CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
901 Lindberg St
D Composite 44.32
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$154,900

901 Lindberg St · Skellytown, TX 79080
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 3,183 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1925 0.36 ac lot ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Incredible Opportunity in Skellytown! Approx 15 minutes from White Deer & Pampa, Close proximity to the Data Centers! Incredible Price for this Huge Home on large Corner Lot! This 4/3/4 Home is Huge! Huge dining room and kitchen, with updated cabinets, including a fold out pantry! Huge living room! Couple of Flex Rooms- Craft Room, Office, etc! Great home for a family to give it some TLC & make it their own, great Generational Home, especially with 2 bathrooms with walk in showers, or Perfect Investment for a rental opportunity with the 4 bedrooms & 3 bathrooms! Huge RV Garage for 2 RV's! 2 detached single car garages! Double paned windows, newer sewer line! Central heat

Key facts

  • Office
  • Craft room
  • Updated cabinets

Tags

CORNER LOTUPDATED CABINETSFOLD OUT PANTRYFLEX ROOMSCRAFT ROOMOFFICE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 4-car garage; Carport; Garage faces side and front; Additional parking; RV access/parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Frame construction; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation; Metal roof; Built for residential use
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Workshop

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Double oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 2 three-quarter bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: In-law floorplan; Pantry
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-49/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (0.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (8.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $142k (8.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,074 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • White Deer ISD (rural): math 45% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #439 of 1,141 in TX (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: White Deer El (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,769 of 4,322 statewide, top 44%, 183 students, 55% FRL); White Deer H S (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C-, #379 of 1,632 statewide, top 26%, 151 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 39 units permitted in Carson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carson County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $141,607 (8.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.26%
Cash-on-cash
-0.11%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-25,305
Equity at exit
$23,096
10-year hold
IRR
-8.1%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-22,150
Equity at exit
$13,393

Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79080

Home prices YoY
-3.5%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,416 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$812
Tax from tax record
$246 /mo · $2,951/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$-4

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,421
Max offer price $154,185
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $84 -5% $40 +0% $-4 +5% $-48 +10% $-92
Rent -10% $-116 -5% $-60 +0% $-4 +5% $52 +10% $108
Rate -1.0pp $74 -0.5pp $35 base $-4 +0.5pp $-44 +1.0pp $-85

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,725
Closing costs
$4,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $154,900 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $154,900 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    price $154,900 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-12
    days on market $159,900 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-06-06
    days on market $159,900 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 20 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $159,900 Active 19 DOM
  17. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 18 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
  19. 2026-05-14
    listed $165,000 Active 824-char remark
  20. 1995-08-02
    soldstatus
  21. 1992-04-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,951 · $246/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,951 · $246/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,993
− Mortgage interest
−$8,677
− Property taxes
−$2,951
− Insurance
−$774
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,359
− Management
−$1,359
− Depreciation
−$4,506
Taxable loss
−$2,634
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$632
After-tax cash flow
$584/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
White Deer ISD
NCES district ID
4845450
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$59,137
Composite
42.91/100
National rank
#6705
State rank
#439 of 1141 in TX

Livability — Skellytown

Score
60/100
State rank
#1074
US rank
#19056

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing B Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Skellytown, TX
Population (ZIP)
498

Population outlook (Carson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,631 people
By 2030
5,516 · -2.0%
By 2040
5,190 · -7.8%
By 2050
5,007 · -11.1%
By 2075
4,509 · -19.9%
By 2100
3,458 · -38.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Carson

2024 margin
Solid R (+81.2) · D 9.1% · R 90.3%
2008→2024 swing
-9.3pp toward R · 2008: -71.9pp · 2024: -81.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+81.2 2020: R+79.5 2016: R+80.4 2012: R+77.8 2008: R+71.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.44%
Current HPI
95.2703
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Price Changed $159,900 AARMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $165,000 AARMLS
  • 1995-08-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1992-04-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,951 · +47.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…