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623 S Mason St
D+ Composite 49.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.9/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,999

623 S Mason St · Saginaw, MI 48602
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,098 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1869 6,011 sqft lot Est $78k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 623 South Mason!!! This home is located in one of Saginaw's sought after neighborhoods. It sits on a peaceful block, conveniently located near downtown. It has undergone some modern updates while still maintaining it's original charm. A beautiful deck has been added, new security doors, along with newer mechanicals. Schedule your showing today. BATVAI. $495 Transaction fee to listing brokerage.

Key facts

  • Beautiful deck
  • Modern updates
  • New security doors

Tags

MODERN UPDATESBEAUTIFUL DECKNEW SECURITY DOORSNEWER MECHANICALS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residential; Built in 1869
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Built in 1869
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot of approximately 0.14 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (8 x 8)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (10 x 12); Second bedroom (8 x 8)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (8 x 8)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Covered entrance; Michigan-style basement; Total of 7 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $90k implies a 221% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1869 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $87,299 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1869 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
8.63%
Cash-on-cash
8.35%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$77,958
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1415 Lyon St 0.09mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,068 (-3%) 0mo $74,900 $70 86
310 S Bates St 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,069 (-3%) 2mo $42,000 $39 84
719 S Bond St 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,191 (+8%) 0mo $52,500 $44 80
1511 Osborn St 0.32mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,041 (-5%) 1mo $90,000 $86 71
250 Goetz St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,120 (+2%) 4mo $79,900 $71 64
1 Southlawn Ct 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,090 (-1%) 4mo $116,900 $107 63
828 Malzahn St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,138 (+4%) 3mo $109,900 $97 60
1016 Thurman St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,230 (+12%) 3mo $69,900 $57 52
1715 Hancock St 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 970 (-12%) 1mo $42,500 $44 50
1514 Marquette St 0.65mi 2/1.5 (-1) 986 (-10%) 2mo $50,000 $51 44
251 Trier St 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,262 (+15%) 2mo $147,000 $116 44
1700 Marquette St 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 963 (-12%) 1mo $80,000 $83 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.4%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-2,351
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$16,784
Equity at exit
$7,781

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48602

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
250
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,038 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$135 /mo · $1,625/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$218
Net cashflow
$175

Break-even live

Break-even rent $816
Max offer price $89,999
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1827 Gilbert St Saginaw, MI 3.0 2.0 1008 $695 $0.69 43d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,999 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,999 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,999 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,999 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,999 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,999 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,999 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,999 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,999 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,999 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,999 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,999 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,999 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,999 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,999 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,999 Active 31 DOM
  17. 2026-04-29
    listed $89,999 Active 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Welcome to 623 South Mason!!! This home is located in one of Saginaw's sought after neighborhoods. It sits on a peaceful block, conveniently located near downtown. It has undergone some modern updates while still maintaining it's original charm. A beautiful deck has been added, new security doors, along with newer mechanicals. Schedule your showing today. BATVAI. $495 Transaction fee to listing brokerage.

  18. 2026-04-29
    listed $89,999 Active 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Welcome to 623 South Mason!!! This home is located in one of Saginaw's sought after neighborhoods. It sits on a peaceful block, conveniently located near downtown. It has undergone some modern updates while still maintaining it's original charm. A beautiful deck has been added, new security doors, along with newer mechanicals. Schedule your showing today. BATVAI. $495 Transaction fee to listing brokerage.

  19. 2026-04-29
    listed $89,999 Active
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    Welcome to 623 South Mason!!! This home is located in one of Saginaw's sought after neighborhoods. It sits on a peaceful block, conveniently located near downtown. It has undergone some modern updates while still maintaining it's original charm. A beautiful deck has been added, new security doors, along with newer mechanicals. Schedule your showing today. BATVAI. $495 Transaction fee to listing brokerage.

  20. 2022-04-25
    soldstatus $28,000
  21. 2022-04-19
    soldstatus $28,000 Sold
  22. 2022-04-19
    soldstatus $28,000 Closed
  23. 2022-04-03
    status Pending
  24. 2022-04-03
    status Pending
  25. 2022-03-30
    price $34,900
  26. 2022-03-30
    price $34,900
  27. 2022-03-30
    status Active
  28. 2022-03-30
    status Back on Market
  29. 2022-03-27
    status Pending
  30. 2022-03-27
    status Pending
  31. 2022-03-09
    price $39,900
  32. 2022-03-09
    price $39,900
  33. 2022-02-26
    listed $44,900 Active
  34. 2022-02-26
    listed $44,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,625 · $135/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,625 · $135/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,460
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,625
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$997
− Management
−$997
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$732
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$176
After-tax cash flow
$1,929/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saginaw School District
NCES district ID
2630390
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$28,940
Composite
19.6/100
National rank
#8755
State rank
#444 of 540 in MI

Livability — Saginaw

Score
63/100
State rank
#521
US rank
#15424

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saginaw, MI
County
Saginaw County · 54,884 people
City population
54,884
Metro
Saginaw, MI
Population (ZIP)
27,127
Household income
$46,984
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
1416.0

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.15%
Current HPI
159.8807
Rent YoY
▲ 3.98%
Metro
Saginaw, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.4% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $89,999 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $89,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $89,999 REALCOMP
  • 2022-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
  • 2022-04-19 Sold (MLS) $28,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-04-19 Sold (MLS) $28,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-04-03 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-04-03 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-03-30 Price Changed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-03-30 Price Changed $34,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-03-30 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2022-03-30 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-03-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-03-27 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-03-09 Price Changed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-03-09 Price Changed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-02-26 Listed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-02-26 Listed $44,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,625 · -14.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…