435 High St #42 · Mystic, CT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Never lived in 2024 manufactured home in a mobile home community. Minutes from I95 and Downtown Mystic. Military/EB/Pfizer discounts available!
Key facts
- 2,178 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 2024
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is on leased land; Located in New London County, Connecticut
- Financial info: $600 monthly HOA fee; Professionally managed (off-site) property management
- HOA & community: Homeowner association with monthly fee; HOA fee covers grounds maintenance, trash pickup, snow removal, water, sewer, property management, pest control, and road maintenance
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking (1 space); Paved driveway
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Above-ground propane tank
- Home design: Single-family home on leased land; Completed, never occupied (new construction/prefab)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Prefab construction; Completed / never occupied
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved driveway
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot air heating; Propane-fueled system; 30-gallon electric hot water tank
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; No basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located off the kitchen on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $455 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 2.0% in Mystic — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#11 in CT, #1,266 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
- Groton School District (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #96 of 153 in CT (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.44%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $7,510
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $45,506
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06355
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,516 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$600
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$528
- Net cashflow
- $455
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 W Main St Unit 2 Mystic, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,295 | $2.55 | 13d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 12 Water St Mystic, CT | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $2,800 | $3.07 | 13d | 3 | 0.61mi |
| 12 Water St Unit 408 Mystic, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $2,800 | $2.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2 Lincoln Ave Apt 3 Mystic, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,875 | $2.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 454 Cow Hill Rd Unit 2 Mystic, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $600 · $7,200/yr
Listing history 10 events
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2026-06-19days on market $135,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-09remarks 143-char remark
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2026-06-09$135,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,197
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,416
- − Management
- −$2,416
- − HOA
- −$7,200
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $3,976
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$954
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,506/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Groton School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901770
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,709
- Composite
- 36.28/100
- National rank
- #4702
- State rank
- #96 of 153 in CT
Livability — Mystic
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #1266
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- New London County · 147,197 people
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,173
- Household income
- $137,425
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 197.0
Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 293,442
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 9% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Slovak 5%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.46%
- Current HPI
- 287.7568
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $135,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2021): $196 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…