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3101 Bapaume Ave
D Composite 42.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.1/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +2.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$350,000

3101 Bapaume Ave · Norfolk, VA 23509
5 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,998 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1952 $175/sqft · at area comps Est $347k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this beautifully remodeled 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom Cape Cod that perfectly blends classic charm with modern updates. Every detail has been thoughtfully upgraded, making this home completely move-in ready. Step inside to find a bright and inviting layout featuring a brand-new kitchen with updated cabinetry, countertops, and stainless steel appliances. Both bathrooms have been fully renovated with stylish finishes, offering a fresh and modern feel throughout. Come see this turn-key home today!

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1952
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Simple ownership
  • HOA & community: No HOA fees reported

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with space for 2 vehicles
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electric power
  • Home design: Detached home; Cape Cod / Traditional style; 2 stories; Crawl foundation
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Full fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Electric range; Refrigerator; Breakfast area
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom; Master bedroom on first floor; Additional bedroom
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Full bathroom on first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Central air
  • Interior features: Cable hookup; Ceiling fan; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Utility room; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-145 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $324k (7.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $272k (22.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $272k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.0% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Norfolk City Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #118 of 131 in VA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lindenwood Elementary (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,082 of 1,108 statewide, top 98%, 262 students, 98% FRL); Azalea Gardens Middle (math 21% / reading 54%, grade F, #315 of 342 statewide, top 93%, 848 students, 84% FRL); Matthew Fontaine Maury High (math 46% / reading 90%, grade B, #180 of 319 statewide, top 57%, 1,697 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 59% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.0%/yr); 82 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $196k; list at $350k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $272,454 (22.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.79%
Cash-on-cash
-1.78%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$347,032
List price
$350,000
Delta
0.86%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2924 Somme Ave 0.20mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,050 (+3%) 2mo $402,000 $196 80
1734 Lasalle Ave 0.31mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,100 (+5%) 0mo $445,000 $212 72
2200 Lafayette Blvd 0.11mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,809 (-10%) 4mo $350,000 $193 69
2830 Vincent Ave 0.47mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,000 (+0%) 5mo $350,000 $175 69
2729 Vimy Ridge Ave 0.38mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,086 (+4%) 4mo $255,000 $122 65
2908 Tait Ter 0.66mi 4/3.0 (-1) 1,994 (-0%) 2mo $329,900 $165 60
3018 Lorraine Ave 0.30mi 5/2.0 1,709 (-14%) 0mo $325,000 $190 60
1740 Hancock Ave 0.51mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,908 (-4%) 4mo $370,000 $194 58
3012 Ballentine Blvd 0.47mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,840 (-8%) 2mo $325,000 $177 57
3122 Montana Ave 0.73mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,946 (-3%) 6mo $300,000 $154 52
1455 Ashland Cir 0.67mi 5/2.0 2,215 (+11%) 1mo $435,000 $196 48
2509 Cottage Ave 0.75mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,250 (+13%) 6mo $327,500 $146 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-51,611
Equity at exit
$52,186
10-year hold
IRR
1.0%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$8,532
Equity at exit
$30,262

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23509

Home prices YoY
-1.3%
Rents YoY
14.0%
Active inventory
82
Price-to-rent
10.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,725 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$317 /mo · $3,798/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$572
Net cashflow
$-145

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,909
Max offer price $324,314
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $53 -5% $-46 +0% $-145 +5% $-244 +10% $-344
Rent -10% $-361 -5% $-253 +0% $-145 +5% $-38 +10% $70
Rate -1.0pp $31 -0.5pp $-56 base $-145 +0.5pp $-236 +1.0pp $-328

