248 Flame Ln · North Fort Myers, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Unique income-producing opportunity or multi-generational living option! This well-maintained manufactured home features two separate units, each with its own carport and private living spaces. The main unit offers 2 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, with fresh vinyl flooring and new carpet throughout for a clean, modern feel. The second unit is a cozy efficiency with a full kitchen, perfect for guests, extended family, or rental income. Located in a friendly community with optional HOA dues of just $28/month, residents can enjoy access to amenities including a Bocce court, library, and community center. Conveniently situated just minutes from grocery stores, dining, entertainment, and everyday neces
Key facts
- Full kitchen
- Bocce court
- Community center
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed
- Financial info: Gross scheduled income: $24,600
- HOA & community: Community amenities include bocce court, clubhouse, and library; Association fee listed as $0
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable not available
- Home design: Manufactured home; Resale property
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Rolled/Hot Mop roof
- Exterior features: Fruit trees; Rectangular lot; Lot dimensions approximately 55 x 95
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Jalousie windows; Shutters
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-186 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $82k (28.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 841 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.98%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $70,512
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 272 Flame Ln | 0.06mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 576 (-8%) | 20mo | $65,000 | $113 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-30,665
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- -29.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.33×
- Total profit
- $-42,794
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33917
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 841
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,282 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,462/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $-186
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 Coachlight Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 552 | $795 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 137 Lantern Pl North Fort Myers, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $975 | $1.68 | 2d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 249 Fireball Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 624 | $1,350 | $2.16 | 3d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 7535 McDaniel Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $850 | $1.32 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 7535 McDaniel Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $850 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 7869 Suncoast Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $850 | $1.51 | 2d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2211 Cantor Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 672 | $850 | $1.26 | 2d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 8028 Breeze Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1640 Daniels Dr Unit B North Fort Myers, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,099 | $2.75 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $114,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $114,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$114,900 Active
-
2026-05-21historical
-
2026-04-29price $109,800
-
2026-02-20historical $1,250
-
2026-02-03$109,900 Active
-
2026-02-02historical
-
2026-01-23$1,250
-
2026-01-23historical $1,250
-
2026-01-22$1,250
-
2025-12-12historical $1,295
-
2025-12-12$125,000 Active
-
2025-11-12price $1,295
-
2025-11-08$1,500
-
2024-06-11historical
-
2024-05-16price $159,100
-
2024-04-01$159,900 Active
-
2022-05-24soldstatus $125,000
-
1997-06-09soldstatus $24,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,462 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,462 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,386
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$1,462
- − Insurance
- −$5,693
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,231
- − Management
- −$1,231
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable loss
- −$4,009
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$962
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,268/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Fort Myers
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #269
- US rank
- #4409
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Fort Myers, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 57,035
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,380
- Household income
- $55,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 775.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.28%
- Current HPI
- 282.2895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+378.8% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $114,900 FORTMLS
- 2026-05-21 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $109,800 FORTMLS
- 2026-02-20 Rental Removed $1,250 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-02-03 Listed $109,900 FORTMLS
- 2026-02-02 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed for Rent $1,250 NAPLESMLS
- 2026-01-23 Rental Removed $1,250 FORTMLS
- 2026-01-22 Listed for Rent $1,250 FORTMLS
- 2025-12-12 Rental Removed $1,295 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-12-12 Listed $125,000 FORTMLS
- 2025-11-12 Price Changed $1,295 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-11-08 Listed for Rent $1,500 NAPLESMLS
- 2024-06-11 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2024-05-16 Price Changed $159,100 FORTMLS
- 2024-04-01 Listed $159,900 FORTMLS
- 2022-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 1997-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,462 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…