3633 Bellmeade Ct · Wesley Chapel, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Cash flow +5.9/30.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- DSCR +0.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
3633 Bellmeade Ct · Wesley Chapel, FL 33543
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,634 sqft · Townhouse
public records
· 111 Days on market
Built 2021
1,767 sqft lot
1-car garage
$153/sqft
· 11% below area
Est $280k · 11% under
$252/mo HOA · 11% of rent
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move-in ready townhouse nestled within the gated community in Meadow Pointe offering the perfect blend of modern comforts and serene surroundings. This townhouse features three bedrooms, 2 1/2 bath, 1 car garage provides ample living space for all to enjoy. Step inside into a spacious living room, 1/2 bath, kitchen, and access to the garage. The kitchen boasts a sleek, modern look with a convenient breakfast nook, creating the perfect setting for casual meals or morning coffee. Step out onto the screened patio and immerse yourself in the tranquility of nature, with breathtaking views of the lush conservation area, providing a peaceful retreat for outdoor dining or relaxation.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Screened patio
- Conservation area
Tags
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-484 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (34.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (10.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $164k (34.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#143 in FL, #2,137 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Double Branch Elementary School (math 58% / reading 62%, grade B-, #680 of 2,144 statewide, top 32%, 847 students, 31% FRL); Dr. John Long Middle School (math 75% / reading 62%, grade A, #72 of 571 statewide, top 13%, 1,349 students, 28% FRL); Wesley Chapel High School (math 52% / reading 58%, grade C, #135 of 667 statewide, top 20%, 1,826 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 33% FRL vs 48% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 757 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 62d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer
$164,427
(34.2% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.30%
- DSCR
- 0.63
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $279,836
- List price
- $249,900
- Delta
- -10.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3629 Bellmeade Ct | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,634 (0%) | 7mo | $258,000 | $158 | 92 |
| 3533 Bellmeade Ct | 0.09mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,541 (-6%) | 20mo | $280,000 | $182 | 63 |
| 4438 Fennwood Ct | 0.83mi | 3/2.5 | 1,649 (+1%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $146 | 61 |
| 4389 Fennwood Ct | 0.79mi | 3/2.5 | 1,649 (+1%) | 11mo | $245,000 | $149 | 53 |
| 4385 Fennwood Ct | 0.79mi | 3/2.5 | 1,649 (+1%) | 24mo | $275,000 | $167 | 42 |
| 4423 Fennwood Ct | 0.83mi | 3/2.5 | 1,777 (+9%) | 9mo | $235,000 | $132 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -35.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.11×
- Total profit
- $-77,538
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
10-year hold
- IRR
- -81.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.87×
- Total profit
- $-131,192
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market
Market conditions
within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 6 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 36.0 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $259,500 ($152/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 122 d
- This list price
- 17% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +12.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33543
- Home prices YoY
- -24.0%
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 757
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $2,248 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$593 /mo · $7,118/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$252
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$472
- Net cashflow
- $-484
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$2,860
Max offer price
$164,427
Occupancy floor
—
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-342 | -5% $-413 | +0% $-484 | +5% $-555 | +10% $-625 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-661 | -5% $-573 | +0% $-484 | +5% $-395 | +10% $-306 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-358 | -0.5pp $-420 | base $-484 | +0.5pp $-549 | +1.0pp $-614 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3601 Bellmeade Ct Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1634 | $2,100 | $1.29 | 34d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3616 Bellmeade Ct Wesley Chapel, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1541 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 36d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 3587 Bellmeade Ct Wesley Chapel, FL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1541 | $1,795 | $1.16 | 18d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 3587 Bellmeade Ct Unit 3587 Wesley Chapel, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1541 | $1,795 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 3832 Washburn Pl Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1730 | $2,235 | $1.29 | 15d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3922 Washburn Pl Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1622 | $2,200 | $1.36 | 34d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4035 Langdrum Dr Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1836 | $2,395 | $1.30 | 31d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4035 Langdrum Dr Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1836 | $2,395 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4338 Fennwood Ct Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1649 | $2,250 | $1.36 | 73d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4272 Fennwood Ct Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $2,000 | $1.22 | 7d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4350 Fennwood Ct Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1777 | $2,000 | $1.13 | 73d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 30816 Pumpkin Ridge Dr Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2174 | $2,250 | $1.03 | 67d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4416 Redcoat Dr Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $2,130 | $1.28 | 61d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 31225 Claridge Pl Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1700 | $2,100 | $1.24 | 73d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4033 Huntingdale Ct Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2088 | $2,625 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4923 Rolling Green Dr Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2055 | $2,595 | $1.26 | 73d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 31142 Gossamer Way Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1612 | $2,150 | $1.33 | 37d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 31209 Flannery Ct Wesley Chapel, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1407 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 69d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 31203 Flannery Ct Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1620 | $2,200 | $1.36 | 73d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 30120 Sotogrande Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2078 | $2,550 | $1.23 | 42d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 30708 Walker Cup Pl Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2055 | $2,699 | $1.31 | 73d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3911 Constantine Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $2,375 | $1.36 | 27d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4013 Constantine Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1574 | $2,050 | $1.30 | 61d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 30950 Mandolin Cay Ave Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1934 | $2,250 | $1.16 | 73d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3928 Fraccareta Way Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1956 | $3,225 | $1.65 | 73d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4255 Ashton Meadows Way Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $2,050 | $1.33 | 73d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 32132 Levering St Wesley Chapel, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $2,046 | $1.40 | 7d | 7 | 1.41mi |
