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248 Orange Ave Triplex
D Composite 40.93
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.8/15.0
  • Schools +6.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.5/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.2/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$2,900,000

248 Orange Ave · Coronado, CA 92118
5 bd · 5.0 ba · 2,853 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 118 Days on market
Built 1984 3,600 sqft lot $1016/sqft · 14% below area Est $3370k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Price Reduced! Motivated Seller. Well located triplex situated on the famed Orange Avenue- Coronado, CA. Improved space is approximately 2900sf. Strong Unit mix consisting of one 3Bed 2Bath townhome (Unit A), one 2Bed 1.5Bath Townhome (Unit B), and One 2Bed 2Bath unit (Unit C). All units are well taken care of with in-unit laundry, private water heaters, FOUR on-site garages plus FOUR on-site parking spaces! The property was built in 1984. Units have ample natural light. Units are accessed off Orange Avenue and in the rear alleyway. Steps from the Bay and all the retail amenities your tenants will need. Lot size is 3,591sf with dimensions of 26ft x 140ft.

Key facts

  • 3,600 sq ft lot
  • Built 1984
  • Listed 117 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3.0-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $2.90M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6k ($-75k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-2k/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.80M (37.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.50M (48.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $1.50M (48.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 0.8% in Coronado — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#249 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F, health & safety F.
  • Coronado Unified (suburban): math 61% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #47 of 517 in CA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 159 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 89% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $14,988/mo this rent would consume 134% of the median local household income ($135k/yr) (locally 1052% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $61k of equity ($20k loan paydown + $41k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$215k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($2.64M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $1.57M; list at $2.90M implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $1,498,800 (48.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 48% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.52%
Cap rate
3.72%
Cash-on-cash
-9.18%
DSCR
0.59
GRM
16.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$3,369,555
List price
$2,900,000
Delta
-13.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
756-62 G Ave 0.64mi 5/5.0 2,500 (-12%) 2mo $3,620,000 $1,448 48
515 Palm Ave 0.29mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,433 (-15%) 17mo $2,855,000 $1,173 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.41% appreciation · 4.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-261,696
Equity at exit
$1,052,399
10-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-30,201
Equity at exit
$1,448,120

Cash invested: $812,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92118

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
159
Price-to-rent
48.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$14,988 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$15,208
Tax from tax record
$1,636 /mo · $19,627/yr
Insurance
$1,208
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,147
Net cashflow
$-6,211

Break-even live

Break-even rent $22,850
Max offer price $1,802,749
Occupancy floor

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $14,988

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$725,000
Closing costs
$87,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
237 E Ave Coronado, CA 6.0 3.0 2246 $15,000 $6.68 44d 1 0.10mi
1099 1st St Coronado, CA 2.0–4.0 2.5–4.0 3092 $12,500 $4.04 44d 4 0.20mi
624 1st St Coronado, CA 4.0 3.5 2400 $30,000 $12.50 44d 1 0.31mi
250 Soledad Pl Unit Vacation Rental Coronado, CA 4.0 3.0 2500 $15,000 $6.00 44d 1 0.31mi
170 H Ave Coronado, CA 5.0 4.0 2500 $12,500 $5.00 44d 1 0.36mi
710 E Ave Coronado, CA 4.0 4.5 2344 $20,000 $8.53 3d 1 0.54mi
734 Olive Ave Coronado, CA 4.0 3.5 2400 $8,900 $3.71 44d 1 0.56mi
621 Country Club Ln Coronado, CA 4.0 3.0 2140 $9,000 $4.21 44d 1 0.74mi
1027 Encino Row Coronado, CA 4.0 3.0 2097 $8,750 $4.17 44d 1 0.91mi

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    days on market $2,900,000 Active 118 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $2,900,000 Active 117 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $2,900,000 Active 116 DOM
  4. 2026-03-06
    price $2,900,000 663-char remark
    Show marketing remark (663 chars)

    Price Reduced! Motivated Seller. Well located triplex situated on the famed Orange Avenue- Coronado, CA. Improved space is approximately 2900sf. Strong Unit mix consisting of one 3Bed 2Bath townhome (Unit A), one 2Bed 1.5Bath Townhome (Unit B), and One 2Bed 2Bath unit (Unit C). All units are well taken care of with in-unit laundry, private water heaters, FOUR on-site garages plus FOUR on-site parking spaces! The property was built in 1984. Units have ample natural light. Units are accessed off Orange Avenue and in the rear alleyway. Steps from the Bay and all the retail amenities your tenants will need. Lot size is 3,591sf with dimensions of 26ft x 140ft.

  5. 2026-02-05
    listed $3,000,000 Active 663-char remark
    Show marketing remark (663 chars)

    Price Reduced! Motivated Seller. Well located triplex situated on the famed Orange Avenue- Coronado, CA. Improved space is approximately 2900sf. Strong Unit mix consisting of one 3Bed 2Bath townhome (Unit A), one 2Bed 1.5Bath Townhome (Unit B), and One 2Bed 2Bath unit (Unit C). All units are well taken care of with in-unit laundry, private water heaters, FOUR on-site garages plus FOUR on-site parking spaces! The property was built in 1984. Units have ample natural light. Units are accessed off Orange Avenue and in the rear alleyway. Steps from the Bay and all the retail amenities your tenants will need. Lot size is 3,591sf with dimensions of 26ft x 140ft.

