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307 N Grand Ave
B Composite 74.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$47,000

307 N Grand Ave · King City, MO 64463
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,955 sqft · Other public records · 211 Days on market
Built 1910 9,017 sqft lot $24/sqft · 66% below area ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming Craftsman-style home sits in a convenient location—right across from the school and just two blocks from Dollar General. With a little TLC, it has the potential to truly shine. The home offers five bedrooms, one bathroom, and the convenience of main-floor laundry. Hardwood floors flow throughout, complemented by newer windows and siding. The inviting front porch brings back old-fashioned charm—just add a classic porch swing to complete the picture. A detached garage and a handy shed round things out nicely. Make your appointment today

Key facts

  • Inviting front porch
  • Craftsman-style home
  • Newer siding

Tags

CRAFTSMAN-STYLE HOMEMAIN-FLOOR LAUNDRYHARDWOOD FLOORSNEWER WINDOWSNEWER SIDINGINVITING FRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $47k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $700 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $47k).
  • Recommended offer: $41k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#510 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • King City R-I (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #157 of 535 in MO (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Gentry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $325 of equity ($325 loan paydown + $0 appreciation (0.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (0.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $41,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.87%
Cap rate
24.16%
Cash-on-cash
63.82%
DSCR
3.84
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$138,072
List price
$47,000
Delta
-65.96%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

0.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
65.7%
Equity multiple
4.29×
Total profit
$43,245
Equity at exit
$13,649
10-year hold
IRR
67.7%
Equity multiple
8.71×
Total profit
$101,403
Equity at exit
$16,409

Cash invested: $13,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64463

Home prices YoY
0.0%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,348 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$246
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,184/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$700

Break-even live

Break-even rent $462
Max offer price $47,000
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $726 -5% $713 +0% $700 +5% $687 +10% $673
Rent -10% $593 -5% $647 +0% $700 +5% $753 +10% $806
Rate -1.0pp $724 -0.5pp $712 base $700 +0.5pp $688 +1.0pp $675

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,750
Closing costs
$1,410
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $47,000 Active 211 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $47,000 Active 209 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $47,000 Active 208 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $47,000 Active 207 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $47,000 Active 206 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $47,000 Active 204 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $47,000 Active 203 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $47,000 Active 200 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $47,000 Active 199 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $47,000 Active 198 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $47,000 Active 196 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $47,000 Active 194 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $47,000 Active 193 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $47,000 Active 192 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $47,000 Active 191 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    price $47,000 566-char remark
    Show marketing remark (566 chars)

    This charming Craftsman-style home sits in a convenient location—right across from the school and just two blocks from Dollar General. With a little TLC, it has the potential to truly shine. The home offers five bedrooms, one bathroom, and the convenience of main-floor laundry. Hardwood floors flow throughout, complemented by newer windows and siding. The inviting front porch brings back old-fashioned charm—just add a classic porch swing to complete the picture. A detached garage and a handy shed round things out nicely. Make your appointment today

  17. 2026-01-26
    price $50,000 566-char remark
    Show marketing remark (566 chars)

    This charming Craftsman-style home sits in a convenient location—right across from the school and just two blocks from Dollar General. With a little TLC, it has the potential to truly shine. The home offers five bedrooms, one bathroom, and the convenience of main-floor laundry. Hardwood floors flow throughout, complemented by newer windows and siding. The inviting front porch brings back old-fashioned charm—just add a classic porch swing to complete the picture. A detached garage and a handy shed round things out nicely. Make your appointment today

  18. 2025-12-31
    price $67,000 566-char remark
    Show marketing remark (566 chars)

    This charming Craftsman-style home sits in a convenient location—right across from the school and just two blocks from Dollar General. With a little TLC, it has the potential to truly shine. The home offers five bedrooms, one bathroom, and the convenience of main-floor laundry. Hardwood floors flow throughout, complemented by newer windows and siding. The inviting front porch brings back old-fashioned charm—just add a classic porch swing to complete the picture. A detached garage and a handy shed round things out nicely. Make your appointment today

  19. 2025-11-21
    listed $70,000 Active 566-char remark
    Show marketing remark (566 chars)

    This charming Craftsman-style home sits in a convenient location—right across from the school and just two blocks from Dollar General. With a little TLC, it has the potential to truly shine. The home offers five bedrooms, one bathroom, and the convenience of main-floor laundry. Hardwood floors flow throughout, complemented by newer windows and siding. The inviting front porch brings back old-fashioned charm—just add a classic porch swing to complete the picture. A detached garage and a handy shed round things out nicely. Make your appointment today

  20. 2024-07-12
    soldstatus
  21. 2021-01-13
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,184 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,184 · $99/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,171
− Mortgage interest
−$2,633
− Property taxes
−$1,184
− Insurance
−$235
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,294
− Management
−$1,294
− Depreciation
−$1,367
Taxable income
$8,164
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,959
After-tax cash flow
$6,439/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
King City R-I
NCES district ID
2916590
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,836
Composite
42.23/100
National rank
#6995
State rank
#157 of 535 in MO

Livability — King City

Score
60/100
State rank
#510
US rank
#19525

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
King City, MO
Population (ZIP)
1,239

Population outlook (Gentry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
6,612 people
By 2030
6,572 · -0.6%
By 2040
6,521 · -1.4%
By 2050
6,457 · -2.3%
By 2075
6,346 · -4.0%
By 2100
6,036 · -8.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Asian 2% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China

Political lean MEDSL · Gentry

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.8) · D 18.7% · R 80.5%
2008→2024 swing
-39.7pp toward R · 2008: -22.1pp · 2024: -61.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.8 2020: R+60.8 2016: R+56.0 2012: R+35.0 2008: R+22.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▬ 0.00%
Current HPI
176.4826
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-32.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $47,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $50,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-31 Price Changed $67,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-21 Listed $70,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-01-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,184 · +12.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…