114 S 5th St · Shamokin, PA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.95%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$72,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cozy 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Shamokin featuring new vinyl flooring, a remodeled kitchen with new cabinets, a remodeled bathroom, and a remodeled attic for extra living space. This home also offers a gas hot water furnace, spacious rooms, and a convenient location near schools, shopping, and local amenities. A great choice for a starter home or investment property.
Key facts
- Remodeled bathroom
- Remodeled attic
- Remodeled kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $73k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($960 rent vs $73k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#887 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, commute F, employment F.
- Shamokin Area SD (town): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #450 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($504 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
- Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $73k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.83%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $42,994
- List price
- $72,900
- Delta
- 69.56%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 553 N 2nd St | 0.32mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,364 (-4%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $48 | 71 |
| 141 S Rock St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (-2%) | 11mo | $40,000 | $29 | 66 |
| 118 Academy St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,508 (+6%) | 13mo | $70,000 | $46 | 61 |
| 30 N Shamokin St | 0.54mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+5%) | 14mo | $27,000 | $18 | 50 |
| 718 E Race St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,288 (-10%) | 8mo | $27,000 | $21 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $18,292
- Equity at exit
- $28,375
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $51,498
- Equity at exit
- $40,572
Cash invested: $20,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17872
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $960 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$382
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $916/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$202
- Net cashflow
- $214
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $255 | -5% $234 | +0% $214 | +5% $193 | +10% $172 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $138 | -5% $176 | +0% $214 | +5% $252 | +10% $290 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $250 | -0.5pp $232 | base $214 | +0.5pp $195 | +1.0pp $176 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,225
- Closing costs
- $2,187
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 S Market St Fl Rear Shamokin, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 11 S Market St Apt B Rear Shamokin, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $900 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 804 W Mulberry St Coal Township, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,075 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 863 W Spruce St Coal Township, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $695 | $0.58 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1309 W Spruce St Coal Township, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $825 | $0.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2 S Vine St Shamokin, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1450 | $975 | $0.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 609 E Commerce St Shamokin, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1668 | $1,500 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $72,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $72,900 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $72,900 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $72,900 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $72,900 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-14pricedays on market $72,900 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $76,900 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $76,900 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $76,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $76,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $76,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $76,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $76,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $76,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $76,900 Active 77 DOM
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2026-03-14$76,900 Active 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Cozy 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Shamokin featuring new vinyl flooring, a remodeled kitchen with new cabinets, a remodeled bathroom, and a remodeled attic for extra living space. This home also offers a gas hot water furnace, spacious rooms, and a convenient location near schools, shopping, and local amenities. A great choice for a starter home or investment property.
-
2026-03-12$76,900 Active 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Cozy 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Shamokin featuring new vinyl flooring, a remodeled kitchen with new cabinets, a remodeled bathroom, and a remodeled attic for extra living space. This home also offers a gas hot water furnace, spacious rooms, and a convenient location near schools, shopping, and local amenities. A great choice for a starter home or investment property.
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2026-02-23historical
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2025-11-30price $77,900
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2025-11-30price $77,900
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2025-11-14price $85,000
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2025-11-12price $85,000
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2025-11-03price $79,900
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2025-11-03price $79,900
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2025-09-06status Active
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2025-09-06status Active
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2025-09-01status Pending
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2025-09-01status Pending
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2025-08-22$82,500 Active
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2025-08-22$82,500 Active
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2023-12-14soldstatus $40,000 Closed
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2023-11-30status Pending
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2023-11-27historical
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2023-10-25price $44,000
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2023-09-27$49,000 Active
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2023-09-24historical $49,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $916 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,034 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$118/yr (+$10/mo · 12.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 95% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,518
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,084
- − Property taxes
- −$916
- − Insurance
- −$1,031
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$921
- − Management
- −$921
- − Depreciation
- −$2,121
- Taxable income
- $1,523
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$366
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,199/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shamokin Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221240
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,380
- Composite
- 24.31/100
- National rank
- #7709
- State rank
- #450 of 539 in PA
Livability — Shamokin
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #887
- US rank
- #9448
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shamokin, PA
- City population
- 9,808
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,950
Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 90,896 people
- By 2030
- 89,084 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 84,822 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 80,521 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 72,152 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 62,257 · -31.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Iranian 6% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.90%
- Current HPI
- 124.6288
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+56.9% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-14 Listed $76,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $76,900 CSVBR
- 2026-02-23 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-30 Price Changed $77,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-30 Price Changed $77,900 CSVBR
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-12 Price Changed $85,000 CSVBR
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-03 Price Changed $79,900 CSVBR
- 2025-09-06 Relisted — CSVBR
- 2025-09-06 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-01 Pending — CSVBR
- 2025-09-01 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-22 Listed $82,500 CSVBR
- 2025-08-22 Listed $82,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-12-14 Sold (MLS) $40,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-11-30 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-11-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-10-25 Price Changed $44,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-09-27 Listed $49,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-09-24 Coming Soon $49,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2026): $916 · +61.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…