306 Kenilworth St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Rent growth +1.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in a rapidly developing area on Detroit north end, this property has just been from downtown Detroit inconveniently close to shopping, grocery stores, major freeways, and public transportation. This could be an excellent opportunity for investors, builders, contractors, or those exploring housing-related ventures, including those interested in creating a home that may be suitable for adult foster care or similar residential use, subject to all licensing requirements and local zoning regulations. Bring your ideas and make this property your next successful project!
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Built 1905
- Listed 8 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; no garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 41.5 x 137 (0.13 acre)
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Steam heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Two total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.1%/yr); 257 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,698/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 1258% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.60%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $374,274
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 581 Kenilworth St | 0.14mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 2,088 (-3%) | 18mo | $125,000 | $60 | 64 |
| 312 Alger St | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,865 (-13%) | 18mo | $325,000 | $174 | 39 |
| 48 Mount Vernon Street St | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,918 (-11%) | 8mo | $370,000 | $193 | 35 |
| 110 Burlingame St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,295 (+7%) | 21mo | $300,000 | $131 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,184
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $19,089
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48202
- Rents YoY
- -5.1%
- Active inventory
- 257
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,698 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,950/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $443
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $533 | -5% $488 | +0% $443 | +5% $398 | +10% $353 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $309 | -5% $376 | +0% $443 | +5% $510 | +10% $577 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $508 | -0.5pp $476 | base $443 | +0.5pp $409 | +1.0pp $375 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9429 Brush St Unit 1B Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,523 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 330 Westminster St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1995 | $1,900 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 330 Westminster St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1995 | $1,900 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 505 Westminster St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $1,400 | $0.82 | 18d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 419 King St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1668 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 10d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 634 Atkinson St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3000 | $6,500 | $2.17 | 10d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 528 E Philadelphia St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1625 | $2,400 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 7645 Woodward Ave #70 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1547 | $2,600 | $1.68 | 5d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2297 Florian St Unit 2297 Hamtramck, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1418 W Euclid St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2264 | $1,200 | $0.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1441 W Euclid St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2380 | $2,600 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1360 Seward Ave Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $865 | $0.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 11705 # 1 ST Unit Mackay St unit Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $1,050 | $0.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1929 Calvert Ave Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1414 | $1,199 | $0.85 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2045 Calvert St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 578-char remark
-
2026-06-13$130,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,372
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,950
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,630
- − Management
- −$1,630
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $3,449
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$828
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,485/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,780
- Household income
- $43,627
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1258.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 26% Asian 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -239.24%
- Current HPI
- 145.5509
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.13%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $130,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-08 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+31.3%/yrLatest (2025): $14,648 · +1151.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…