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14 Dogwood Blvd
B+ Composite 77.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

14 Dogwood Blvd · Babbitt, MN 55706
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1956 8,712 sqft lot $76/sqft · 40% below area Est $133k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for an affordable property with potential? This is your chance to build equity and add your personal touch. This 3 bedroom home features a newer roof, vinyl siding, newer hot water heater, reinsulated attic, and main floor laundry. The unfinished basement offers an opportunity to finish to your liking and create additional living space.

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1956

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Full block basement
  • Exterior features: No fencing; Asphalt shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil heating
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; Electric range; Refrigerator; Washer; Dryer
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $418 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 2.8% in Babbitt — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#156 in MN, #3,426 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, amenities F.
  • St. Louis County School District (rural): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #212 of 301 in MN (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $80k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $77,600 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.57%
Cash-on-cash
22.42%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,027
List price
$80,000
Delta
-39.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
26 Cottonwood Ct 0.43mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,036 (-2%) 10mo $76,000 $73 63
39 Cherry Cir 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 960 (-9%) 2mo $75,000 $78 60
24 Astor Rd 0.58mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,017 (-4%) 11mo $85,000 $84 53
16 Fir Cir 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 912 (-14%) 5mo $110,000 $121 52
11 Balsam Cr Cir 0.42mi 3/1.0 (-1) 964 (-9%) 12mo $166,000 $172 51
49 Birch Blvd 0.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 925 (-12%) 22mo $130,000 $141 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$13,682
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
23.9%
Equity multiple
3.06×
Total profit
$46,210
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55706

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,183 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$63 /mo · $756/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$418

Break-even live

Break-even rent $653
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $464 -5% $441 +0% $418 +5% $396 +10% $373
Rent -10% $325 -5% $372 +0% $418 +5% $465 +10% $512
Rate -1.0pp $459 -0.5pp $439 base $418 +0.5pp $398 +1.0pp $377

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $80,000 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $80,000 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $80,000 Active 48 DOM
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Looking for an affordable property with potential? This is your chance to build equity and add your personal touch. This 3 bedroom home features a newer roof, vinyl siding, newer hot water heater, reinsulated attic, and main floor laundry. The unfinished basement offers an opportunity to finish to your liking and create additional living space.

  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 48 DOM
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Looking for an affordable property with potential? This is your chance to build equity and add your personal touch. This 3 bedroom home features a newer roof, vinyl siding, newer hot water heater, reinsulated attic, and main floor laundry. The unfinished basement offers an opportunity to finish to your liking and create additional living space.

  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,900 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    remarks 354-char remark
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 31 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,900 Active 30 DOM
  18. 2026-04-30
    listed $95,000 Active 267-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Looking for an affordable property with potential? This is your chance to build equity and add your personal touch. This 3 bedroom home features a newer roof, vinyl siding, newer hot water heater, reinsulated attic, and main floor laundry. The unfinished basement offers an opportunity to finish to your liking and create additional living space.

  19. 2026-04-30
    listed $95,000 Active 267-char remark
    Show marketing remark (346 chars)

    Looking for an affordable property with potential? This is your chance to build equity and add your personal touch. This 3 bedroom home features a newer roof, vinyl siding, newer hot water heater, reinsulated attic, and main floor laundry. The unfinished basement offers an opportunity to finish to your liking and create additional living space.

  20. 2012-03-27
    soldstatus $45,000
  21. 2009-09-22
    listed $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$756 · $63/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$826 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$70/yr (+$6/mo · 9.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,192
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$756
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,135
− Management
−$1,135
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$3,957
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$950
After-tax cash flow
$4,072/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis County School District
NCES district ID
2700008
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$49,389
Composite
35.63/100
National rank
#4886
State rank
#212 of 301 in MN

Livability — Babbitt

Score
76/100
State rank
#156
US rank
#3426

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Babbitt, MN
City population
1,827
Population (ZIP)
1,827

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 9% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.97%
Current HPI
204.0097
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+60.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $80,000 RAOR
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $80,000 LSAR
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $89,900 RAOR
  • 2026-05-25 Price Changed $89,900 LSAR
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $95,000 LSAR
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $95,000 RAOR
  • 2012-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2009-09-22 Listed $50,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $756 · +32.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…