  6. 2025-06-25
    status Pending Sale
  7. 2025-06-24
    historical
  8. 2025-06-24
    listed $3,290,000 Active
  9. 2025-03-22
    historical
  10. 2025-02-24
    status Back On Market
  11. 2025-01-28
    historical
  12. 2025-01-21
    listed $3,295,000
  13. 2025-01-08
    historical
  14. 2024-10-31
    price $3,298,999
  15. 2024-10-17
    price $3,295,000
  16. 2024-10-09
    price $3,225,000
  17. 2024-09-29
    price $3,250,000
  18. 2024-09-16
    price $3,295,000
  19. 2024-09-09
    price $3,490,000
  20. 2024-07-19
    listed $3,498,000 Active
  21. 2024-07-15
    historical
  22. 2019-09-10
    soldstatus $1,567,500 Sold
  23. 2019-09-10
    soldstatus $1,567,500
  24. 2019-09-10
    soldstatus $1,567,500
  25. 2019-07-21
    historical Backup Offers Accepted
  26. 2019-07-01
    listed $1,599,000 Active
  27. 2019-07-01
    listed $1,599,000
  28. 2019-06-16
    historical
  29. 2019-06-16
    historical
  30. 2019-05-07
    status Active
  31. 2019-05-06
    status Active
  32. 2019-04-29
    status Pending Sale
  33. 2019-04-29
    status Pending
  34. 2019-04-17
    listed $1,600,000 Active
  35. 2019-04-17
    listed $1,600,000 Active
  36. 2019-03-18
    historical
  37. 2019-03-18
    historical
  38. 2019-02-17
    price $1,600,000
  39. 2019-02-17
    price $1,600,000
  40. 2019-01-15
    listed $1,700,000 Active
  41. 2019-01-15
    listed $1,700,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$19,627 · $1,636/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$22,040 · $1,837/mo
Expected delta
+$2,413/yr (+$201/mo · 12.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$179,856
− Mortgage interest
−$162,445
− Property taxes
−$19,627
− Insurance
−$14,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$14,388
− Management
−$14,388
− Depreciation
−$84,364
Taxable loss
−$129,856
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$31,166
After-tax cash flow
$-43,370/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coronado Unified
NCES district ID
0609870
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
77% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$91,550
Composite
62.45/100
National rank
#691
State rank
#47 of 517 in CA

Livability — Coronado

Score
69/100
State rank
#249
US rank
#8296

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime C Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Coronado, CA
County
San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
City population
18,929
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Population (ZIP)
18,929
Household income
$134,534
Rent vs Own
45.4% rent · 54.6% own
Severe rent burden
1052.0

Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,678,185 people
By 2030
3,856,546 · +4.8%
By 2040
4,171,407 · +13.4%
By 2050
4,421,607 · +20.2%
By 2075
4,831,599 · +31.4%
By 2100
4,832,502 · +31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% Asian 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

2024 margin
D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.41%
Current HPI
360.7979
Rent YoY
▲ 4.44%
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+70.6% since first listed
38 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $2,900,000 SDMLS
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $3,000,000 SDMLS
  • 2025-06-25 Pending CRMLS
  • 2025-06-24 Listed $3,290,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-06-24 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-03-22 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2025-02-24 Relisted SDMLS
  • 2025-01-28 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2025-01-21 Listed $3,295,000 SDMLS
  • 2025-01-08 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2024-10-31 Price Changed $3,298,999 SDMLS
  • 2024-10-17 Price Changed $3,295,000 SDMLS
  • 2024-10-09 Price Changed $3,225,000 SDMLS
  • 2024-09-29 Price Changed $3,250,000 SDMLS
  • 2024-09-16 Price Changed $3,295,000 SDMLS
  • 2024-09-09 Price Changed $3,490,000 SDMLS
  • 2024-07-19 Listed $3,498,000 SDMLS
  • 2024-07-15 Coming Soon SDMLS
  • 2019-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $1,567,500 Public Records
  • 2019-09-10 Sold (MLS) $1,567,500 SDMLS
  • 2019-09-10 Sold (MLS) $1,567,500 TheMLS
  • 2019-07-21 Contingent TheMLS
  • 2019-07-01 Listed $1,599,000 SDMLS
  • 2019-07-01 Listed $1,599,000 TheMLS
  • 2019-06-16 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2019-06-16 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2019-05-07 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2019-05-06 Relisted SDMLS
  • 2019-04-29 Pending CRMLS
  • 2019-04-29 Pending SDMLS
  • 2019-04-17 Listed $1,600,000 SDMLS
  • 2019-04-17 Listed $1,600,000 CRMLS
  • 2019-03-18 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2019-03-18 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2019-02-17 Price Changed $1,600,000 SDMLS
  • 2019-02-17 Price Changed $1,600,000 CRMLS
  • 2019-01-15 Listed $1,700,000 SDMLS
  • 2019-01-15 Listed $1,700,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $19,627 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…