307 N Grand Ave · King City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$47,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming Craftsman-style home sits in a convenient location—right across from the school and just two blocks from Dollar General. With a little TLC, it has the potential to truly shine. The home offers five bedrooms, one bathroom, and the convenience of main-floor laundry. Hardwood floors flow throughout, complemented by newer windows and siding. The inviting front porch brings back old-fashioned charm—just add a classic porch swing to complete the picture. A detached garage and a handy shed round things out nicely. Make your appointment today
Key facts
- Inviting front porch
- Craftsman-style home
- Newer siding
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $47k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $700 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $47k).
- Recommended offer: $41k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#510 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- King City R-I (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #157 of 535 in MO (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Gentry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $325 of equity ($325 loan paydown + $0 appreciation (0.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (0.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 63.82%
- DSCR
- 3.84
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $138,072
- List price
- $47,000
- Delta
- -65.96%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
0.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 65.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.29×
- Total profit
- $43,245
- Equity at exit
- $13,649
- IRR
- 67.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.71×
- Total profit
- $101,403
- Equity at exit
- $16,409
Cash invested: $13,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64463
- Home prices YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,348 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$246
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,184/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $700
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $726 | -5% $713 | +0% $700 | +5% $687 | +10% $673 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $593 | -5% $647 | +0% $700 | +5% $753 | +10% $806 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $724 | -0.5pp $712 | base $700 | +0.5pp $688 | +1.0pp $675 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,750
- Closing costs
- $1,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $47,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $47,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $47,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $47,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $47,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $47,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $47,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $47,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $47,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $47,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $47,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $47,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $47,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $47,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $47,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $47,000 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
This charming Craftsman-style home sits in a convenient location—right across from the school and just two blocks from Dollar General. With a little TLC, it has the potential to truly shine. The home offers five bedrooms, one bathroom, and the convenience of main-floor laundry. Hardwood floors flow throughout, complemented by newer windows and siding. The inviting front porch brings back old-fashioned charm—just add a classic porch swing to complete the picture. A detached garage and a handy shed round things out nicely. Make your appointment today
-
2026-01-26price $50,000 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
This charming Craftsman-style home sits in a convenient location—right across from the school and just two blocks from Dollar General. With a little TLC, it has the potential to truly shine. The home offers five bedrooms, one bathroom, and the convenience of main-floor laundry. Hardwood floors flow throughout, complemented by newer windows and siding. The inviting front porch brings back old-fashioned charm—just add a classic porch swing to complete the picture. A detached garage and a handy shed round things out nicely. Make your appointment today
-
2025-12-31price $67,000 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
This charming Craftsman-style home sits in a convenient location—right across from the school and just two blocks from Dollar General. With a little TLC, it has the potential to truly shine. The home offers five bedrooms, one bathroom, and the convenience of main-floor laundry. Hardwood floors flow throughout, complemented by newer windows and siding. The inviting front porch brings back old-fashioned charm—just add a classic porch swing to complete the picture. A detached garage and a handy shed round things out nicely. Make your appointment today
-
2025-11-21$70,000 Active 566-char remark
Show marketing remark (566 chars)
This charming Craftsman-style home sits in a convenient location—right across from the school and just two blocks from Dollar General. With a little TLC, it has the potential to truly shine. The home offers five bedrooms, one bathroom, and the convenience of main-floor laundry. Hardwood floors flow throughout, complemented by newer windows and siding. The inviting front porch brings back old-fashioned charm—just add a classic porch swing to complete the picture. A detached garage and a handy shed round things out nicely. Make your appointment today
-
2024-07-12soldstatus
-
2021-01-13soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,184 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,184 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,171
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,633
- − Property taxes
- −$1,184
- − Insurance
- −$235
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,294
- − Management
- −$1,294
- − Depreciation
- −$1,367
- Taxable income
- $8,164
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,959
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,439/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- King City R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2916590
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,836
- Composite
- 42.23/100
- National rank
- #6995
- State rank
- #157 of 535 in MO
Livability — King City
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #510
- US rank
- #19525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- King City, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,239
Population outlook (Gentry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,612 people
- By 2030
- 6,572 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 6,521 · -1.4%
- By 2050
- 6,457 · -2.3%
- By 2075
- 6,346 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 6,036 · -8.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Asian 2% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
Political lean MEDSL · Gentry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.8) · D 18.7% · R 80.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.7pp toward R · 2008: -22.1pp · 2024: -61.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.8 2020: R+60.8 2016: R+56.0 2012: R+35.0 2008: R+22.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▬ 0.00%
- Current HPI
- 176.4826
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-32.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $47,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $50,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-31 Price Changed $67,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-21 Listed $70,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-01-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,184 · +12.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…