90 Loon Mountain Rd Unit 950A · Lincoln, NH 03251

$40,000

1 bd · 2.0 ba · 635 sqft · Condo public records · 258 Days on market

Built 1987 $738/mo HOA · 36% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +6.1/10.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Here is your families opportunity to affordably own in the White Mountains!! A slope side unit with ski slopes, and mountain views from your windows!! The resort also offers a full restaurant and bar, slope-side access to Loon Mountain ski slopes and a luxury spa and health club right on-site. You may use all 13 weeks of your ownership or rent it thru the on-site rental desk or trade it to thousands of resorts world-wide using an exchange company. Just bring a change of clothes and you are ready to start enjoying everything that the White Mountains have to offer!

Key facts

• Slope side unit
• Ski slope views
• Slope-side access

Tags

• SLOPE SIDE UNIT
• SKI SLOPE VIEWS
• MOUNTAIN VIEWS
• SLOPE-SIDE ACCESS
• LUXURY SPA
• HEALTH CLUB

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $40k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $658 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
• Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 26.0% vs local median 5.9% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#57 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A-, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
• Lincoln-Woodstock School District (rural): math 40% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #140 of 171 in NH (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 487 units permitted in Grafton County in 2024 (127 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $1k of equity ($277 loan paydown + $878 appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
• Grafton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.

Recommended offer $35,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 5.19% ✓
• Cap rate: 26.02%
• Cash-on-cash: 70.46%
• DSCR: 4.14
• GRM: 1.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 74.8%
• Equity multiple: 5.06×
• Total profit: $45,492
• Equity at exit: $16,202

10-year hold

• IRR: 75.0%
• Equity multiple: 10.47×
• Total profit: $106,048
• Equity at exit: $23,662

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
• State New Hampshire: 56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 03251

• Home prices YoY: 0.4%
• Active inventory: 115
• Price-to-rent: 1.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,077 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$210
• Tax from tax record: −$18 /mo · $222/yr
• Insurance: −$17
• HOA: −$738
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$436
• Net cashflow: $658

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,244

Max offer price $40,000

Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $680	-5% $669	+0% $658	+5% $646	+10% $635
Rent	-10% $494	-5% $576	+0% $658	+5% $740	+10% $822
Rate	-1.0pp $678	-0.5pp $668	base $658	+0.5pp $647	+1.0pp $637

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $10,000
• Closing costs: $1,200
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $738 · $8,856/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-31
   days on market $40,000 Active 258 DOM
2. 2025-09-15
   listed $40,000 Active 570-char remark

   Show marketing remark (570 chars)

   Here is your families opportunity to affordably own in the White Mountains!! A slope side unit with ski slopes, and mountain views from your windows!! The resort also offers a full restaurant and bar, slope-side access to Loon Mountain ski slopes and a luxury spa and health club right on-site. You may use all 13 weeks of your ownership or rent it thru the on-site rental desk or trade it to thousands of resorts world-wide using an exchange company. Just bring a change of clothes and you are ready to start enjoying everything that the White Mountains have to offer!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $222 · $18/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $547 · $46/mo
• Expected delta: +$325/yr (+$27/mo · 146.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,920
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,241
• − Property taxes: −$222
• − Insurance: −$200
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,994
• − Management: −$1,994
• − HOA: −$8,856
• − Depreciation: −$1,164
• Taxable income: $8,250
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,980
• After-tax cash flow: $5,911/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lincoln-Woodstock School District
• NCES district ID: 3304260
• Math proficiency: 40% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $45,324
• Composite: 36.47/100
• National rank: #9328
• State rank: #140 of 171 in NH

Livability — Lincoln

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #57
• US rank: #9736

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 1,484

Population outlook (Grafton County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 88,798 people
• By 2030: 87,131 · -1.9%
• By 2040: 82,000 · -7.7%
• By 2050: 77,064 · -13.2%
• By 2075: 68,769 · -22.6%
• By 2100: 61,631 · -30.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (86%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 86% Asian 12% Black 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 12% Slovak 6% Russian 3%
• Foreign-born: 12% · China, Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 87% English-only · Chinese 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grafton

• 2024 margin: D (+19.9) · D 59.4% · R 39.4% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.8pp toward R · 2008: 27.7pp · 2024: 19.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+19.9 2020: D+24.6 2016: D+19.0 2012: D+23.8 2008: D+27.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 2.19%
• Current HPI: 531.2395
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2025-09-15 Listed $40,000 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

-4.5%/yr

Latest (2022): $222 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.