15560 Tiger Bend Rd · Old Jefferson, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The existing structure has been fully gutted, and framing has been started; however, the project is unfinished and the intended layout is unknown. No interior walls are in place, and bedroom and bathroom count has been established. Buyers are welcome to step inside, explore the space, and imagine the possibilities for completing and customizing this unique opportunity. Property is being sold as-is. Not sure age of the structure. The roof was put on in 2023. Being sold "as is, " inspections for buyers' knowledge only.
Key facts
- Fully gutted
- Roof was put on
- 0.26 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 4.4% in Old Jefferson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#36 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 360 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.31%
- DSCR
- 2.75
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $384,443
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -68.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15749 Parkside Ct | 0.44mi | 4/3.0 | 2,721 (-3%) | 2mo | $549,900 | $202 | 69 |
| 15613 Confederate Ave | 0.17mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,897 (+4%) | 15mo | $343,500 | $119 | 66 |
| 15533 Confederate Ave | 0.12mi | 4/2.5 | 2,393 (-14%) | 12mo | $309,000 | $129 | 58 |
| 16025 Parkside Ct | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,550 (-9%) | 3mo | $465,000 | $182 | 53 |
| 15233 Summer Park Ln | 0.75mi | 4/3.0 | 2,906 (+4%) | 6mo | $585,000 | $201 | 50 |
| 6374 Muir St | 0.75mi | 4/3.0 | 2,646 (-5%) | 5mo | $598,950 | $226 | 48 |
| 6415 Chaucer Dr | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 | 2,612 (-7%) | 7mo | $270,000 | $103 | 48 |
| 6503 Blue Rose Dr | 0.46mi | 4/3.0 | 2,397 (-14%) | 8mo | $360,000 | $150 | 44 |
| 15635 Shenandoah Ave | 0.42mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 3,190 (+14%) | 3mo | $479,000 | $150 | 44 |
| 16429 Antietam Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 | 2,502 (-10%) | 11mo | $299,000 | $120 | 40 |
| 15841 Chickamauga Ave | 0.75mi | 4/2.5 | 2,393 (-14%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $115 | 36 |
| 14134 Kimbleton Ave | 0.67mi | 4/3.5 | 3,119 (+12%) | 10mo | $599,900 | $192 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $48,375
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 40.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.67×
- Total profit
- $123,222
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70817
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 360
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,443 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$513
- Net cashflow
- $1,101
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6714 Tiger Pointe Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2082 | $2,400 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 6708 Tiger Pointe Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2367 | $2,500 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 6407 Tiger Pointe Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2033 | $2,450 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 15616 Council Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2163 | $2,200 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 16545 Antioch Ct Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2050 | $2,200 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 16545 Antioch Ct Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2050 | $2,200 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 5324 Antioch Blvd Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2048 | $2,000 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 4941 Pinehill Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2028 | $2,350 | $1.16 | 19d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 21 events
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2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $120,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-03-02price $120,000 532-char remark
Show marketing remark (531 chars)
The existing structure has been fully gutted, and framing has been started; however, the project is unfinished and the intended layout is unknown. No interior walls are in place, and bedroom and bathroom count has been established. Buyers are welcome to step inside, explore the space, and imagine the possibilities for completing and customizing this unique opportunity. Property is being sold as-is. Not sure age of the structure. The roof was put on in 2023. Being sold "as is," inspections for buyers' knowledge only.
-
2026-03-02price $120,000 531-char remark
Show marketing remark (531 chars)
The existing structure has been fully gutted, and framing has been started; however, the project is unfinished and the intended layout is unknown. No interior walls are in place, and bedroom and bathroom count has been established. Buyers are welcome to step inside, explore the space, and imagine the possibilities for completing and customizing this unique opportunity. Property is being sold as-is. Not sure age of the structure. The roof was put on in 2023. Being sold "as is," inspections for buyers' knowledge only.
-
2026-02-02status Active 532-char remark
Show marketing remark (532 chars)
The existing structure has been fully gutted, and framing has been started; however, the project is unfinished and the intended layout is unknown. No interior walls are in place, and bedroom and bathroom count has been established. Buyers are welcome to step inside, explore the space, and imagine the possibilities for completing and customizing this unique opportunity. Property is being sold as-is. Not sure age of the structure. The roof was put on in 2023. Being sold "as is, " inspections for buyers' knowledge only.
-
2026-01-22status Pending 532-char remark
Show marketing remark (532 chars)
The existing structure has been fully gutted, and framing has been started; however, the project is unfinished and the intended layout is unknown. No interior walls are in place, and bedroom and bathroom count has been established. Buyers are welcome to step inside, explore the space, and imagine the possibilities for completing and customizing this unique opportunity. Property is being sold as-is. Not sure age of the structure. The roof was put on in 2023. Being sold "as is, " inspections for buyers' knowledge only.
-
2026-01-20$150,000 Active 532-char remark
Show marketing remark (531 chars)
The existing structure has been fully gutted, and framing has been started; however, the project is unfinished and the intended layout is unknown. No interior walls are in place, and bedroom and bathroom count has been established. Buyers are welcome to step inside, explore the space, and imagine the possibilities for completing and customizing this unique opportunity. Property is being sold as-is. Not sure age of the structure. The roof was put on in 2023. Being sold "as is," inspections for buyers' knowledge only.
-
2026-01-20$150,000 Active 531-char remark
Show marketing remark (531 chars)
The existing structure has been fully gutted, and framing has been started; however, the project is unfinished and the intended layout is unknown. No interior walls are in place, and bedroom and bathroom count has been established. Buyers are welcome to step inside, explore the space, and imagine the possibilities for completing and customizing this unique opportunity. Property is being sold as-is. Not sure age of the structure. The roof was put on in 2023. Being sold "as is," inspections for buyers' knowledge only.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,315
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,345
- − Management
- −$2,345
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $12,011
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,883
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,324/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property is in excellent condition with a gut renovation in progress. It offers a blank canvas for a potential buyer to envision and customize their dream home.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Interior walls and flooring — These are essential for a move-in-ready home.
- Both Kitchen and bathroom fixtures — These are crucial for functionality and appeal.
- Both HVAC and plumbing systems — These are necessary for comfort and functionality.
- Both Paint and finishes — These enhance the home's appearance and value.
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — These improve the home's exterior and first impression.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Interior walls and flooring — These are essential for a move-in-ready home. ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom fixtures — These are crucial for functionality and appeal. ↑
- Both HVAC and plumbing systems — These are necessary for comfort and functionality. ↑
- Both Paint and finishes — These enhance the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — These improve the home's exterior and first impression. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Baton Rouge Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,263
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7745
- State rank
- #47 of 98 in LA
Livability — Old Jefferson
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #5501
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Old Jefferson, LA
- County
- East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,482
- Household income
- $102,639
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 755.0
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 21% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 13% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -149.27%
- Current HPI
- 170.6826
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-20.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $120,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $120,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-02 Relisted — GBRMLS
- 2026-01-22 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2026-01-20 Listed $150,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-01-20 Listed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…