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4831 Walden Lake Pointe
D Composite 42.44
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$205,000

4831 Walden Lake Pointe · Stonecrest, GA 30035
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,464 sqft · Condo public records · 69 Days on market
Built 2004 $225/mo HOA · 11% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nestled in Walden Lake, 4831 Walden Lake Pointe blends timeless elegance. The sunlit open floor plan features a chef's kitchen with high-end appliances, granite countertops, and ample storage, while the living room boasts soaring ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and stunning views. Upstairs, the primary suite offers a spa-like en-suite bath and walk-in closet, with additional spacious bedrooms perfect for family, guests, or a home office. Outside, the landscaped yard and expansive patio are ideal for morning coffee or weekend barbecues.

Key facts

  • $225 HOA
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 2004

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: From downtown Atlanta take I-20E to Exit 71/Panola; right on Panola Road, left on Snapfinger Woods Drive, left on Shellbark Way, left into Walden Lake subdivision (second drive), left on Walden Lake Pointe. End unit.
  • Financial info: Community contains one unit
  • HOA & community: Association fee $225 monthly; Association covers grounds maintenance, pest control, and trash; Association exists

Exterior

  • Parking: Two unassigned parking spaces
  • Security: Gated community (community feature)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Sewer available; Water available; Other electric service
  • Home design: Two levels; End unit condominium; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick and other construction materials; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Resale property
  • Exterior features: Patio; Gated community; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stone countertops; Dishwasher; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: Three upper-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Master bath with separate tub and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
  • Interior features: High 9-ft ceilings on main level; Walk-in closets; Gas log fireplace; One common wall (end unit)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on upper level in hall/laundry closet; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $205k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $75 ($894/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $205k).
  • Recommended offer: $193k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 5.1% in Stonecrest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Fairington Elementary School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,228 statewide, top 100%, 546 students, 100% FRL); Miller Grove Middle School (math 8% / reading 18%, grade F, #410 of 470 statewide, top 87%, 722 students, 100% FRL); Miller Grove High School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #394 of 424 statewide, top 97%, 1,188 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 24% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Dekalb County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 187 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $93k; list at $205k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $192,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
6.73%
Cash-on-cash
1.56%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-32,715
Equity at exit
$30,566
10-year hold
IRR
-12.9%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-39,040
Equity at exit
$17,725

Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30035

Home prices YoY
-33.8%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
187
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,081 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax from tax record
$184 /mo · $2,212/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$225
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$437
Net cashflow
$75

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,987
Max offer price $205,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $191 -5% $133 +0% $75 +5% $17 +10% $-42
Rent -10% $-90 -5% $-8 +0% $75 +5% $157 +10% $239
Rate -1.0pp $178 -0.5pp $127 base $75 +0.5pp $21 +1.0pp $-33

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,250
Closing costs
$6,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 35 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2545 Walden Lake Dr Unit 1 Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1464 $2,000 $1.37 45d 1 0.04mi
2559 Walden Lake Dr Unit 1 Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1464 $2,000 $1.37 45d 1 0.04mi
5038 Longview Walk Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1577 $1,995 $1.27 45d 1 0.19mi
4917 Longview Walk Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1486 $2,000 $1.35 22d 1 0.19mi
4908 Longview Walk Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1480 $2,000 $1.35 45d 1 0.20mi
2658 Avanti Way Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1616 $2,000 $1.24 45d 1 0.24mi
2569 Terrace Trl Decatur, GA 3.0 3.0 1752 $1,800 $1.03 45d 1 0.26mi
2563 Terrace Trl Decatur, GA 3.0 3.0 1752 $1,950 $1.11 14d 1 0.28mi
5108 Jack Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1872 $2,185 $1.17 26d 1 0.28mi
2878 Snapfinger Mnr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1670 $1,780 $1.07 4d 1 0.28mi
2553 Terrace Trl Unit 2553 Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1865 $1,950 $1.05 14d 1 0.29mi
2525 Terrace Trl Unit 2525 Decatur, GA 3.0 3.0 1593 $1,850 $1.16 14d 1 0.32mi
2481 Terrace Trl Decatur, GA 3.0 3.0 1752 $2,050 $1.17 45d 1 0.43mi
4946 Snapfinger Woods Dr Decatur, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 965 $1,259 $1.30 3d 18 0.45mi
4926 Windsor Downs Ln Decatur, GA 4.0 3.5 1675 $1,000 $0.60 0d 1 0.65mi
4909 Truitt Ln Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1697 $2,500 $1.47 45d 1 0.70mi
10 Friendly Hills Dr Decatur, GA 2.0 2.0 994 $1,534 $1.54 26d 1 0.71mi
4919 Wilkins Station Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1770 $2,161 $1.22 22d 1 0.77mi
2937 Thompson Cir Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1480 $1,860 $1.26 3d 1 0.89mi
5049 Donnell Way Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1566 $1,923 $1.23 45d 1 0.94mi
2314 Hampton Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 3.0 1600 $2,030 $1.27 45d 1 0.95mi
5047 Chadwick Ct Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1488 $1,645 $1.11 4d 1 0.99mi
5047 Chadwick Ct Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1488 $1,645 $1.11 1d 1 0.99mi
4433 Golf Vista Cir Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1495 $1,350 $0.90 26d 1 1.01mi
3095 Riders Trl Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1800 $4,500 $2.50 1d 1 1.07mi
4421 Wellington Ter Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1704 $1,880 $1.10 0d 1 1.14mi
4336 Pleasant Point Dr Decatur, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1010 $1,233 $1.22 0d 3 1.20mi
2692 Paxton PL #14 Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1611 $2,299 $1.43 45d 1 1.26mi
100 Cavalier Xing Stonecrest, GA 3.0 2.0 1558 $1,990 $1.28 26d 1 1.27mi
4292 Callum Ct Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1611 $2,200 $1.37 45d 1 1.31mi
4282 Callum Ct Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 1611 $2,200 $1.37 45d 1 1.33mi
4505 Dover Castle Dr Decatur, GA 4.0 2.0 1532 $1,923 $1.26 45d 1 1.42mi
5301 W Fairington Pkwy Lithonia, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1020 $1,946 $1.91 3d 37 1.45mi
1000 Hidden Chase Stone Mountain, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1185 $1,510 $1.27 7d 1 1.48mi
2153 Scarbrough Rd Stone Mountain, GA 3.0 2.0 1188 $1,640 $1.38 45d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$225 · $2,700/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $205,000 Pending 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $205,000 Active Under Contract 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $205,000 Active Under Contract 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $205,000 Active Under Contract 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $205,000 Active Under Contract 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $205,000 Active Under Contract 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $205,000 Active Under Contract 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $205,000 Active Under Contract 59 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $205,000 Active Under Contract 56 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $205,000 Active Under Contract 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $205,000 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $205,000 Active Under Contract 53 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $205,000 Active Under Contract 52 DOM
  14. 2026-04-22
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (540 chars)

