1831 Orange Ave NW · Roanoke, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent investment opportunity in Roanoke! This 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home is currently rented and producing steady income. The thoughtfully designed layout features two bedrooms and a half bath on the main level, along with laundry in the kitchen area. Upstairs, you'll find two additional bedrooms and a full bathroom -- offering great flexibility. Outside, there is off street parking and a fully fenced in yard. Conveniently located with easy access to local transportation, shopping, dining, and major roadways.
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Fully fenced yard
- 6,534 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.2% in Roanoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
- Roanoke City Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #102 of 131 in VA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 113 units permitted in Roanoke city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roanoke County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask is 9% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.44%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $142,507
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -12.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1801 Franwill Ave NW | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,663 (+0%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $168 | 74 |
| 1230 Orange Ave NW | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,736 (+5%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $63 | 57 |
| 1632 Carroll Ave NW | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,812 (+10%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $119 | 57 |
| 1625 Moorman Ave NW | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,422 (-14%) | 7mo | $90,000 | $63 | 54 |
| 821 12th St NW | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,508 (-9%) | 9mo | $85,500 | $57 | 50 |
| 2331 Orange Ave NW | 0.43mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,860 (+12%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $46 | 49 |
| 1229 Loudon Ave NW | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,790 (+8%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $101 | 48 |
| 1115 Orange Ave NW | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,487 (-10%) | 6mo | $100,835 | $68 | 47 |
| 1522 Andrews Rd NW | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,510 (-9%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $106 | 46 |
| 2407 Maryland Ave NW | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,464 (-12%) | 6mo | $170,100 | $116 | 46 |
| 1211 Hanover Ave NW | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,461 (-12%) | 8mo | $67,000 | $46 | 44 |
| 1006 Crescent St NW | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,456 (-12%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $79 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $10,942
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 19.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.80×
- Total profit
- $63,048
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24017
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 152
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,564 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,287/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$329
- Net cashflow
- $421
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $492 | -5% $457 | +0% $421 | +5% $386 | +10% $350 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $298 | -5% $359 | +0% $421 | +5% $483 | +10% $545 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $484 | -0.5pp $453 | base $421 | +0.5pp $389 | +1.0pp $356 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1533 Rugby Blvd NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,475 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1531 Syracuse Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $1,675 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 821 12th St NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,625 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1115 Grayson Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1094 | $2,300 | $2.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2608 Florida Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1394 | $1,600 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1007 Gilmer Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1187 | $1,175 | $0.99 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2744 Melrose Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 936 | $1,045 | $1.12 | 14d | 7 | 0.82mi |
| 733 29th St NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,625 | $1.59 | 14d | 4 | 0.87mi |
| 1630 Patterson Ave SW Unit B Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 813 Gilmer Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,322 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1609 Chapman Ave SW Unit B Roanoke, VA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,545 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2731 Cove Rd NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1427 | $1,523 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 701 Salem Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,950 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1017 Ferdinand Ave SW Roanoke, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2248 | $1,795 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 401 Rutherford Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,450 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 333 Harrison Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $1,123 | $0.95 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 216 Patton Ave NW Unit 2 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,025 | $0.83 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-14price $125,000 516-char remark
Show marketing remark (516 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity in Roanoke! This 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home is currently rented and producing steady income. The thoughtfully designed layout features two bedrooms and a half bath on the main level, along with laundry in the kitchen area. Upstairs, you'll find two additional bedrooms and a full bathroom -- offering great flexibility. Outside, there is off street parking and a fully fenced in yard. Conveniently located with easy access to local transportation, shopping, dining, and major roadways.
-
2026-04-14$115,000 Active 516-char remark
Show marketing remark (516 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity in Roanoke! This 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home is currently rented and producing steady income. The thoughtfully designed layout features two bedrooms and a half bath on the main level, along with laundry in the kitchen area. Upstairs, you'll find two additional bedrooms and a full bathroom -- offering great flexibility. Outside, there is off street parking and a fully fenced in yard. Conveniently located with easy access to local transportation, shopping, dining, and major roadways.
-
2022-09-20soldstatus $750,000
-
2013-05-29soldstatus $37,000 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
Sq. Ft of living space estimated by agent. Nice home for first time buyers or as an investment! Features include a main floor bedroom, full bath, den, eat-in-kitchen, living room and laundry area plus two additional bedrooms in the upper level. Detached garage and fenced yard too. Being sold ''AS IS''.
-
2013-04-17$53,000 303-char remark
Show marketing remark (303 chars)
Sq. Ft of living space estimated by agent. Nice home for first time buyers or as an investment! Features include a main floor bedroom, full bath, den, eat-in-kitchen, living room and laundry area plus two additional bedrooms in the upper level. Detached garage and fenced yard too. Being sold ''AS IS''.
-
2013-04-16historical
-
2012-10-21$53,000
-
2008-07-07historical
-
2008-01-07$67,950
-
2008-01-02historical
-
2007-07-02$69,950
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,287 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,287 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,774
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,287
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,502
- − Management
- −$1,502
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $3,220
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$773
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,281/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roanoke City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103300
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,592
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #3639
- State rank
- #102 of 131 in VA
Livability — Roanoke
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #5055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roanoke, VA
- County
- Roanoke City · 101,625 people
- City population
- 168,930
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,678
- Household income
- $47,360
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 913.0
Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,094 people
- By 2030
- 108,927 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 114,104 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 118,032 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 123,363 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 116,827 · +10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.6) · D 61.1% · R 37.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 23.4pp · 2024: 23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.6 2020: D+25.8 2016: D+17.6 2012: D+21.5 2008: D+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.29%
- Current HPI
- 198.5991
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.71%
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+78.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $125,000 MLSRV
- 2026-04-14 Listed $115,000 MLSRV
- 2022-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $750,000 Public Records
- 2013-05-29 Sold (MLS) $37,000 MLSRV
- 2013-04-17 Listed $53,000 MLSRV
- 2013-04-16 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2012-10-21 Listed $53,000 MLSRV
- 2008-07-07 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2008-01-07 Listed $67,950 MLSRV
- 2008-01-02 Listing Removed — MLSRV
- 2007-07-02 Listed $69,950 MLSRV
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,287 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…