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5088 Antioch Rd
B Composite 71.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

5088 Antioch Rd · Crestview, FL 32536
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Manufactured public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1999 1.39 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor opportunity with 1.39 mostly cleared acres located just 0.2 miles off Highway 90. Plenty of usable land with room for future improvements, storage, recreation, or expansion. The existing home needs renovation and is being sold As-Is, making this an excellent opportunity for investors, flippers, landlords, or buyers looking to build equity. Convenient access while still offering the space and privacy of country living. Rare chance to secure acreage at an affordable price point.

Key facts

  • Convenient access
  • Mostly cleared acres
  • Usable land

Tags

MOSTLY CLEARED ACRESUSABLE LANDCONVENIENT ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned for single-family residential
  • Financial info: Offers accepted with Conventional, FHA, VA, or Other financing

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electric service
  • Home design: Mobile home (residential); Construction complete; Built in 1999
  • Construction: Built in 1999; Appraiser listed building area: 1280
  • Exterior features: Approximately 1.39-acre lot; Lot dimensions about 175 x 348.5

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric stove/oven
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Single-story layout; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric stove/oven

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $535 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
  • Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 4.4% in Crestview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,858 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Antioch Elementary School (math 64% / reading 69%, grade B+, #473 of 2,144 statewide, top 23%, 1,016 students, 45% FRL); Davidson Middle School (math 59% / reading 56%, grade B, #157 of 571 statewide, top 28%, 1,149 students, 55% FRL); Crestview High School (math 49% / reading 54%, grade D+, #167 of 667 statewide, top 25%, 2,315 students, 42% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $75k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.22%
Cap rate
19.26%
Cash-on-cash
46.30%
DSCR
3.06
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$16,353
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$45,119
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32536

Home prices YoY
-16.2%
Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
349
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,976 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,151/yr
Insurance
$37
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$415
Net cashflow
$535

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,299
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
112 Golf Course Dr Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1787 $1,895 $1.06 43d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $89,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $95,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    remarks 490-char remark
  13. 2026-06-05
    listed $95,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,151 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,151 · $96/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,713
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,151
− Insurance
−$5,564
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,897
− Management
−$1,897
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$5,630
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,351
After-tax cash flow
$5,067/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Okaloosa
NCES district ID
1201380
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$55,601
Composite
51.62/100
National rank
#1705
State rank
#12 of 73 in FL

Livability — Crestview

Score
75/100
State rank
#252
US rank
#3858

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
City population
58,889
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
Population (ZIP)
25,599
Household income
$78,119
Rent vs Own
29.0% rent · 71.0% own
Severe rent burden
634.0

Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
235,133 people
By 2030
253,483 · +7.8%
By 2040
289,537 · +23.1%
By 2050
322,954 · +37.3%
By 2075
399,624 · +70.0%
By 2100
425,311 · +80.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.48%
Current HPI
265.9926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.17%
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+26.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $95,000 NAMLS
  • 2011-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,151 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…