    Nestled in Walden Lake, 4831 Walden Lake Pointe blends timeless elegance. The sunlit open floor plan features a chef's kitchen with high-end appliances, granite countertops, and ample storage, while the living room boasts soaring ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and stunning views. Upstairs, the primary suite offers a spa-like en-suite bath and walk-in closet, with additional spacious bedrooms perfect for family, guests, or a home office. Outside, the landscaped yard and expansive patio are ideal for morning coffee or weekend barbecues.

  15. 2026-04-22
    status Under Contract 540-char remark
    Show marketing remark (540 chars)

    Nestled in Walden Lake, 4831 Walden Lake Pointe blends timeless elegance. The sunlit open floor plan features a chef's kitchen with high-end appliances, granite countertops, and ample storage, while the living room boasts soaring ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and stunning views. Upstairs, the primary suite offers a spa-like en-suite bath and walk-in closet, with additional spacious bedrooms perfect for family, guests, or a home office. Outside, the landscaped yard and expansive patio are ideal for morning coffee or weekend barbecues.

  16. 2026-04-09
    listed $205,000 Active
  17. 2026-04-09
    historical $205,000
  18. 2026-04-02
    listed $205,000 New 540-char remark
    Show marketing remark (540 chars)

    Nestled in Walden Lake, 4831 Walden Lake Pointe blends timeless elegance. The sunlit open floor plan features a chef's kitchen with high-end appliances, granite countertops, and ample storage, while the living room boasts soaring ceilings, a cozy fireplace, and stunning views. Upstairs, the primary suite offers a spa-like en-suite bath and walk-in closet, with additional spacious bedrooms perfect for family, guests, or a home office. Outside, the landscaped yard and expansive patio are ideal for morning coffee or weekend barbecues.

  19. 2019-08-21
    soldstatus $93,000
  20. 2019-08-13
    soldstatus $93,000 Sold 338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Seller is renovating. 3 bedrooms 2 1/2 bath Townhome located near the Stonecrest mall, and conveniently close to I-20. The Townhome has a large open floor plan with Kitchen and breakfast bar within reach of the dining room and family room. This townhome is in a gated community. Unlimited possibilities to craft this into your dream home.

  21. 2019-07-15
    status Under Contract 338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Seller is renovating. 3 bedrooms 2 1/2 bath Townhome located near the Stonecrest mall, and conveniently close to I-20. The Townhome has a large open floor plan with Kitchen and breakfast bar within reach of the dining room and family room. This townhome is in a gated community. Unlimited possibilities to craft this into your dream home.

  22. 2019-07-12
    listed $121,000 New 338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Seller is renovating. 3 bedrooms 2 1/2 bath Townhome located near the Stonecrest mall, and conveniently close to I-20. The Townhome has a large open floor plan with Kitchen and breakfast bar within reach of the dining room and family room. This townhome is in a gated community. Unlimited possibilities to craft this into your dream home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,212 · $184/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,212 · $184/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,976
− Mortgage interest
−$11,483
− Property taxes
−$2,212
− Insurance
−$1,025
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,998
− Management
−$1,998
− HOA
−$2,700
− Depreciation
−$5,964
Taxable loss
−$2,403
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$577
After-tax cash flow
$1,471/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dekalb County
NCES district ID
1301740
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$51,448
Composite
20.92/100
National rank
#8482
State rank
#125 of 174 in GA

Livability — Stonecrest

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Dekalb County · 782,738 people
City population
106,165
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
21,569
Household income
$66,799
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
1304.0

Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
839,977 people
By 2030
891,768 · +6.2%
By 2040
988,894 · +17.7%
By 2050
1,074,583 · +27.9%
By 2075
1,245,026 · +48.2%
By 2100
1,303,135 · +55.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Swiss 0%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 81.9% · R 17.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+6.1pp toward D · 2008: 58.6pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+67.4 2016: D+64.8 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+58.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.60%
Current HPI
218.8323
Rent YoY
▲ 0.87%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+69.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Contingent FMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $205,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Coming Soon $205,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $205,000 GAMLS
  • 2019-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
  • 2019-08-13 Sold (MLS) $93,000 GAMLS
  • 2019-07-15 Pending GAMLS
  • 2019-07-12 Listed $121,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,212 · -5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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