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102 Bramlette Ln
C- Composite 50.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

102 Bramlette Ln · Longview, TX 75601
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,996 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1956 0.39 ac lot $88/sqft · 25% below area Est $279k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Prime Location! This 3 bedroom 2.5 bath with 2 car garage home on a nicely sized, shaded lot perfect for pets or children to play, is just waiting for some loving care and a family to call it home. Conveniently located in central Longview also makes this a great investor opportunity. Don't miss out on this one!

Key facts

  • Shaded lot
  • 0.39 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

SHADED LOTGREAT INVESTOR OPPORTUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($148/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (4.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (4.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.0% in Longview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#213 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, schools D.
  • Longview ISD (urban): math 49% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #244 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 193 units permitted in Gregg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $167,409 (4.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
6.38%
Cash-on-cash
0.30%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$279,303
List price
$175,000
Delta
-37.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-26,997
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-20,124
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75601

Home prices YoY
-29.9%
Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,674 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$320 /mo · $3,835/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$352
Net cashflow
$12

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,659
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
336 Eden Dr Unit 350 Eden Longview, TX 2.0 2.0 1261 $1,200 $0.95 21d 1 0.55mi
1608 McCann Rd Longview, TX 3.0 2.0 1409 $1,600 $1.14 21d 1 0.63mi
311 Maplewood Cir Longview, TX 3.0 2.0 1509 $2,300 $1.52 21d 1 0.74mi
1912 Sunshine Sq Longview, TX 3.0 2.0 1927 $1,750 $0.91 13d 1 1.04mi
2820 4th St Longview, TX 3.0 3.0 2121 $1,700 $0.80 43d 1 1.05mi
2820 4th St Longview, TX 3.0 3.0 2000 $1,695 $0.85 21d 1 1.05mi
616 Oak St Longview, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,150 $1.65 43d 1 1.15mi
1002 Glencrest Ln Longview, TX 3.0 2.0 1546 $2,000 $1.29 21d 1 1.33mi
2501 N Eastman Rd Longview, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1028 $1,528 $1.49 13d 19 1.36mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-03-24
    listed $175,000 Active 312-char remark
    Show marketing remark (312 chars)

    Prime Location! This 3 bedroom 2.5 bath with 2 car garage home on a nicely sized, shaded lot perfect for pets or children to play, is just waiting for some loving care and a family to call it home. Conveniently located in central Longview also makes this a great investor opportunity. Don't miss out on this one!

  2. 2010-06-24
    soldstatus
  3. 2010-06-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,835 · $320/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,835 · $320/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,089
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$3,835
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,607
− Management
−$1,607
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$2,729
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$655
After-tax cash flow
$803/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Longview ISD
NCES district ID
4828110
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$39,837
Composite
39.76/100
National rank
#3889
State rank
#244 of 826 in TX

Livability — Longview

Score
73/100
State rank
#213
US rank
#5287

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Longview, TX
County
Gregg County · 128,826 people
City population
103,792
Metro
Longview, TX
Population (ZIP)
15,780
Household income
$65,700
Rent vs Own
39.1% rent · 60.9% own
Severe rent burden
761.0

Population outlook (Gregg County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
125,947 people
By 2030
126,542 · +0.5%
By 2040
127,311 · +1.1%
By 2050
127,289 · +1.1%
By 2075
124,954 · -0.8%
By 2100
113,737 · -9.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gregg

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.5% · R 70.7%
2008→2024 swing
-4.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.6pp · 2024: -42.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.2 2020: R+36.9 2016: R+41.3 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+37.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.73%
Current HPI
252.0752
Rent YoY
▲ 3.29%
Metro
Longview, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $175,000 LAAR
  • 2010-06-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2010-06-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,835 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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