2414 Aberdeen Dr · Findlay, OH 45840

$21,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured · 102 Days on market

Built 1979 4,356 sqft lot $22/sqft · 56% below area

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +4.7/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +3.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Cozy home situated in Highland Estates. Located close to amenities!

Key facts

• 4,356 sq ft lot
• 2 parking spots
• Built 1979

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $22k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $947 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $22k).
• Recommended offer: $20k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 58.2% vs local median 5.0% in Findlay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#98 in OH, #1,496 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
• Findlay City (town): math 56% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #357 of 656 in OH (top 54%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 219 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 257 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $151 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $657 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hancock County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $19,929 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 6.35% ✓
• Cap rate: 58.17%
• Cash-on-cash: 185.26%
• DSCR: 9.24
• GRM: 1.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $49,950
• List price: $21,900
• Delta: -56.16%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 4 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1001 Skye Dr	0.09mi	2/1.0 (-1)	980 (0%)	2mo	$15,000	$15	89

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.68% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 10.89×
• Total profit: $60,616
• Equity at exit: $3,265

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 25.00×
• Total profit: $147,192
• Equity at exit: $1,894

Cash invested: $6,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 45840

• Rents YoY: 5.7%
• Active inventory: 219
• Price-to-rent: 1.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,390 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$115
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$27 /mo · $328/yr
• Insurance: −$9
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$292
• Net cashflow: $947

Break-even live

Break-even rent $192

Max offer price $21,900

Occupancy floor 27%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $5,475
• Closing costs: $657
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1231 Crystal Glen Blvd Findlay, OH	1.0–2.0	1.0–1.5	753	$1,110	$1.47	13d	13	0.23mi
2070 Breckenridge Rd Findlay, OH	2.0	1.0	810	$1,060	$1.31	23d	3	0.28mi

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $21,900 Active 102 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $21,900 Active 101 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $21,900 Active 100 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $21,900 Active 99 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $21,900 Active 98 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $21,900 Active 96 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $21,900 Active 95 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $21,900 Active 92 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   price $21,900 Active 91 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $24,900 Active 91 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $24,900 Active 90 DOM
12. 2026-05-30
    days on market $24,900 Active 88 DOM
13. 2026-03-02
    listed $24,900 Active 67-char remark

    Show marketing remark (67 chars)

    Cozy home situated in Highland Estates. Located close to amenities!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,679
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,227
• − Property taxes: −$328
• − Insurance: −$110
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,334
• − Management: −$1,334
• − Depreciation: −$637
• Taxable income: $11,709
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,810
• After-tax cash flow: $8,550/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Findlay City
• NCES district ID: 3910000
• Math proficiency: 56% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 56% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $45,261
• Composite: 47.31/100
• National rank: #2300
• State rank: #357 of 656 in OH

Livability — Findlay

• Score: 81/100
• State rank: #98
• US rank: #1496

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Findlay, OH
• County: Hancock County · 54,559 people
• City population: 54,559
• Metro: Findlay, OH
• Population (ZIP): 54,559
• Household income: $68,083
• Rent vs Own: 34.0% rent · 66.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1540.0

Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 77,526 people
• By 2030: 77,777 · +0.3%
• By 2040: 76,976 · -0.7%
• By 2050: 74,479 · -3.9%
• By 2075: 65,741 · -15.2%
• By 2100: 52,942 · -31.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (85%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hancock

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+38.4) · D 30.2% · R 68.7% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.3pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -38.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+38.4 2020: R+37.5 2016: R+40.8 2012: R+28.3 2008: R+23.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -250.43%
• Current HPI: 194.9132
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.68%
• Metro: Findlay, OH
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-03-02 Listed $24,900 NORIS