8441 SW 40th Ct · Davie, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
COZY & SPACIOUS 3BR 2.5 BATH, 2 STORY HOME ON A HUGE LOT W/BEAUTIFUL MATURE TREES & FOLIAGE! LOFT (3rd BR) NEEDS TO BE DRYWALLED. OVER 1900 SQ FT LIVING AREA, WELL MAINTAINED WITH SOME UPGRADES, A/C, WATER HEATER, DISHWASHER, REFRIGERATOR, DISPOSAL ALL REPLACED WITHIN THE LAST 4-7 YRS. ROOF WAS REPLACED 14 YRS AGO. FRESHLY PAINTED IN A COUPLE OF ROOMS IN THE HOUSE. THIS IS A GREAT STARTER HOME IN VERY GOOD CONDITION AND PRICED VERY REASONABLY FOR THE EXCELLENT LOT AND AREA LOCATION!
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1981
- Listed 7 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Home design: Residential property; 1 story
- Exterior features: Located in a cul-de-sac; Zoned residential
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Interior features: Single-story layout
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($34k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $5k).
- Cap rate 684.9% vs local median 3.4% in Davie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#68 in FL, #1,159 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities D-.
- Broward (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #46 of 73 in FL (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Silver Ridge Elementary School (math 49% / reading 65%, grade C+, #781 of 2,144 statewide, top 38%, 961 students, 43% FRL); Indian Ridge Middle School (math 55% / reading 60%, grade B, #157 of 571 statewide, top 28%, 2,020 students, 46% FRL); Western High School (math 43% / reading 60%, grade D+, #167 of 667 statewide, top 25%, 3,566 students, 43% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,111 units permitted in Broward County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($126k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broward County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 72.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 684.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2423.43%
- DSCR
- 108.83
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 128.36×
- Total profit
- $178,301
- Equity at exit
- $746
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 274.72×
- Total profit
- $383,205
- Equity at exit
- $432
Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33328
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,623 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$26
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$6 /mo · $75/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$761
- Net cashflow
- $2,827
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,831 | -5% $2,829 | +0% $2,827 | +5% $2,826 | +10% $2,824 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,541 | -5% $2,684 | +0% $2,827 | +5% $2,970 | +10% $3,114 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,830 | -0.5pp $2,829 | base $2,827 | +0.5pp $2,826 | +1.0pp $2,825 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,250
- Closing costs
- $150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8351 SW 39th Ct Davie, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2022 | $4,500 | $2.23 | 26d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 8320 SW 39th Ct Davie, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2140 | $4,375 | $2.04 | 26d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 8321 SW 39th Ct Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1958 | $3,900 | $1.99 | 26d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 8321 SW 39th Ct Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1958 | $3,850 | $1.97 | 4d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3747 E Valley Green Dr #76 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $3,200 | $2.43 | 26d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3673 W Valley Green Dr #42 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $3,095 | $2.35 | 7d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3673 W Valley Green Dr #42 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $3,095 | $2.35 | 20d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3632 E Forge Rd #13 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1479 | $2,900 | $1.96 | 26d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3630 Citrus Trce #4 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1358 | $2,800 | $2.06 | 9d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 4960 SW 89th Ave Cooper City, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2282 | $5,500 | $2.41 | 26d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 8907 SW 49th Ct Cooper City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1732 | $4,800 | $2.77 | 12d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2931 SW 87th Ter #1921 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1230 | $2,650 | $2.15 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2931 SW 87th Ter #1921 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1230 | $2,650 | $2.15 | 5d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 7644 Foxcroft Ln #7644 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1704 | $3,600 | $2.11 | 26d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4652 Horseshoe Cir Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1724 | $3,300 | $1.91 | 26d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4901 Shalimar Ln Davie, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1052 | $3,478 | $3.30 | 0d | 14 | 0.91mi |
| 2921 SW 87th Ave #511 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,350 | $1.38 | 26d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2957 Quail Run Ln Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $3,600 | $2.64 | 26d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2800 SW 87th Ave #1111 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1230 | $2,700 | $2.20 | 7d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 7980 S Southwood Cir Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1602 | $3,250 | $2.03 | 18d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 7980 S Southwood Cir Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1602 | $3,250 | $2.03 | 9d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4930 S University Dr Unit 4930 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1425 | $2,650 | $1.86 | 19d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7690 S Southwood Cir Davie, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1724 | $3,775 | $2.19 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5167 Madison Lakes Cir E Davie, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2452 | $3,750 | $1.53 | 26d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2800 S University Dr Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1750 | $1,800 | $1.03 | 0d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4221 SW 71st Ter #4221 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1344 | $2,800 | $2.08 | 0d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4241 SW 71st Ter Unit 4241 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1328 | $2,600 | $1.96 | 26d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2700 S University Dr Unit 4C Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1750 | $1,915 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 7236 SW 46th St Davie, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1908 | $4,050 | $2.12 | 26d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4401 SW 70th Ter Unit 4401 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1328 | $2,650 | $2.00 | 16d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4403 SW 70th Ter Unit 4403 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1328 | $2,600 | $1.96 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4403 SW 70th Ter Unit 4403 Davie, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1328 | $2,600 | $1.96 | 26d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 5236 SW 77th Way #5236 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1786 | $3,100 | $1.74 | 16d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2620 S University Dr #209 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $2,700 | $2.05 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2620 S University Dr #309 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $2,800 | $2.13 | 18d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5095 SW 73rd Ave Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2212 | $7,950 | $3.59 | 26d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6984 SW 39th St Apt H206 Davie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $2,675 | $1.96 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6992 SW 39th St Davie, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1259 | $2,695 | $2.14 | 4d | 3 | 1.35mi |
| 2600 S University Dr Davie, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1068 | $3,195 | $2.99 | 0d | 5 | 1.36mi |
| 2600 S University Dr Davie, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1068 | $3,195 | $2.99 | 12d | 3 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $5,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $5,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $5,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $5,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $5,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 307-char remark
-
2026-06-01$5,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,472
- − Mortgage interest
- −$280
- − Property taxes
- −$75
- − Insurance
- −$25
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,478
- − Management
- −$3,478
- − Depreciation
- −$145
- Taxable income
- $35,991
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,638
- After-tax cash flow
- $25,290/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Broward
- NCES district ID
- 1200180
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,139
- Composite
- 40.88/100
- National rank
- #3621
- State rank
- #46 of 73 in FL
Livability — Davie
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #68
- US rank
- #1159
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Davie, FL
- County
- Broward County · 1,963,430 people
- City population
- 92,317
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,851
- Household income
- $126,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 596.0
Population outlook (Broward County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,207,033 people
- By 2030
- 2,360,704 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 2,661,208 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 2,946,698 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 3,602,273 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 3,970,984 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Asian 6% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 7% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 24% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Broward
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.0) · D 58.0% · R 41.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.8pp toward R · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 17.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.0 2020: D+29.8 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -379.96%
- Current HPI
- 385.7541
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.72%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-94.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $5,000 NFMLS
- 2015-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $266,500 Public Records
- 2015-05-13 Sold (MLS) $266,500 Beaches MLS
- 2015-03-18 Listed $269,900 Beaches MLS
- 1984-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $91,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $5,358 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…