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44 NW Thomas Blvd NW
B Composite 72.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

44 NW Thomas Blvd NW · Canal Fulton, OH 44647
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,301 sqft · Manufactured · 8 Days on market
Built 1991 2,265 sqft lot $42/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful, well cared for home with 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, Screened in porch and a driveway/carport actually able to take more than 3 cars easily. Beautiful brick gas fireplace in the living room. Kitchen has a new Dishwasher and leaving all appliances and washer and dryer. Good size shed. Flowers are perennnials that the owner planted herself. Call me to see this great home.

Key facts

  • Laundry room
  • Gas fireplace
  • Skylight

Tags

WOODED VIEWLARGE SCREEN IN PORCHGAS FIREPLACESKYLIGHTLAUNDRY ROOMLARGE SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $886 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#350 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Tuslaw Local (rural): math 78% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #88 of 656 in OH (top 13%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $70k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $69,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.48%
Cap rate
21.50%
Cash-on-cash
54.29%
DSCR
3.42
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
52.5%
Equity multiple
3.30×
Total profit
$45,099
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
57.7%
Equity multiple
6.72×
Total profit
$112,003
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44647

Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,733 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $550/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$42
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$364
Net cashflow
$886

Break-even live

Break-even rent $612
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4544 Erie Ave NW Unit 1496113P Canal Fulton, OH 3.0 1.0 936 $5,018 $5.36 13d 1 0.94mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$42 · $504/yr
Likely covers
gas

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    listed $69,900 Active
  2. 2015-08-20
    soldstatus $40,000 Sold 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Beautiful, well cared for home with 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, Screened in porch and a driveway/carport actually able to take more than 3 cars easily. Beautiful brick gas fireplace in the living room. Kitchen has a new Dishwasher and leaving all appliances and washer and dryer. Good size shed. Flowers are perennnials that the owner planted herself. Call me to see this great home.

  3. 2015-08-15
    status Pending 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Beautiful, well cared for home with 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, Screened in porch and a driveway/carport actually able to take more than 3 cars easily. Beautiful brick gas fireplace in the living room. Kitchen has a new Dishwasher and leaving all appliances and washer and dryer. Good size shed. Flowers are perennnials that the owner planted herself. Call me to see this great home.

  4. 2015-08-02
    listed $49,900 Active 381-char remark
    Show marketing remark (381 chars)

    Beautiful, well cared for home with 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, Screened in porch and a driveway/carport actually able to take more than 3 cars easily. Beautiful brick gas fireplace in the living room. Kitchen has a new Dishwasher and leaving all appliances and washer and dryer. Good size shed. Flowers are perennnials that the owner planted herself. Call me to see this great home.

  5. 2009-04-16
    historical
  6. 2008-09-16
    listed $54,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$550 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$820 · $68/mo
Expected delta
+$270/yr (+$23/mo · 49.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,795
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$550
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,664
− Management
−$1,664
− HOA
−$504
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$10,116
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,428
After-tax cash flow
$8,199/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tuslaw Local
NCES district ID
3904995
Math proficiency
78% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$56,863
Composite
64.61/100
National rank
#529
State rank
#88 of 656 in OH

Livability — Canal Fulton

Score
73/100
State rank
#350
US rank
#5666

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Stark County · 272,865 people
City population
13,088
Metro
Canton-Massillon, OH
Population (ZIP)
18,117
Household income
$67,140
Rent vs Own
19.4% rent · 80.6% own
Severe rent burden
231.0

Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
373,708 people
By 2030
371,245 · -0.7%
By 2040
361,331 · -3.3%
By 2050
345,290 · -7.6%
By 2075
302,669 · -19.0%
By 2100
238,870 · -36.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stark

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -163.61%
Current HPI
207.6115
Rent YoY
Metro
Canton-Massillon, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+29.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $69,900 MLSNOW
  • 2015-08-20 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MLSNOW
  • 2015-08-15 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2015-08-02 Listed $49,900 MLSNOW
  • 2009-04-16 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2008-09-16 Listed $54,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+16.8%/yr

Latest (2017): $550 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…