623 S Mason St · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.5/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 623 South Mason!!! This home is located in one of Saginaw's sought after neighborhoods. It sits on a peaceful block, conveniently located near downtown. It has undergone some modern updates while still maintaining it's original charm. A beautiful deck has been added, new security doors, along with newer mechanicals. Schedule your showing today. BATVAI. $495 Transaction fee to listing brokerage.
Key facts
- Beautiful deck
- Modern updates
- New security doors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residential; Built in 1869
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Built in 1869
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot of approximately 0.14 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (8 x 8)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (10 x 12); Second bedroom (8 x 8)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (8 x 8)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Covered entrance; Michigan-style basement; Total of 7 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $90k implies a 221% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1869 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1869 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.35%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $77,958
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1415 Lyon St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,068 (-3%) | 0mo | $74,900 | $70 | 86 |
| 310 S Bates St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,069 (-3%) | 2mo | $42,000 | $39 | 84 |
| 719 S Bond St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,191 (+8%) | 0mo | $52,500 | $44 | 80 |
| 1511 Osborn St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,041 (-5%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $86 | 71 |
| 250 Goetz St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+2%) | 4mo | $79,900 | $71 | 64 |
| 1 Southlawn Ct | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,090 (-1%) | 4mo | $116,900 | $107 | 63 |
| 828 Malzahn St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,138 (+4%) | 3mo | $109,900 | $97 | 60 |
| 1016 Thurman St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,230 (+12%) | 3mo | $69,900 | $57 | 52 |
| 1715 Hancock St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 970 (-12%) | 1mo | $42,500 | $44 | 50 |
| 1514 Marquette St | 0.65mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 986 (-10%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $51 | 44 |
| 251 Trier St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,262 (+15%) | 2mo | $147,000 | $116 | 44 |
| 1700 Marquette St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 963 (-12%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $83 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-2,351
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $16,784
- Equity at exit
- $7,781
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48602
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,038 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$135 /mo · $1,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $175
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1827 Gilbert St Saginaw, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $695 | $0.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $89,999 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,999 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $89,999 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $89,999 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,999 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,999 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,999 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,999 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,999 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,999 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,999 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,999 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,999 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,999 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,999 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,999 Active 31 DOM
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2026-04-29$89,999 Active 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Welcome to 623 South Mason!!! This home is located in one of Saginaw's sought after neighborhoods. It sits on a peaceful block, conveniently located near downtown. It has undergone some modern updates while still maintaining it's original charm. A beautiful deck has been added, new security doors, along with newer mechanicals. Schedule your showing today. BATVAI. $495 Transaction fee to listing brokerage.
-
2026-04-29$89,999 Active 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Welcome to 623 South Mason!!! This home is located in one of Saginaw's sought after neighborhoods. It sits on a peaceful block, conveniently located near downtown. It has undergone some modern updates while still maintaining it's original charm. A beautiful deck has been added, new security doors, along with newer mechanicals. Schedule your showing today. BATVAI. $495 Transaction fee to listing brokerage.
-
2026-04-29$89,999 Active
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Welcome to 623 South Mason!!! This home is located in one of Saginaw's sought after neighborhoods. It sits on a peaceful block, conveniently located near downtown. It has undergone some modern updates while still maintaining it's original charm. A beautiful deck has been added, new security doors, along with newer mechanicals. Schedule your showing today. BATVAI. $495 Transaction fee to listing brokerage.
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2022-04-25soldstatus $28,000
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2022-04-19soldstatus $28,000 Sold
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2022-04-19soldstatus $28,000 Closed
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2022-04-03status Pending
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2022-04-03status Pending
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2022-03-30price $34,900
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2022-03-30price $34,900
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2022-03-30status Active
-
2022-03-30status Back on Market
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2022-03-27status Pending
-
2022-03-27status Pending
-
2022-03-09price $39,900
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2022-03-09price $39,900
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2022-02-26$44,900 Active
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2022-02-26$44,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,625 · $135/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,625 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,460
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,625
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$997
- − Management
- −$997
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $732
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$176
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,929/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 2630390
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,940
- Composite
- 19.6/100
- National rank
- #8755
- State rank
- #444 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saginaw, MI
- County
- Saginaw County · 54,884 people
- City population
- 54,884
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,127
- Household income
- $46,984
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1416.0
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.15%
- Current HPI
- 159.8807
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.98%
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+100.4% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $89,999 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $89,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $89,999 REALCOMP
- 2022-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-19 Sold (MLS) $28,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-04-19 Sold (MLS) $28,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-04-03 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-04-03 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-30 Price Changed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-30 Price Changed $34,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-03-30 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2022-03-30 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-03-27 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-09 Price Changed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-09 Price Changed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-02-26 Listed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-02-26 Listed $44,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,625 · -14.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…