124 Cable St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- Appreciation +9.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to a real Kaisertown cutie—where charm, updates, and an unbeatable location all come together! Tucked back from the road on a quiet dead-end street, this 4-bedroom, 2 full bath home gives you the best of both worlds: peaceful living with everything right at your fingertips. Step inside and you’ll instantly feel the warm, fresh vibe with newly painted interiors and thoughtful updates throughout. The kitchen is a total standout, featuring granite countertops, soft-close cabinets and drawers, and appliances just 2 years young. Whether you’re cooking, hosting, or just hanging out, this space delivers. The first-floor bathroom adds a touch of luxury with marble tile, and second-floor laundry makes everyday life that much easier (because who wants to carry baskets up and down stairs?). Big-ticket updates? Already done! New PEX plumbing (Aug 2024) and hot water tank (Sept 2024) mean peace of mind for years to come. Outside, the yard is ready for summer fun, pets, or entertaining—with plenty of space, a newly built shed (June 2025), and a gate for added privacy. The font yard blooms beautiful hydrangeas, perfect for a morning or evening view on the front porch. Peony bushes are well underway and will have the entire neighborhood stopping with envy. Can't forget to mention the off street parking! A true gem of a find in the city. And let’s talk location—because this one is GOOD. Grab an ice cream from The Yard just a 5-minute walk away, spend afternoons at the playground, splash pad, or community pool, and enjoy neighborhood favorites like Wiechek’s and Hoagie Stop just blocks from your door. Plus, quick thruway access makes getting to where you need to go a breeze. Fun, functional, and full of good energy—this home is ready for its next chapter. Come fall in love and move right in!
Key facts
- Soft-close cabinets
- New pex plumbing
- Second-floor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $110 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (4.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $163k (4.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.78%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $183,465
- List price
- $170,000
- Delta
- -7.34%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 226 Barnard St | 0.21mi | 5/1.0 | 1,452 (+2%) | 23mo | $203,940 | $140 | 68 |
| 290 Cable St | 0.31mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,358 (-4%) | 14mo | $75,000 | $55 | 62 |
| 258 Holly St | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,594 (+12%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $154 | 59 |
| 238 S Ogden St | 0.25mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,565 (+10%) | 8mo | $228,000 | $146 | 58 |
| 580 S Ogden St Unit W | 0.65mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,362 (-4%) | 3mo | $145,800 | $107 | 56 |
| 141 Gorski St | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,350 (-5%) | 21mo | $170,000 | $126 | 55 |
| 73 Sage Ave | 0.57mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,468 (+3%) | 13mo | $230,000 | $157 | 50 |
| 102 Pomona Pl | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,232 (-13%) | 2mo | $81,000 | $66 | 47 |
| 105 Sage Ave | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,488 (+5%) | 18mo | $132,700 | $89 | 44 |
| 448 Weimar St | 0.51mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,323 (-7%) | 18mo | $225,000 | $170 | 44 |
| 55 Boynton St | 0.54mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,500 (+6%) | 20mo | $228,000 | $152 | 42 |
| 299 Casimer St | 0.47mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,225 (-14%) | 14mo | $200,000 | $163 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $77,706
- Equity at exit
- $129,829
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.63×
- Total profit
- $220,315
- Equity at exit
- $258,357
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14206
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,627 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$212 /mo · $2,550/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$342
- Net cashflow
- $110
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1150 Bailey Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-05-09price $170,000 1861-char remark
Show marketing remark (1861 chars)
Welcome to a real Kaisertown cutie—where charm, updates, and an unbeatable location all come together! Tucked back from the road on a quiet dead-end street, this 4-bedroom, 2 full bath home gives you the best of both worlds: peaceful living with everything right at your fingertips. Step inside and you’ll instantly feel the warm, fresh vibe with newly painted interiors and thoughtful updates throughout. The kitchen is a total standout, featuring granite countertops, soft-close cabinets and drawers, and appliances just 2 years young. Whether you’re cooking, hosting, or just hanging out, this space delivers. The first-floor bathroom adds a touch of luxury with marble tile, and second-floor laundry makes everyday life that much easier (because who wants to carry baskets up and down stairs?). Big-ticket updates? Already done! New PEX plumbing (Aug 2024) and hot water tank (Sept 2024) mean peace of mind for years to come. Outside, the yard is ready for summer fun, pets, or entertaining—with plenty of space, a newly built shed (June 2025), and a gate for added privacy. The font yard blooms beautiful hydrangeas, perfect for a morning or evening view on the front porch. Peony bushes are well underway and will have the entire neighborhood stopping with envy. Can't forget to mention the off street parking! A true gem of a find in the city. And let’s talk location—because this one is GOOD. Grab an ice cream from The Yard just a 5-minute walk away, spend afternoons at the playground, splash pad, or community pool, and enjoy neighborhood favorites like Wiechek’s and Hoagie Stop just blocks from your door. Plus, quick thruway access makes getting to where you need to go a breeze. Fun, functional, and full of good energy—this home is ready for its next chapter. Come fall in love and move right in!