| 4729 White Bay Cir Wesley Chapel, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 73d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3060 Mountain Spruce Ter Wesley Chapel, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1831 | $2,900 | $1.58 | 73d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 32475 Sugarplum Loop Wesley Chapel, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1130 | $2,750 | $2.43 | 7d | 182 | 1.49mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- CDD present
- Financial info
- Total monthly fees $252; total annual fees $3,024Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community
- Monthly HOA fee of $252 (includes pool and grounds maintenance)Community amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, pool, playground, tennis courts, basketball court, community mailbox, dog parkAssociation name listed as Rob CrowAssociation fee required
Exterior
- Parking
- DrivewayGuest parkingAttached 1-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic utilitiesNo sewer (per listing)
- Home design
- TownhouseResidential propertyTwo storiesFaces eastEntry on main level
- Construction
- Stucco constructionShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt as part of MPUD zoning
- Exterior features
- SidewalkSliding doorsAsphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherRangeMicrowaveRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms (upper level laundry noted separately)
- Flooring
- CarpetTile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full baths1 half bath
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air
- Interior features
- Ceiling fansKitchen and family room comboOpen floorplanThermostatWalk-in closetsBlinds
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry room on upper levelWasherDryer
HOA detail $252/mo · $3,024/yr
- Likely covers
- security
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $249,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $249,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $249,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $249,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $249,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $249,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $249,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $249,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $249,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $249,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $249,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $249,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $249,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $249,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $249,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $249,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-07-15pricedays on market $249,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $265,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $265,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $265,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $265,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $265,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $265,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $265,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $265,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $265,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $265,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $265,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $265,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $265,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $265,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $265,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $265,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $265,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $265,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $265,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $265,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $265,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $265,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $265,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $265,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $265,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $265,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $265,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $265,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $265,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $265,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $265,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $265,900 Active 42 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,118 · $593/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,118 · $593/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,976
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$7,118
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,158
- − Management
- −$2,158
- − HOA
- −$3,024
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$9,999
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,400
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,406/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
80/100
Cosmetic rehab
Est. rehab $8,170–$24,510 screening
This move-in ready townhouse in Meadow Pointe is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It has a good ROI potential with updates that can increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior shutters — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Resale Replace tile flooring with hardwood — Hardwood flooring is more desirable and adds value ↑
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make the home more appealing to potential buyers ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
C
Composite school gradezoned avg 61/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
Double Branch Elementary School
B-
FL #680/2,144
Nat'l #7,155/41,679
Middle
Dr. John Long Middle School
A
FL #72/571
Nat'l #943/14,009
High
Wesley Chapel High School
C
FL #135/667
Nat'l #4,413/17,239
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
B
Composite livability gradescore 79/100
Livability — Wesley Chapel
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #143
- US rank
- #2137
Category grades
Amenities C
Commute F
Cost of living B-
Crime A-
Employment A+
Housing A+
Health & safety A+
User ratings C+
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wesley Chapel, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 570,045 people
- City population
- 100,771
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,648
- Household income
- $107,349
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 15% Black 12% Asian 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.13%
- Current HPI
- 263.2513
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.37%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+11986.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Listed $265,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-31 Rental Removed $2,100 STELLARMLS
- 2024-05-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-26 Listed $329,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-24 Price Changed $2,100 STELLARMLS
- 2024-02-23 Listed for Rent $2,200 STELLARMLS
Property tax history
+26.2%/yrLatest (2025): $7,118 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…