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1233 Kenneth Ave
B Composite 71.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,000

1233 Kenneth Ave · New Kensington, PA 15068
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,675 sqft · Other public records · 125 Days on market
Built 1930 3,118 sqft lot $56/sqft · 8% below area Est $102k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 1233 Kenneth Ave. This single-family residence is perfect for any investor wanting to add to their portfolio or any first-time home buyer looking to purchase. This home has ample space to live, with a total of 5 bedrooms and 1 bath! Plenty of space to relax on the front porch, and nice size yard for summer time fun. Currently rented with good tenants that would love to stay if you're looking for a good investment this year.

Key facts

  • 3,118 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1930

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $94k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $822 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $94k).
  • Recommended offer: $83k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.8% vs local median 7.2% in New Kensington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#840 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
  • New Kensington-Arnold SD (suburban): math 16% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #483 of 539 in PA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $650 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $94k implies a 327% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $82,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.97%
Cap rate
16.78%
Cash-on-cash
37.46%
DSCR
2.67
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$101,855
List price
$94,000
Delta
-7.71%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.2%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$35,089
Equity at exit
$14,016
10-year hold
IRR
38.6%
Equity multiple
4.42×
Total profit
$89,896
Equity at exit
$8,127

Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15068

Home prices YoY
-12.2%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,847 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$493
Tax from tax record
$106 /mo · $1,267/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$822

Break-even live

Break-even rent $807
Max offer price $94,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $875 -5% $848 +0% $822 +5% $795 +10% $768
Rent -10% $676 -5% $749 +0% $822 +5% $894 +10% $967
Rate -1.0pp $869 -0.5pp $845 base $822 +0.5pp $797 +1.0pp $772

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,500
Closing costs
$2,820
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
826 North St New Kensington, PA 4.0 1.5 1250 $1,495 $1.20 2d 1 0.42mi
1922 Kenneth Ave New Kensington, PA 5.0 2.0 1800 $2,150 $1.19 8d 1 0.67mi
1922 Kenneth Ave New Kensington, PA 5.0 2.0 1800 $2,100 $1.17 2d 1 0.67mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,000 Active 125 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,000 Active 124 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,000 Active 123 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,000 Active 122 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,000 Active 120 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,000 Active 116 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,000 Active 115 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,000 Active 114 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $94,000 Active 111 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,000 Active 110 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,000 Active 109 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,000 Active 108 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,000 Active 107 DOM
  14. 2026-02-11
    listed $94,000 Active 438-char remark
    Show marketing remark (438 chars)

    Welcome to 1233 Kenneth Ave. This single-family residence is perfect for any investor wanting to add to their portfolio or any first-time home buyer looking to purchase. This home has ample space to live, with a total of 5 bedrooms and 1 bath! Plenty of space to relax on the front porch, and nice size yard for summer time fun. Currently rented with good tenants that would love to stay if you're looking for a good investment this year.

  15. 2025-05-08
    price $94,000 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    Welcome to 1233 Kenneth Ave. This single-family residence is perfect for any investor wanting to add to their portfolio or any first-time home buyer looking to purchase. This home has ample space to live, with a total of 5 bedrooms and 1 bath! Plenty of space to relax on the front porch, and nice size yard for summertime fun. It is currently rented with good tenants who would love to stay if you are looking for a good investment this year.

  16. 2025-04-07
    price $99,000 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    Welcome to 1233 Kenneth Ave. This single-family residence is perfect for any investor wanting to add to their portfolio or any first-time home buyer looking to purchase. This home has ample space to live, with a total of 5 bedrooms and 1 bath! Plenty of space to relax on the front porch, and nice size yard for summertime fun. It is currently rented with good tenants who would love to stay if you are looking for a good investment this year.

  17. 2025-03-08
    price $100,000 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    Welcome to 1233 Kenneth Ave. This single-family residence is perfect for any investor wanting to add to their portfolio or any first-time home buyer looking to purchase. This home has ample space to live, with a total of 5 bedrooms and 1 bath! Plenty of space to relax on the front porch, and nice size yard for summertime fun. It is currently rented with good tenants who would love to stay if you are looking for a good investment this year.

  18. 2025-02-07
    listed $105,000 Active 443-char remark
    Show marketing remark (443 chars)

    Welcome to 1233 Kenneth Ave. This single-family residence is perfect for any investor wanting to add to their portfolio or any first-time home buyer looking to purchase. This home has ample space to live, with a total of 5 bedrooms and 1 bath! Plenty of space to relax on the front porch, and nice size yard for summertime fun. It is currently rented with good tenants who would love to stay if you are looking for a good investment this year.

  19. 2001-03-01
    soldstatus $22,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,267 · $106/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,376 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$109/yr (+$9/mo · 8.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,165
− Mortgage interest
−$5,265
− Property taxes
−$1,267
− Insurance
−$470
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,773
− Management
−$1,773
− Depreciation
−$2,735
Taxable income
$8,882
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,132
After-tax cash flow
$7,727/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Kensington-Arnold SD
NCES district ID
4216740
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$34,386
Composite
19.26/100
National rank
#8805
State rank
#483 of 539 in PA

Livability — New Kensington

Score
69/100
State rank
#840
US rank
#8791

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Kensington, PA
County
Westmoreland County · 183,777 people
City population
36,203
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
36,203
Household income
$63,426
Rent vs Own
27.8% rent · 72.2% own
Severe rent burden
967.0

Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
342,555 people
By 2030
331,717 · -3.2%
By 2040
304,976 · -11.0%
By 2050
277,444 · -19.0%
By 2075
224,607 · -34.4%
By 2100
171,084 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Subsaharan African 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.50%
Current HPI
305.926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.90%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+327.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $94,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-05-08 Price Changed $94,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-04-07 Price Changed $99,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-03-08 Price Changed $100,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-02-07 Listed $105,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2001-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,267 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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