CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
8211 Parnell St
D+ Composite 47.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$169,000

8211 Parnell St · Houston, TX 77051
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1950 5,510 sqft lot $151/sqft · 5% above area Est $160k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The home is tenant occupied and perfect for an investor looking for tenant-occupied properties. This well-maintained home offers 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, featuring central air and heating for year-round comfort. The kitchen is equipped with granite countertops, and the home is vacant and move-in ready, providing a smooth transition for its next owner. Ideally located with easy access to Highway 288, Loop 610, and Beltway 8, the property allows for a convenient commute to the Texas Medical Center, Downtown Houston, and surrounding employment hubs. Positioned in an area experiencing continued revitalization and growth, this home presents a great opportunity for both homeowner

Key facts

  • Granite countertops
  • Central air
  • 5,510 sq ft lot

Tags

CENTRAL AIRGRANITE COUNTERTOPSEASY ACCESS TO HIGHWAY 288

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Leasing considered

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1950; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Composition roof
  • Construction: Unknown construction materials
  • Exterior features: Located in a subdivision

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas); Central cooling (electric and gas)
  • Interior features: Total of 3 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-34 ($-414/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $163k (3.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (8.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (8.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Attucks Middle (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 439 students, 98% FRL); Worthing H S (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 827 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 14 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,638 (8.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.87%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,366
List price
$169,000
Delta
5.38%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8015 Cannon St 0.20mi 2/1.0 1,114 (-0%) 11mo $175,000 $157 81
8022 Corinth St 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,112 (-1%) 15mo $89,000 $80 68
8412 Fountain St 0.18mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,048 (-6%) 12mo $200,000 $191 66
8122 Corinth St Unit B 0.23mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,094 (-2%) 12mo $286,000 $261 66
8137 Canyon St 0.16mi 2/1.0 957 (-15%) 3mo $110,000 $115 66
8019 Lawler St 0.22mi 2/1.0 1,008 (-10%) 14mo $98,000 $97 62
3902 Aledo St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,176 (+5%) 4mo $90,000 $77 56
8030 Lawler St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (+1) 952 (-15%) 10mo $139,900 $147 53
7811 Lawler St 0.36mi 2/1.0 992 (-11%) 15mo $75,000 $76 51
8416 Livingston St 0.24mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,247 (+11%) 15mo $210,000 $168 48
7634 Lady St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,270 (+13%) 12mo $120,000 $94 30
3454 Bacon St 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,278 (+14%) 11mo $255,000 $200 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.77% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.3%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$92,727
Equity at exit
$152,249
10-year hold
IRR
22.0%
Equity multiple
6.94×
Total profit
$281,057
Equity at exit
$328,330

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77051

Home prices YoY
9.7%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
312
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,546 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax from tax record
$299 /mo · $3,593/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$325
Net cashflow
$-34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,590
Max offer price $162,912
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8328 Corinth St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,800 $1.87 20d 1 0.23mi
8010 Livingston St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 43d 1 0.27mi
3137 W Bellfort Ave Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1164 $1,802 $1.55 43d 1 0.49mi
7823 Gladstone St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 850 $1,600 $1.88 43d 1 0.56mi
7812 Tierwester St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 16d 2 0.69mi
1600 Jester St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 707 $1,395 $1.97 2d 4 0.76mi
4410 Bellfort Ave Unit 4404 8 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 812 $999 $1.23 7d 1 0.84mi
2889 Reed Rd Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 997 $1,648 $1.65 3d 2 0.88mi
8181 El Mundo St Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1241 $1,772 $1.43 24d 18 0.91mi
8181 El Mundo St Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1356 $1,636 $1.21 1d 47 0.91mi
8383 El Mundo St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 737 $1,292 $1.75 14d 1 0.92mi
8389 El Mundo St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 763 $1,240 $1.63 43d 1 0.98mi
8383 El Mundo St Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,553 $1.41 10d 1 0.99mi
8383 El Mundo St Unit 422 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,529 $1.38 7d 1 0.99mi
8383 El Mundo St Unit 8457 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 737 $1,187 $1.61 10d 1 0.99mi
8383 El Mundo St Unit 1148 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 737 $1,145 $1.55 3d 1 0.99mi
8383 El Mundo St Unit 2165 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,521 $1.38 3d 1 0.99mi
8383 El Mundo St Apt 321 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 737 $1,148 $1.56 7d 1 0.99mi
8383 El Mundo St Unit 8440 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,558 $1.41 43d 1 0.99mi
8383 El Mundo St Unit 1174 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 737 $1,188 $1.61 10d 1 0.99mi
8383 El Mundo St Unit 8404 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 737 $1,297 $1.76 14d 1 0.99mi
2725 Reed Rd Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 911 $862 $0.95 43d 1 1.01mi
8306 El Mundo St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 770 $1,297 $1.68 43d 1 1.03mi
4326 Larkspur St Unit 3 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 16d 1 1.03mi
8521 Dosia St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1028 $1,665 $1.62 12d 1 1.04mi
8380 El Mundo St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 712 $1,263 $1.77 1d 28 1.04mi
8300 El Mundo St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 770 $948 $1.23 12d 1 1.05mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 8357 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,289 $1.33 10d 1 1.06mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 1112 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 770 $956 $1.24 3d 1 1.06mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 2174 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,300 $1.34 10d 1 1.06mi
8300 El Mundo St Apt 324 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 770 $959 $1.25 7d 1 1.06mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 8321 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 770 $994 $1.29 14d 1 1.06mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 424 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,265 $1.30 5d 1 1.06mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 1162 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 770 $959 $1.25 5d 1 1.06mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 8321 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 770 $998 $1.30 10d 1 1.06mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 8351 Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 770 $994 $1.29 44d 1 1.06mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 422 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,265 $1.30 7d 1 1.06mi
8300 El Mundo St Unit 2112 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,257 $1.30 3d 1 1.06mi
4205 Phlox St Unit 2 BEDROOM 6 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 736 $860 $1.17 18d 1 1.06mi
2750 Holly Hall St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 704 $2,000 $2.84 2d 12 1.07mi