-
2026-04-10$179,900 Active 1861-char remark
Show marketing remark (1861 chars)
Welcome to a real Kaisertown cutie—where charm, updates, and an unbeatable location all come together! Tucked back from the road on a quiet dead-end street, this 4-bedroom, 2 full bath home gives you the best of both worlds: peaceful living with everything right at your fingertips. Step inside and you’ll instantly feel the warm, fresh vibe with newly painted interiors and thoughtful updates throughout. The kitchen is a total standout, featuring granite countertops, soft-close cabinets and drawers, and appliances just 2 years young. Whether you’re cooking, hosting, or just hanging out, this space delivers. The first-floor bathroom adds a touch of luxury with marble tile, and second-floor laundry makes everyday life that much easier (because who wants to carry baskets up and down stairs?). Big-ticket updates? Already done! New PEX plumbing (Aug 2024) and hot water tank (Sept 2024) mean peace of mind for years to come. Outside, the yard is ready for summer fun, pets, or entertaining—with plenty of space, a newly built shed (June 2025), and a gate for added privacy. The font yard blooms beautiful hydrangeas, perfect for a morning or evening view on the front porch. Peony bushes are well underway and will have the entire neighborhood stopping with envy. Can't forget to mention the off street parking! A true gem of a find in the city. And let’s talk location—because this one is GOOD. Grab an ice cream from The Yard just a 5-minute walk away, spend afternoons at the playground, splash pad, or community pool, and enjoy neighborhood favorites like Wiechek’s and Hoagie Stop just blocks from your door. Plus, quick thruway access makes getting to where you need to go a breeze. Fun, functional, and full of good energy—this home is ready for its next chapter. Come fall in love and move right in!
-
2024-09-04soldstatus $150,000
-
2024-08-22soldstatus $150,000 Closed 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Owner will accept offers between $150,000 - $160,000. Welcome to your new Home. This two full bath four bedroom home has been completely refurbished from top to bottom. New windows, flooring, and lighting. There is a first floor ceramic bath, adjacent to a separate area for a stackable laundry. The Kitchen has white cabinets, and granite countertops, a center Island and new appliances. The second floor has three generous size bedrooms and a full bath with a stand-up shower. Offers will be reviewed as they come in!
-
2024-05-29status Pending 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Owner will accept offers between $150,000 - $160,000. Welcome to your new Home. This two full bath four bedroom home has been completely refurbished from top to bottom. New windows, flooring, and lighting. There is a first floor ceramic bath, adjacent to a separate area for a stackable laundry. The Kitchen has white cabinets, and granite countertops, a center Island and new appliances. The second floor has three generous size bedrooms and a full bath with a stand-up shower. Offers will be reviewed as they come in!
-
2024-05-20historical Active Under Contract 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Owner will accept offers between $150,000 - $160,000. Welcome to your new Home. This two full bath four bedroom home has been completely refurbished from top to bottom. New windows, flooring, and lighting. There is a first floor ceramic bath, adjacent to a separate area for a stackable laundry. The Kitchen has white cabinets, and granite countertops, a center Island and new appliances. The second floor has three generous size bedrooms and a full bath with a stand-up shower. Offers will be reviewed as they come in!
-
2024-05-16price $150,000 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Owner will accept offers between $150,000 - $160,000. Welcome to your new Home. This two full bath four bedroom home has been completely refurbished from top to bottom. New windows, flooring, and lighting. There is a first floor ceramic bath, adjacent to a separate area for a stackable laundry. The Kitchen has white cabinets, and granite countertops, a center Island and new appliances. The second floor has three generous size bedrooms and a full bath with a stand-up shower. Offers will be reviewed as they come in!
-
2024-03-26$189,900 Active 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Owner will accept offers between $150,000 - $160,000. Welcome to your new Home. This two full bath four bedroom home has been completely refurbished from top to bottom. New windows, flooring, and lighting. There is a first floor ceramic bath, adjacent to a separate area for a stackable laundry. The Kitchen has white cabinets, and granite countertops, a center Island and new appliances. The second floor has three generous size bedrooms and a full bath with a stand-up shower. Offers will be reviewed as they come in!
-
2024-03-26historical
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Owner will accept offers between $150,000 - $160,000. Welcome to your new Home. This two full bath four bedroom home has been completely refurbished from top to bottom. New windows, flooring, and lighting. There is a first floor ceramic bath, adjacent to a separate area for a stackable laundry. The Kitchen has white cabinets, and granite countertops, a center Island and new appliances. The second floor has three generous size bedrooms and a full bath with a stand-up shower. Offers will be reviewed as they come in!
-
2024-02-26$199,900 Active
-
2023-08-29soldstatus $53,200
-
2023-08-24soldstatus $53,200 Closed Sale or Rented
-
2023-07-04status Under Contract- Do Not Show
-
2023-06-26$44,900 Active
-
2023-06-22historical
-
2023-04-28price $54,900
-
2023-03-22$59,000 Active
-
2015-04-15soldstatus $52,500
-
2014-12-15soldstatus $22,000
-
2014-09-03$23,000
-
2006-11-16soldstatus $40,000
-
2006-11-16soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,519
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$2,550
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,561
- − Management
- −$1,561
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable loss
- −$1,472
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$353
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,675/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,631
- Household income
- $50,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 841.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 25% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.06%
- Current HPI
- 457.3935
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+325.0% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $170,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-04-10 Listed $179,900 WNYREIS
- 2024-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2024-08-22 Sold (MLS) $150,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-05-29 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2024-05-20 Contingent — WNYREIS
- 2024-05-16 Price Changed $150,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-03-26 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2024-03-26 Listed $189,900 WNYREIS
- 2024-02-26 Listed $199,900 WNYREIS
- 2023-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $53,200 Public Records
- 2023-08-24 Sold (MLS) $53,200 WNYREIS
- 2023-07-04 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2023-06-26 Listed $44,900 WNYREIS
- 2023-06-22 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2023-04-28 Price Changed $54,900 WNYREIS
- 2023-03-22 Listed $59,000 WNYREIS
- 2015-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records
- 2014-12-15 Sold (MLS) $22,000 WNYREIS
- 2014-09-03 Listed $23,000 WNYREIS
- 2006-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2006-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $325 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…