🏗️ New Construction
423 Emanuel Church Rd · Brunswick, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Cash flow +2.5/30.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -2.2
$284,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover the best of modern country living with this newly installed 4-bedroom, 2-bath Clayton mobile home situated on a spacious 1.168 acre lot (Lot 1). Offering 1,800 square feet of stylish, functional living space, this brand-new home is the perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and room to grow. Only 25 Min. to St. Simons Island, Jekyll Island, & FLETC. Step through the front door into a bright, open concept living area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen and dining spaces. The kitchen is fully equipped with brand-new stainless-steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and a dedicated laundry area located just off the prep zone. A nearby dining area offers the ideal space for everyday meals or casual entertaining. The primary suite features a large walk-in closet and a private en-suite bath with dual sinks and a tub/shower combo. Three additional bedrooms and a second full bath provide plenty of space for family, guests, or a home office setup. Peace of mind comes standard with a new deep well and modern septic system for reliable utilities. Plus, this home qualifies for a variety of financing options including FHA, VA, and USDA 100% financing for eligible buyers! Whether you're a first-time buyer, or someone looking to enjoy a quiet, rural lifestyle with modern amenities - this is the home you've been waiting for. Estimated completion date in mid-July. 425 Emanuel Church Rd. is also available.
Key facts
- Spacious lot
- Large walk-in closet
- 1.17 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $285k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (37.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (45.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (45.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 2.1% vs local median 3.5% in Brunswick — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#401 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Glynn County (other): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #47 of 174 in GA (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Satilla Marsh Elementary School (math 58% / reading 49%, grade C, #212 of 1,228 statewide, top 17%, 758 students, 44% FRL); Risley Middle School (math 29% / reading 44%, grade F, #167 of 470 statewide, top 38%, 635 students, 61% FRL); Glynn Academy (math 45% / reading 42%, grade F, #50 of 424 statewide, top 12%, 1,823 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: 271 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 734 units permitted in Glynn County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Glynn County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.43% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -14.91%
- DSCR
- 0.34
- GRM
- 19.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $357,831
- List price
- $284,900
- Delta
- -20.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165 Silver Bluff Cir | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 1,834 (+2%) | 0mo | $425,000 | $232 | 85 |
| 127 Silver Bluff Dr | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 | 1,894 (+5%) | 1mo | $415,000 | $219 | 70 |
| 115 Silver Bluff Dr | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 | 1,998 (+11%) | 2mo | $449,500 | $225 | 65 |
| 117 Rachel Way | 0.25mi | 4/2.5 | 2,200 (+22%) | 3mo | $449,900 | $205 | 59 |
| 108 Haven Ct | 0.83mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,811 (+1%) | 2mo | $316,900 | $175 | 57 |
| 532 Emanuel Church Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,491 (-17%) | 6mo | $355,000 | $238 | 56 |
| 112 Haven Ct | 0.84mi | 4/2.0 | 1,962 (+9%) | 5mo | $332,000 | $169 | 46 |
| 124 Avondale Rd | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,517 (-16%) | 2mo | $297,500 | $196 | 46 |
| 154 Tison Dr | 1.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,615 (-10%) | 7mo | $315,000 | $195 | 37 |
| 27 Carlee Ln | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 | 2,202 (+22%) | 5mo | $449,900 | $204 | 35 |
| 161 Camden Dr | 1.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,419 (-21%) | 1mo | $252,750 | $178 | 34 |
| 103 Michigan Way | 1.45mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,138 (+19%) | 3mo | $450,000 | $210 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -44.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.37×
- Total profit
- $-137,239
- Equity at exit
- $53,354
- IRR
- -81.4%
- Equity multiple
- -1.21×
- Total profit
- $-221,494
- Equity at exit
- $30,939
Cash invested: $100,193 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31523
- Active inventory
- 271
- Price-to-rent
- 15.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,555 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,877
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$447 /mo · $5,367/yr
- Insurance
- −$149
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $-1,245
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-997 | -5% $-1,121 | +0% $-1,245 | +5% $-1,368 | +10% $-1,492 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,368 | -5% $-1,306 | +0% $-1,245 | +5% $-1,183 | +10% $-1,122 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,065 | -0.5pp $-1,154 | base $-1,245 | +0.5pp $-1,337 | +1.0pp $-1,432 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,458
- Closing costs
- $10,735
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Located on approximately 1.168-acre lot
- HOA & community
- No HOA
Exterior
- Parking
- Off-street parking
- Utilities
- Private water sourceSeptic tankElectricity available on property
- Home design
- New constructionResidential manufactured home (manufactured house)Single-family residenceOne story
- Construction
- Built in 2026
- Exterior features
- Composition roofVinyl sidingLot includes other features
Interior
- Kitchen
- Refrigerator included
- Bedrooms
- Four bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring
- Other flooring
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- One-level layoutBuilder-provided living areaOther interior features
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry features listed as other
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $284,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $284,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $284,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $284,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $284,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $284,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $284,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $284,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $284,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $284,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $284,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $284,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $284,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $284,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $284,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $284,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $284,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $284,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $284,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $284,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $284,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $284,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $284,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $284,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $284,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $284,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $284,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $284,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $284,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $284,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $284,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $284,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $284,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $284,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $284,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $284,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $284,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $284,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $284,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $284,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $284,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $284,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $284,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $284,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $284,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $284,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $284,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $284,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $284,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $284,900 Active 15 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,655
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,044
- − Property taxes
- −$5,367
- − Insurance
- −$1,789
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,492
- − Management
- −$1,492
- − Depreciation
- −$10,410
- Taxable loss
- −$21,940
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,266
- After-tax cash flow
- $-9,671/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos
This newly installed Clayton Boone mobile home is move-in ready with modern finishes and ample space, ideal for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Furniture — Ready for immediate move-in ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Glynn County
- NCES district ID
- 1302400
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,554
- Composite
- 33.83/100
- National rank
- #5359
- State rank
- #47 of 174 in GA
Livability — Brunswick
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #401
- US rank
- #19832
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Glynn · 91,404 people
- City population
- 51,239
- Metro
- Brunswick-St. Simons, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,921
- Household income
- $90,148
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3% of renters
Population outlook (Glynn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 91,404 people
- By 2030
- 94,806 · +3.7%
- By 2040
- 100,060 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 103,258 · +13.0%
- By 2075
- 107,970 · +18.1%
- By 2100
- 103,363 · +13.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Serbian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Glynn
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.0) · D 36.8% · R 62.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.6pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -26.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.0 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+28.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.30%
- Current HPI
- 174.4323
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+5.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $284,900 GAMLS
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $284,900 GIAR
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $287,500 GAMLS
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $287,500 GIAR
- 2026-05-24 Listed $269,900 GAMLS
- 2026-05-23 Listed $269,900 GIAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…