. This large 2 bedroom, 2 bath double wide mobile home located in South Hill Mobile Home Park, a quiet 55+ community where you own your own land and have minimal HOA fees. The park amenities include a club house and a screened heated pool so you too can enjoy a winter swim with family and friends visiting from the north, that think the Florida weather is always warm enough to go swimming! This home is spacious with 1,438 heated square feet. Enter through the sliding glass doors into the large living/dining room combo with a built-in display cabinet for your treasures. Kitchen has an island with built-in cook top store, built-in oven and plenty of cupboards and separate eating area that will lead you to the sliding glass doors and into an enclosed porch area. In the hallway off the living/dining room area is the 2nd bedroom and guest bath. The hallway has built-in cupboards, counter top and intercom. The large master bedroom has a double mirrored door walk-in closed, French doors that lead to what is now being used for a sewing room, but could be used as a den. The home has a large storage area, small screened porch off the three-car carport and a covered back porch area. Newer roof over and newer A/C unit.
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2000-12-22soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $771 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,328 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$557/yr (+$46/mo · 72.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,640
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$771
- − Insurance
- −$1,598
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,891
- − Management
- −$1,891
- − HOA
- −$900
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable income
- $2,972
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$713
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,625/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Wesley Chapel
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #143
- US rank
- #2137
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- City population
- 100,771
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,654
- Household income
- $56,579
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 393.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.21%
- Current HPI
- 308.0619
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.51%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+220.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $160,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $162,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $164,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $167,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-17 Listed $172,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
- 2016-07-18 Sold (MLS) $67,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-03 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-23 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-23 Price Changed $69,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-20 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-12-10 Listed $72,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $771 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…