1208 Harding St · Big Spring, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity! This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is perfect for investors looking to add to their portfolio. The property offers a functional layout, covered front porch, and a spacious yard. Conveniently located close to everyday amenities including shopping, dining, and schools. With a little TLC, this property has great potential as a rental or starter home. Don't miss your chance to turn this property into a solid investment opportunity!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Spacious yard
- Conveniently located
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($914 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#948 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
- Big Spring ISD (town): math 29% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #641 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 266 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 69 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Howard County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.04%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $3,286
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $21,751
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79720
- Active inventory
- 266
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $914 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,160/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$192
- Net cashflow
- $229
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $269 | -5% $249 | +0% $229 | +5% $210 | +10% $190 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $157 | -5% $193 | +0% $229 | +5% $265 | +10% $302 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $265 | -0.5pp $247 | base $229 | +0.5pp $211 | +1.0pp $193 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3304 W Highway 80 Big Spring, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $750 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3304 W Highway 80 Big Spring, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $750 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3304 West St Big Spring, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $750 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $70,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $70,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $70,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $70,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $70,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-03-05$70,000 Active 458-char remark
Show marketing remark (458 chars)
Great investment opportunity! This 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom home is perfect for investors looking to add to their portfolio. The property offers a functional layout, covered front porch, and a spacious yard. Conveniently located close to everyday amenities including shopping, dining, and schools. With a little TLC, this property has great potential as a rental or starter home. Don't miss your chance to turn this property into a solid investment opportunity!
-
2016-05-19soldstatus
-
2007-01-26soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,160 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,281 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$121/yr (+$10/mo · 10.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,971
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,160
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$878
- − Management
- −$878
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $1,749
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$420
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,333/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Big Spring ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4810200
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,916
- Composite
- 25.11/100
- National rank
- #7529
- State rank
- #641 of 826 in TX
Livability — Big Spring
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #948
- US rank
- #16886
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Big Spring, TX
- County
- Howard County · 29,936 people
- City population
- 29,936
- Metro
- Big Spring, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,936
- Household income
- $68,785
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 638.0
Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 43,396 people
- By 2030
- 46,792 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 54,096 · +24.7%
- By 2050
- 61,707 · +42.2%
- By 2075
- 79,809 · +83.9%
- By 2100
- 87,385 · +101.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 45% White 45% Two or more races 17% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 37%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 28%
Political lean MEDSL · Howard
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.8) · D 18.2% · R 81.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.6pp toward R · 2008: -46.3pp · 2024: -62.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.8 2020: R+58.4 2016: R+56.0 2012: R+58.2 2008: R+46.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -207.13%
- Current HPI
- 140.8159
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Big Spring, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Listed $70,000 PBBOR
- 2016-05-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-01-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+20.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,160 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…