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2161 W Mcdowell Rd
A Composite 86.99
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$65,350

2161 W Mcdowell Rd · Jackson, MS 39204
5 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,710 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 97 Days on market
Built 1958 1.00 ac lot $38/sqft · 26% below area Est $88k · 26% under ↓ 32% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover unparalleled space and versatility. This unique property features a charming 1,710 sq ft main residence plus a fully independent Additional Dwelling Unit (ADU)''will need renovations but perfect for a rental, in-law suite, or guest quarters. The ADU comes complete with its own kitchen, living area, 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Exceptional investment or multi-generational property on a 1 acre lot! The main home features a bungalow layout, there's also a metal workshop/storage building behind the guest house and the property boasts an oversized driveway with ample parking for multiple vehicles or equipment. Hobbyists will love the metal storage workshop, providing the perfect space for projects or secure storage. Whether you're looking for a multi-generational setup or a home that pays for itself through rental income, this 1950s gem offers more value than anything else in the area.

Key facts

  • Kitchen
  • Storage building
  • Living area

Tags

ADDITIONAL DWELLING UNITKITCHENLIVING AREAMETAL WORKSHOPSTORAGE BUILDINGOVERSIZED DRIVEWAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $710 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.6%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,509/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1099% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($452 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,468 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.31%
Cap rate
19.33%
Cash-on-cash
46.55%
DSCR
3.07
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$88,447
List price
$65,350
Delta
-26.11%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1726 Dianne Dr 0.35mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,690 (-1%) 18mo $42,000 $25 55
2229 Scanlon Dr 0.54mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,651 (-4%) 8mo $94,900 $57 49
125 Wingfield Ct 0.61mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,797 (+5%) 11mo $77,000 $43 41
2064 Monaco St 0.61mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,670 (-2%) 19mo $84,700 $51 39
2732 Woodside Dr Dr 0.68mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,566 (-8%) 20mo $55,000 $35 23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
64.5%
Equity multiple
5.85×
Total profit
$88,819
Equity at exit
$58,872
10-year hold
IRR
60.2%
Equity multiple
14.44×
Total profit
$245,845
Equity at exit
$126,961

Cash invested: $18,298 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39204

Home prices YoY
8.0%
Rents YoY
13.6%
Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,509 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$343
Tax from tax record
$112 /mo · $1,349/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$317
Net cashflow
$710

Break-even live

Break-even rent $611
Max offer price $65,350
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $747 -5% $728 +0% $710 +5% $691 +10% $673
Rent -10% $591 -5% $650 +0% $710 +5% $769 +10% $829
Rate -1.0pp $743 -0.5pp $726 base $710 +0.5pp $693 +1.0pp $676

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,338
Closing costs
$1,960
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
125 Wingfield Ct Unit NA Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1797 $1,650 $0.92 24d 1 0.64mi
2732 Woodside Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1566 $1,050 $0.67 24d 1 0.68mi
1641 Woodburn St Jackson, MS 5.0 2.0 1300 $1,812 $1.39 15d 1 0.77mi
2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,475 $0.98 24d 1 0.85mi
2242 Castle Hill Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,475 $0.98 15d 1 0.85mi
3020 Lakewood Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,150 $0.72 24d 1 1.05mi
2729 Carleton St Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1666 $1,575 $0.95 15d 1 1.09mi
3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 2137 $1,425 $0.67 15d 1 1.38mi
3147 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 2137 $1,425 $0.67 44d 1 1.38mi
3151 Shirley Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1474 $1,306 $0.89 15d 1 1.40mi
1848 Willaneel Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1623 $1,100 $0.68 15d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,350 Active 97 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,350 Active 96 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,350 Active 95 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,350 Active 94 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $65,350 Active 92 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,350 Active 91 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $65,350 Active 89 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,350 Active 88 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,350 Active 87 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,350 Active 86 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $65,350 Active 83 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,350 Active 82 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,350 Active 81 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,350 Active 80 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,350 Active 79 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,350 Active 78 DOM
  17. 2026-03-13
    listed $65,350 Active 902-char remark
    Show marketing remark (902 chars)

    Discover unparalleled space and versatility. This unique property features a charming 1,710 sq ft main residence plus a fully independent Additional Dwelling Unit (ADU)''will need renovations but perfect for a rental, in-law suite, or guest quarters. The ADU comes complete with its own kitchen, living area, 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Exceptional investment or multi-generational property on a 1 acre lot! The main home features a bungalow layout, there's also a metal workshop/storage building behind the guest house and the property boasts an oversized driveway with ample parking for multiple vehicles or equipment. Hobbyists will love the metal storage workshop, providing the perfect space for projects or secure storage. Whether you're looking for a multi-generational setup or a home that pays for itself through rental income, this 1950s gem offers more value than anything else in the area.

  18. 2024-08-14
    soldstatus
  19. 2021-10-20
    historical
  20. 2021-10-08
    historical
  21. 2016-11-14
    historical
  22. 2016-05-18
    listed $60,000
  23. 2016-05-16
    listed $60,000
  24. 2014-10-09
    listed $96,000
  25. 2004-06-10
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,349 · $112/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,349 · $112/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,109
− Mortgage interest
−$3,661
− Property taxes
−$1,349
− Insurance
−$327
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,449
− Management
−$1,449
− Depreciation
−$1,901
Taxable income
$7,974
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,914
After-tax cash flow
$6,604/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
13,249
Household income
$30,237
Rent vs Own
66.3% rent · 33.7% own
Severe rent burden
1099.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (90%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.25%
Current HPI
233.9061
Rent YoY
▲ 13.56%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-31.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $65,350 MLSU
  • 2024-08-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-10-20 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2021-10-08 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2016-11-14 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2016-05-18 Listed $60,000 MLSU
  • 2016-05-16 Listed $60,000 MLSU
  • 2014-10-09 Listed $96,000 MLSU
  • 2004-06-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…