Listing history 45 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,000 Active 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,000 Active 39 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,000 Active 38 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,000 Active 37 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,000 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $169,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,000 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-05-09
    listed $175,000 Active 744-char remark
  13. 2026-03-26
    historical
  14. 2026-03-24
    historical $1,395
  15. 2026-03-05
    listed $1,395
  16. 2026-03-04
    historical $1,395
  17. 2026-03-03
    listed $180,000 Active
  18. 2026-03-03
    historical
  19. 2026-01-29
    price $1,395
  20. 2026-01-28
    price $180,000
  21. 2026-01-14
    listed $1,400
  22. 2026-01-13
    historical $1,400
  23. 2026-01-06
    listed $165,000 Active
  24. 2025-12-04
    listed $1,400
  25. 2025-11-27
    historical $1,400
  26. 2025-11-14
    listed $1,400
  27. 2025-11-13
    historical $1,400
  28. 2025-11-13
    listed $1,400
  29. 2024-10-16
    historical $1,400
  30. 2024-10-09
    listed $1,400
  31. 2024-10-08
    historical $1,450
  32. 2024-09-24
    listed $1,450
  33. 2024-09-23
    historical $1,499
  34. 2024-09-12
    listed $1,499
  35. 2024-09-12
    historical $1,550
  36. 2024-08-08
    listed $1,550
  37. 2023-11-13
    historical $1,300
  38. 2023-11-07
    listed $1,300
  39. 2019-11-18
    soldstatus
  40. 2019-06-18
    soldstatus
  41. 2019-06-12
    soldstatus Sold
  42. 2019-05-25
    status Pending
  43. 2019-05-02
    listed $63,500 Active
  44. 2016-02-02
    soldstatus
  45. 2014-07-07
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,593 · $299/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,593 · $299/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,557
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$3,593
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,485
− Management
−$1,485
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable loss
−$3,234
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$776
After-tax cash flow
$363/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
19,795
Household income
$37,415
Rent vs Own
58.2% rent · 41.8% own
Severe rent burden
1446.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% White 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.02%
Current HPI
180.4283
Rent YoY
▲ 4.77%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+166.1% since first listed
35 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $169,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $175,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Rental Removed $1,395 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Listed for Rent $1,395 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Rental Removed $1,395 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $180,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Price Changed $1,395 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-28 Price Changed $180,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed for Rent $1,400 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-13 Rental Removed $1,400 HARMLS
  • 2026-01-06 Listed $165,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-04 Listed for Rent $1,400 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-27 Rental Removed $1,400 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-14 Listed for Rent $1,400 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Rental Removed $1,400 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-11-13 Listed for Rent $1,400 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-10-16 Rental Removed $1,400 HARMLS
  • 2024-10-09 Listed for Rent $1,400 HARMLS
  • 2024-10-08 Rental Removed $1,450 HARMLS
  • 2024-09-24 Listed for Rent $1,450 HARMLS
  • 2024-09-23 Rental Removed $1,499 HARMLS
  • 2024-09-12 Listed for Rent $1,499 HARMLS
  • 2024-09-12 Rental Removed $1,550 HARMLS
  • 2024-08-08 Listed for Rent $1,550 HARMLS
  • 2023-11-13 Rental Removed $1,300 HARMLS
  • 2023-11-07 Listed for Rent $1,300 HARMLS
  • 2019-11-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-06-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-06-12 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2019-05-25 Pending HARMLS
  • 2019-05-02 Listed $63,500 HARMLS
  • 2016-02-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-07-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+12.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,593 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…