44 NW Thomas Blvd NW · Canal Fulton, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful, well cared for home with 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, Screened in porch and a driveway/carport actually able to take more than 3 cars easily. Beautiful brick gas fireplace in the living room. Kitchen has a new Dishwasher and leaving all appliances and washer and dryer. Good size shed. Flowers are perennnials that the owner planted herself. Call me to see this great home.
Key facts
- Laundry room
- Gas fireplace
- Skylight
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $886 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#350 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Tuslaw Local (rural): math 78% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #88 of 656 in OH (top 13%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $70k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.29%
- DSCR
- 3.42
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $45,099
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 57.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.72×
- Total profit
- $112,003
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44647
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,733 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $550/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $886
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4544 Erie Ave NW Unit 1496113P Canal Fulton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $5,018 | $5.36 | 13d | 1 | 0.94mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-15$69,900 Active
-
2015-08-20soldstatus $40,000 Sold 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Beautiful, well cared for home with 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, Screened in porch and a driveway/carport actually able to take more than 3 cars easily. Beautiful brick gas fireplace in the living room. Kitchen has a new Dishwasher and leaving all appliances and washer and dryer. Good size shed. Flowers are perennnials that the owner planted herself. Call me to see this great home.
-
2015-08-15status Pending 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Beautiful, well cared for home with 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, Screened in porch and a driveway/carport actually able to take more than 3 cars easily. Beautiful brick gas fireplace in the living room. Kitchen has a new Dishwasher and leaving all appliances and washer and dryer. Good size shed. Flowers are perennnials that the owner planted herself. Call me to see this great home.
-
2015-08-02$49,900 Active 381-char remark
Show marketing remark (381 chars)
Beautiful, well cared for home with 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, Screened in porch and a driveway/carport actually able to take more than 3 cars easily. Beautiful brick gas fireplace in the living room. Kitchen has a new Dishwasher and leaving all appliances and washer and dryer. Good size shed. Flowers are perennnials that the owner planted herself. Call me to see this great home.
-
2009-04-16historical
-
2008-09-16$54,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $550 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $820 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$270/yr (+$23/mo · 49.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,795
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$550
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,664
- − Management
- −$1,664
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $10,116
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,428
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,199/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tuslaw Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904995
- Math proficiency
- 78% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,863
- Composite
- 64.61/100
- National rank
- #529
- State rank
- #88 of 656 in OH
Livability — Canal Fulton
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #350
- US rank
- #5666
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Stark County · 272,865 people
- City population
- 13,088
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,117
- Household income
- $67,140
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 231.0
Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 373,708 people
- By 2030
- 371,245 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 361,331 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 345,290 · -7.6%
- By 2075
- 302,669 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 238,870 · -36.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stark
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -163.61%
- Current HPI
- 207.6115
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Canton-Massillon, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+29.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $69,900 MLSNOW
- 2015-08-20 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MLSNOW
- 2015-08-15 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2015-08-02 Listed $49,900 MLSNOW
- 2009-04-16 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2008-09-16 Listed $54,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+16.8%/yrLatest (2017): $550 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…