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2914 Peronne Ave Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.0 1764 $2,495 $1.41 25d 1 0.22mi
3301 Vimy Ridge Ave Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.0 1300 $2,150 $1.65 6d 1 0.24mi
1801 Saint Denis Ave Unit 3 Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.0 1500 $2,400 $1.60 25d 1 0.28mi
3126 Marne Ave Norfolk, VA 5.0 2.0 1943 $3,000 $1.54 45d 1 0.34mi
3414 Tidewater Dr Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.5 2200 $3,000 $1.36 45d 1 0.44mi
3114 Luxembourg Ave Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.5 2300 $3,100 $1.35 19d 1 0.51mi
2537 McKann Ave Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.5 2321 $2,695 $1.16 16d 1 0.73mi
3640 Robin Hood Rd Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.5 1400 $2,999 $2.14 19d 1 0.75mi
3541 Chesapeake Blvd Norfolk, VA 5.0 1.0 1476 $1,275 $0.86 9d 1 0.89mi
3776 Wayne Cir Norfolk, VA 4.0 3.0 2301 $2,795 $1.21 45d 1 1.10mi
3239 Granby St Norfolk, VA 4.0 3.5 2350 $2,600 $1.11 14d 1 1.17mi
766 A Ave Norfolk, VA 5.0 2.0 1544 $1,400 $0.91 45d 1 1.20mi
212 Broadway St Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.5 2349 $2,900 $1.23 19d 1 1.24mi
212 Broadway St Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.5 2350 $2,800 $1.19 16d 1 1.24mi
1403 Lead St Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.5 1854 $2,550 $1.38 45d 1 1.24mi
220 Broadway St Norfolk, VA 4.0 3.0 2540 $3,500 $1.38 45d 1 1.26mi
219 W 27th St Norfolk, VA 5.0 3.5 2268 $2,900 $1.28 25d 1 1.38mi
407 Pennsylvania Ave Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.5 2200 $3,200 $1.45 45d 1 1.41mi
410 W 29th St Norfolk, VA 4.0 2.0 2001 $2,500 $1.25 16d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $350,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $350,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $350,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on marketlisting id $350,000 Active 1 DOM
  5. 2026-05-11
    historical Active Under Contract 508-char remark
  6. 2026-05-08
    price $350,000 508-char remark
  7. 2026-04-28
    status Active 508-char remark
  8. 2026-04-20
    historical Active Under Contract 508-char remark
  9. 2026-04-14
    price $360,000 508-char remark
  10. 2026-04-02
    price $370,000 508-char remark
  11. 2026-03-23
    listed $375,000 Active 508-char remark
  12. 2025-11-21
    soldstatus $196,000
  13. 2014-07-28
    soldstatus $160,300
  14. 2014-06-12
    price $154,900 Active
  15. 2014-05-13
    price $159,900 Active
  16. 1983-09-30
    soldstatus $48,800
  17. 1979-12-04
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,798 · $317/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,798 · $317/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,694
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$3,798
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,616
− Management
−$2,616
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable loss
−$7,872
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,889
After-tax cash flow
$144/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Norfolk City Public School District
NCES district ID
5102670
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -44.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$44,358
Composite
35.08/100
National rank
#5026
State rank
#118 of 131 in VA

Livability — Norfolk

Score
83/100
State rank
#43
US rank
#1026

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Norfolk, VA
County
Norfolk City · 214,042 people
City population
214,042
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
13,105
Household income
$72,816
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
575.0

Population outlook (Norfolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
249,032 people
By 2030
252,347 · +1.3%
By 2040
253,644 · +1.9%
By 2050
251,913 · +1.2%
By 2075
245,281 · -1.5%
By 2100
219,548 · -11.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Norfolk

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.5) · D 70.0% · R 28.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: 43.0pp · 2024: 41.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.5 2020: D+45.6 2016: D+42.0 2012: D+44.0 2008: D+43.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.16%
Current HPI
321.56
Rent YoY
▲ 13.99%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+775.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $350,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Pending REINMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2026-05-10 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $350,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted REINMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $360,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $370,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $375,000 REINMLS
  • 2025-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $196,000 Public Records
  • 2014-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $160,300 Public Records
  • 2014-06-12 Price Changed $154,900 REINMLS
  • 2014-05-13 Price Changed $159,900 REINMLS
  • 1983-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $48,800 Public Records
  • 1979-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,798 · +10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…